<DOC> [106th Congress House Hearings] [From the U.S. Government Printing Office via GPO Access] [DOCID: f:63821.wais] OVERSIGHT OF THE U.S. POSTAL SERVICE ======================================================================= HEARING before the SUBCOMMITTEE ON THE POSTAL SERVICE of the COMMITTEE ON GOVERNMENT REFORM HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED SIXTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION ---------- OCTOBER 21, 1999 ---------- Serial No. 106-110 ---------- Printed for the use of the Committee on Government Reform Available via the World Wide Web: http://www.gpo.gov/congress/house http://www.house.gov/reform ------ OVERSIGHT OF THE U.S. POSTAL SERVICE OVERSIGHT OF THE U.S. POSTAL SERVICE OVERSIGHT OF THE U.S. POSTAL SERVICE OVERSIGHT OF THE U.S. POSTAL SERVICE OVERSIGHT OF THE U.S. POSTAL SERVICE OVERSIGHT OF THE U.S. POSTAL SERVICE OVERSIGHT OF THE U.S. POSTAL SERVICE ======================================================================= HEARING before the SUBCOMMITTEE ON THE POSTAL SERVICE of the COMMITTEE ON GOVERNMENT REFORM HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED SIXTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION __________ OCTOBER 21, 1999 __________ Serial No. 106-110 __________ Printed for the use of the Committee on Government Reform Available via the World Wide Web: http://www.gpo.gov/congress/house http://www.house.gov/reform ______ U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 63-821 CC WASHINGTON : 2000 COMMITTEE ON GOVERNMENT REFORM DAN BURTON, Indiana, Chairman BENJAMIN A. GILMAN, New York HENRY A. WAXMAN, California CONSTANCE A. MORELLA, Maryland TOM LANTOS, California CHRISTOPHER SHAYS, Connecticut ROBERT E. WISE, Jr., West Virginia ILEANA ROS-LEHTINEN, Florida MAJOR R. OWENS, New York JOHN M. McHUGH, New York EDOLPHUS TOWNS, New York STEPHEN HORN, California PAUL E. KANJORSKI, Pennsylvania JOHN L. MICA, Florida PATSY T. MINK, Hawaii THOMAS M. DAVIS, Virginia CAROLYN B. MALONEY, New York DAVID M. McINTOSH, Indiana ELEANOR HOLMES NORTON, Washington, MARK E. SOUDER, Indiana DC JOE SCARBOROUGH, Florida CHAKA FATTAH, Pennsylvania STEVEN C. LaTOURETTE, Ohio ELIJAH E. CUMMINGS, Maryland MARSHALL ``MARK'' SANFORD, South DENNIS J. KUCINICH, Ohio Carolina ROD R. BLAGOJEVICH, Illinois BOB BARR, Georgia DANNY K. DAVIS, Illinois DAN MILLER, Florida JOHN F. TIERNEY, Massachusetts ASA HUTCHINSON, Arkansas JIM TURNER, Texas LEE TERRY, Nebraska THOMAS H. ALLEN, Maine JUDY BIGGERT, Illinois HAROLD E. FORD, Jr., Tennessee GREG WALDEN, Oregon JANICE D. SCHAKOWSKY, Illinois DOUG OSE, California ------ PAUL RYAN, Wisconsin BERNARD SANDERS, Vermont HELEN CHENOWETH-HAGE, Idaho (Independent) DAVID VITTER, Louisiana Kevin Binger, Staff Director Daniel R. Moll, Deputy Staff Director David A. Kass, Deputy Counsel and Parliamentarian Carla J. Martin, Chief Clerk Phil Schiliro, Minority Staff Director ------ Subcommittee on the Postal Service JOHN M. McHUGH, New York, Chairman MARSHALL ``MARK'' SANFORD, South CHAKA FATTAH, Pennsylvania Carolina MAJOR R. OWENS, New York BENJAMIN A. GILMAN, New York DANNY K. DAVIS, Illinois STEVEN C. LaTOURETTE, Ohio DAN MILLER, Florida Ex Officio DAN BURTON, Indiana HENRY A. WAXMAN, California Robert Taub, Staff Director Heea Vazirani-Fales, Counsel Jane Hatcherson, Professional Staff Member Abigail D. Hurowitz, Clerk Denise Wilson, Minority Professional Staff Member C O N T E N T S ---------- Page Hearing held on October 21, 1999................................. 1 Statement of: Corcoran, Karla W., Inspector General, U.S. Postal Service, accompanied by Thomas Coogan, legal counsel; and Richard Chambers, Assistant Inspector General for Audit, U.S. Postal Service............................................. 8 Henderson, William J., Postmaster General and Chief Executive Officer.................................................... 115 Ungar, Bernard L., Director, Government Business Operations Issues, U.S. General Accounting Office, accompanied by Teresa Anderson, Assistant Director; and Gerald Barnes, Assistant Director, U.S. General Accounting Office......... 33 Letters, statements, et cetera, submitted for the record by: Corcoran, Karla W., Inspector General, U.S. Postal Service: Followup questions and responses......................... 78 Prepared statement of.................................... 12 Henderson, William J., Postmaster General and Chief Executive Officer: Followup questions and responses......................... 134 Prepared statement of.................................... 117 LaTourette, Hon. Steven C., a Representative in Congress from the State of Ohio, June 30, 1999, Report to Congress....... 412 McHugh, Hon. John M., a Representative in Congress from the State of New York, prepared statement of................... 4 Ungar, Bernard L., Director, Government Business Operations Issues, U.S. General Accounting Office: Followup questions and responses......................... 108 Prepared statement of.................................... 36 OVERSIGHT OF THE U.S. POSTAL SERVICE ---------- THURSDAY, OCTOBER 21, 1999 House of Representatives, Subcommittee on the Postal Service, Committee on Government Reform, Washington, DC. The subcommittee met, pursuant to notice, at 10:10 a.m., in room 2154, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. John M. McHugh (chairman of the subcommittee) presiding. Present: Representatives McHugh, Sanford, LaTourette, Miller, Fattah, Owens, and Davis. Staff present: Robert Taub, staff director; Heea Vazirani- Fales, counsel; Jane Hatcherson, professional staff member; Abigail D. Hurowitz, clerk; Denise Wilson, minority professional staff member; and Earley Green, minority staff assistant. Mr. McHugh. Good morning. The hearing will come to order. On behalf of the subcommittee members, I'm pleased to welcome everyone here as we continue the oversight agenda for the 106th Congress. Let me begin by saying to those who have suggested our Postal Service ain't broke, I think today's GAO testimony will serve as a wake-up call as we will hear GAO explain first class mail volume is expected to decline at an average annual rate of 2.5 percent in fiscal years 2003 to 2008. Such a decline would be unprecedented. Let me say that again. Unprecedented in the Service's history and will likely create severe financial and performance challenges. According to the Postmaster General, not only will this erosion place nearly $17 billion of total revenue at risk, but even worse, the Service's environment is changing so rapidly that we simply can't predict precisely when or to what extent competitive pressures may affect the Service's revenues. As a postal commentator by the name of Gene Del Polito recently quipped, ``In today's world, Internet years are more akin to dog years than the Julian calendar.'' So indeed we need to take heed when the GAO states again, ``The Postal Service may be nearing the end of an era.'' Irrespective of Congress's progress in modernizing the Nation's postal laws, it is clear that these developments make it imperative for the Postal Service to resolve long-standing performance challenges that will be detailed by our first panel of witnesses. Our first panel today will include Ms. Karla Corcoran, the Postal Service's Inspector General, and Mr. Bernard Ungar, the Director of Government Business Operations Issues for the General Accounting Office. Both the IG and GAO are on the front lines as America's postal watchdogs, and they have proven to be valuable partners with the subcommittee in reporting to us on a broad range of postal operations. Although the GAO has been evaluating postal operations since the days of the Post Office Department, the Inspector General is still a relatively new player on the post scene. Unlike every other major Federal agency, when it came to the Postal Service, the American public did not have the benefit of the oversight provided by an independent Inspector General. Fortunately, in my opinion, we remedied that problem in 1996 when we enacted legislation to create the postal IG. In that regard, the subcommittee certainly looks forward to hearing from Ms. Corcoran on the progress of establishing her office since her last presentation to this subcommittee in 1998. It is important that the American postal consumer be assured that the Inspector General has the necessary staff and resources to vigorously carry out all of her responsibilities under the IG Act. With a budget of some $62 billion and nearly 900,000 employees, the Postal Service rivals only the Department of Defense as the largest Federal agency. It would thus seem appropriate that the postal IG's budget would be comparable to the budgets of the Offices of Inspector General within the Department of Defense and other such agencies. I look forward to Ms. Corcoran's update on this matter today. It is important as well to note that both the IG and the GAO have identified a number of initiatives that the Postal Service could undertake to improve its own performance. I look forward to Ms. Corcoran and Mr. Ungar highlighting these initiatives, especially the extent to which the Service has followed up on the questions raised by the IG and GAO in reports to Congress. Further, they have a number of assignments pending. I hope Ms. Corcoran and Mr. Ungar can report to us on the status of these assignments and the impact these reports will have in assessing the productivity and the efficiency of the Postal Service. Our second panel consists of a single, yet a very important, individual, the Postmaster General, Mr. William Henderson. As Mr. Henderson notes in his written statement, mail delivery scores and net income appear today to be fine. However, he also underscores that the Postal Service faces considerable challenges in sustaining its current performance in maintaining a competitive role in providing mail service to the American public in the future. As both the IG and the GAO have found, the Postal Service requires significant attention to such areas as labor-management relations, internal controls, and revenue protection. The subcommittee looks forward to hearing Mr. Henderson's plans to develop innovative and workable solutions to these and other problems facing the Postal Service. While today's hearing is not specifically devoted to initiatives regarding reform, the GAO's message makes clear that time appears to be growing short for the Postal Service to successfully address these challenges. Unless the Service can adopt to a rapidly changing communications environment and growing competition, we are facing a major crisis in the postal sector. Inevitably the issues of modernizing our postal laws will prove inherent in evaluating the operations of the Postal Service itself, and the subcommittee is interested in hearing Mr. Henderson's assessments of developments in the reform debate. We thank all three of our panels of witnesses here today for joining with us. With that, I would be happy to yield to the distinguished ranking member for any comments he may wish to make at this time. [The prepared statement of Hon. John M. McHugh follows:] [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.001 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.002 Mr. Fattah. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I'm pleased to join you today for a general oversight hearing on the U.S. Postal Service and in welcoming our distinguished panelists. Our focus on the Postal Service is timely. Two days ago the House Subcommittee on Regulatory Reform and Paperwork Reduction held a hearing on the U.S. Postal Service regulations regarding commercial mail receiving agencies. Last week the Postal Service Office of Inspector General released some 51 reports and agreed to savings of over $1.1 billion. A number of these reports, six to be exact, address the treatment of postal workers by their supervisors. As a member of the subcommittee concerned, as we all are, with labor-management issues, I can tell you I'm concerned about the state of affairs at the Postal Service, particularly as it impacts better workplace relations. With over 826,000 employees, the Postal Service must move forward with real improvement in the way it treats its employees and improving labor-management relations. Two weeks ago our staff was briefed by the Postal Service about e-commerce initiatives. The Postal Service is very interested in having every household connected to an e-mail address. This foray into e-commerce must first grapple with a report just issued by the IG on computer security within the Postal Service. The report identified many significant weaknesses in computer security. As the IG states, ``the backbone of any successful e-commerce program must be built upon a secure and trustworthy computer network. Addressing deficiencies and shortcomings in the Postal Service's own computer system obviously must come first.'' Diversity and equal employment opportunity are two issues I am most interested in seeing resolved. To that end, I've asked the GAO to review and report back to this subcommittee the progress of the Postal Service in achieving diversity in the Postal Career Executive Service. These are senior, high-level, high-paying positions which must adequately reflect the diversity of the work force. With regards to OSHA, in the 105th Congress we enacted the Postal Employee Safety Enhancement Act. The Postal Service can now be cited, fined, and referred for criminal prosecution by OSHA for health and safety violations. Are postal facilities safe? Is the Postal Service in compliance with OSHA? I believe my colleagues on this subcommittee will agree that all postal employees deserve a safe working environment. I look forward to exploring this issue further with the IG and with the Postmaster General. Recently, we have been hearing rumblings that a postal rate increase is looming. I just got used to paying 33 cents for a stamp. I wish to examine how, given enormous profits touted by the Postal Service, how we can be in a position again to face an increase in the price of a postage stamp. The dialog on this matter must continue. Mr. Chairman, I can raise further issues forever. Suffice it to say that the general oversight of the Postal Service could not have come at a better time. I wish to thank the IG and the GAO for their time and reports and willingness to explore new issues and to find problems. I look forward to hearing how the Postal Service will tackle its current challenges and better position itself. Thank you. Mr. McHugh. I thank the gentleman. Any other Members seeking recognition at this time? Mr. Davis. Mr. Davis. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman, and I want to thank you for convening this hearing regarding oversight of the U.S. Postal Service. Today's hearing is timely and very important. In fact, this is our second hearing concerning the Postal Service and its operations this Congress. There are a number of issues that have emerged since our last oversight hearing. Among those issues include a report issued by the General Accounting Office concerning diversity within EAS 17 and above positions. In addition, there have been serious complaints and concerns regarding the number and amount of advertising dollars that are spent with small business vendors and in minority communities. The diversity issue is one that concerns me greatly, and making sure that minorities and women are represented at every level of the Postal Service must continue to be a priority. In addition, ensuring the minorities and women receive an adequate share of contracts must continue to remain high. Recently I had the opportunity to address a diversity forum sponsored by the Postal Service. At that forum were managers and senior managers discussing the importance of diversity. The Postal Service has been moving in the right direction with regard to this issue, and I want to commend them for that and urge that we continue with this progress. The question of advertising dollars and how they are spent concerns me. I requested the Congressional Research Service provide to me a breakdown of the total advertising budget for the Postal Service and how it is spent. In particular, I wanted to see what dollars were being spent in what communities and with minority vendors. I was told by CRS that the Postal Service did not have such a breakdown. Now, if that is true, I would like for us to move in the direction of seeing how we can put one together. This is a question that I posed with the Census Bureau not long ago, and we were successful in passing an amendment that would target advertising dollars to minority communities and with minority vendors. I will be interested in hearing the Postal Service's views on this issue. Finally, I, too, am concerned about the article that appeared in the USA Today newspaper yesterday that suggested that first-class mail could be in jeopardy by the year 2003 because of advances in technology and more people paying bills via e-commerce. The article also went on to say that the Postal Service could lose more than $17 billion in revenue over the next decade due to e-commerce. I'm interested in knowing what plans are being made to ensure the long-term competitiveness and viability of the Postal Service to continue providing universal service. I look forward to hearing GAO's full analysis of this issue, and again, Mr. Chairman, I thank you for convening this hearing and look forward to hearing all of the witnesses. Mr. McHugh. I thank the gentleman for his comments. I know his question relates to what the Postal Service is doing because the Postal Subcommittee has been working on H.R. 22 for 5 years. I just wanted to make sure we understood that. Let me now call forward our first panel. Karla Corcoran, the Inspector General of the U.S. Postal Service, who, I understand--if you'd just please come up while I'm doing your introductions--who, I understand, is accompanied by Mr. Thomas Coogan, who is a legal counsel for the IG, and Richard Chambers, who is Assistant Inspector General for Audit, and also Bernard L. Ungar, the Director of the Government Business Operations Issues Office of the U.S. General Accounting Office, who, I understand, is accompanied by Teresa Anderson, Assistant Director, and Gerald Barnes, also Assistant Director. You can see they're veterans because they have not been seated, and they know they have to take the oath. [Witnesses sworn.] Mr. McHugh. The record will show that all of the witnesses responded to the oath in the affirmative. And again, once more, we welcome you all here. Thank you for joining us. Starting from right to left because why not. Why don't we start with the Inspector General, and we do have your written testimony. I have read all of the testimony today in its entirety. It was all very interesting, and all of that will be submitted in its entirety for the record. We now turn our attention to you for your personal comments today. STATEMENT OF KARLA W. CORCORAN, INSPECTOR GENERAL, U.S. POSTAL SERVICE, ACCOMPANIED BY THOMAS COOGAN, LEGAL COUNSEL; AND RICHARD CHAMBERS, ASSISTANT INSPECTOR GENERAL FOR AUDIT, U.S. POSTAL SERVICE Ms. Corcoran. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Chairman McHugh, Congressman Fattah and members of the subcommittee, I'm pleased to be here today to discuss with you the progress of the OIG and what we've seen as we started looking at the Postal Service. Joining me are my counsel, Tom Coogan, and my Assistant Inspector General for Audits Richard Chambers. With your permission, I'm going to ask that we enter the full statement into the record. Mr. McHugh. Without objection. Ms. Corcoran. As you know, this is our third year as an independent Inspector General within the Postal Service. In the first year, we spent most of our time creating a separate mission from the Inspection Service. Our second year, we focused on hiring and initiating audits and investigations. You might be interested in knowing that we've identified over 1,000 projects that we believe need to be done within the Postal Service. And this is our third year we have spent reviewing key postal programs. We are a new organization by almost any standard. However, we have numerous accomplishments and have made remarkable progress. In the last 6 months alone, we've issued over 100 reports with $1.1 billion, that's a B for billion, in savings and cost avoidance over the next several years. We have 190 ongoing investigations. Our investigations have yielded 17 criminal charges and $2.1 million in fines and recoveries. We also have proactive investigations that are targeting fraud and corruption. In the last 6 months, our office has grown from 178 to 400--I'm sorry, in the last 18 months our office has grown from 178 to 400 and from four offices to six offices. With the Governor-approved budget for year 2000, we will grow to 648 staff. We will have 5 additional offices for a total of 11 offices. I'm very excited about our diversity statistics. Our staff consists of 43 percent women and 42 percent minorities. Each year the Inspector General community recognizes outstanding accomplishments within the community. I'm proud to say that this year, in fiscal year 1999, we received a total of eight Executive Council on Integrity and Efficiency Awards. This included four awards for excellence for our work in Y2K, labor-management, and developing a computer intrusion course for the entire community. This is the most awards received by any Inspector General within the community. Today I'd like to highlight for you the work we have done in five areas. Those areas are performance, technology, financial management, labor-management, and oversight of the Inspection Service. In the first area of performance, we have conducted 49 reviews of critical core business areas within the last 18 months. In the Corporate Call Management area, we identified nearly $1 billion in cost avoidances over the next several years by changing technology. In the transportation area, we issued two reviews identifying over $150 million in savings over a 5-year period. These were in the highway transportation contract area and the rail detention management area. We also looked at the Priority Mail Processing Center. We found that the contractor network had not significantly improved on-time delivery, yet it cost $100 million more than processing that mail in-house. Our investigators identified in the international arena as much as $20 million in revenue that could have been collected. However, the Postal Service had negotiated lower international rates even though the mail was processed totally within the United States. We've also performed work in the environmental area. We reviewed Postal Service's use of natural gas vehicles, and found that these vehicles have been placed in areas where there is no supply of natural gas. In the second area, technology, as you know, we have focused much of our work over the last 18 months in the Y2K area. We've issued nine reports. We testified before a joint committee subcommittee hearing in February. At that time we said Postal had a lot of work to do to be ready. Since then, with our assistance, Postal has made tremendous progress. However, challenges remain. In our latest report on Business and Continuity Plans, we identify many of our concerns about their plans and the testing of those plans. In addition, in the technology area, we are doing work in electronic commerce, computer intrusion, and developmental projects. We are also doing work in the financial management area. We include contracting and facilities in this area. We've done a total of 31 reports over the last 18 months. In the Dinero Seguro money transfer program, we identified ways to reduce the risk of money laundering. You asked us, Mr. Chairman, whether the indictment of Postal Service's Mexican business bank partner would jeopardize the integrity of the program. We said that it would not. However, as a result of our review, we did identify a previously unknown scheme, whereby drug traffickers would wire drug proceeds to Mexico. By partnering with other Federal agencies, we have made five arrests, and seized 25 kilograms of marijuana and 3 kilograms of cocaine. The Postal Service purchases over $8 billion of goods and services each year. Therefore, we've done quite a bit of work in the contracting area, much of it for Congressman Fattah. For example, one of the reviews we have done is to look at why there has been a decline in minority contracting. In another review, we recommended that three contractors for the Postal Service be suspended and/or debarred for various improprieties. Postal Service has 38,000 facilities. This makes Postal one of America's largest owners, developers, and managers of real estate. At your request, Mr. Chairman, we reviewed the Olympic facilities in Atlanta. We found that inappropriate approval and oversight had cost at least $9 million more than their original projections. Postal Service has identified labor-management as key to achieving their goals into the 21st century. This has been one of the toughest areas for us to address, first, because of the sheer magnitude of complaints we have received--over 2,500 individual complaints. Second, this is an area that we get push back from management. We have more recommendations that have not been agreed to in this area than in any other area. We're also extremely concerned about retaliation against employees that have assisted or worked with the OIG. Whenever we have allegations that employees are being retaliated against for working with the OIG, we immediately review them. We have 11 current investigations in this area under way, and 3 that we have completed. In the labor-management area, we focus on systemic reviews. In the last 18 months we've done 30 reports and 60 congressionals. A major report in this area has been to look at the threat assessment program. We have found that violence prevention and response policies within the Postal Service have not been followed in three districts. We are extending that review now to look at 26 additional districts so that we can make Postal-wide recommendations for improvement. The last area that I'd like to talk to you about is oversight of the Inspection Service. As you well know, that is one of the principal reasons why an independent Inspector General was created within the Postal Service. We have done 18 Inspection Service reports. These include crime lab certification, abuse of authority, and disciplinary actions. At your request, Mr. Chairman, we reviewed the classification of postal inspectors performing audits. We found that 250 inspectors who were performing audits were not spending at least 50 percent of their time in law enforcement as required by the Office of Personnel Management. The Inspection Service has agreed with our findings and has told us that they will no longer perform ``Yellow Book'' audits. This will have a major impact on the OIG. We currently are reviewing this with a task force, and we will be getting back with the Governors and you to let you know what impact this will have on us. One of our greatest challenges is continuing to develop effective relationships with the Inspection Service. I'm looking forward to working with the new Chief Inspector. We both have the same goal of improving postal operations. We have agreed to renew teambuilding to increase communication, trust, and coordination. In summary, I'd like to thank you for allowing us to serve the Postal Service. We have been a truly independent voice and a venue for all stakeholders to confidentially report allegations. We have delivered objective information and analysis of postal programs, and we have provided greater economy, efficiency, and integrity to Postal Service programs. I look forward to continuing to serve you and the Postal community. This concludes my statement. I'd be pleased to answer any questions. Mr. McHugh. Thank you very much both for your statement here today and, as I've mentioned earlier, your service over the past 3 years. 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So, Mr. Ungar, welcome to you again also. Thank you for being here, and we're looking forward to your comments. STATEMENT OF BERNARD L. UNGAR, DIRECTOR, GOVERNMENT BUSINESS OPERATIONS ISSUES, U.S. GENERAL ACCOUNTING OFFICE, ACCOMPANIED BY TERESA ANDERSON, ASSISTANT DIRECTOR; AND GERALD BARNES, ASSISTANT DIRECTOR, U.S. GENERAL ACCOUNTING OFFICE Mr. Ungar. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, members of the subcommittee. We're pleased to be here today to assist the subcommittee in carrying out its oversight function over the Postal Service. In our written statement, we really discuss three broad areas: the Service's historical performance, major challenges it faces in the next few years, and the results of our work since the last oversight hearing that the subcommittee had. In my summary, I would like to focus on the major challenges that we see and the change that we see over the horizon that the Postal Service is facing. First, I would like to note that our work as well as work of the Inspector General and information from the Postal Service would indicate that the Postal Service's performance currently and in the recent years has been notable. It's earned profits consecutively over the last 6 years, which is kind of a first since it was established as the modern Postal Service. It reports improvements in on-time delivery in both overnight mail, first-class overnight mail, and 2- and 3-day mail. It's made some progress in the labor-management area and some progress in work force diversity, particularly after the report that Mr. Davis mentioned. It's in better shape today now than it was a few months ago for the Y2K situation, and it's improved controls that we previously found to be deficient in the areas of changing addresses when people move and the acceptance of business mail. It also, last but not least, has made notable progress, in our view, in implementing the Results Act over the last year. However, as we indicated in our written statement, we see that the Postal Service may be nearing the end of an era. While the performance has been notable, we see formidable challenges in the future, first of which and foremost in our mind is sustaining its financial viability in the face of competition, increased use of electronic communications, and increased customer demands for more service, better, and cheaper. Historically, increasing postal rates and increasing mail volume have provided the Service with additional revenues which have enabled it to take care of and finance wage increases, modernization, and improvements in the quality of service. However, as figure 1 in our statement shows, and as indicated by the board over to my right, first-class mail volume, as you indicated, Mr. Chairman, may be in for a downturn. The growth rate of mail volume has increased, as we have in the chart laid out by decade. During the 1970's, it was increasing. It continues to increase in the 1980's. However, in the 1990's, the rate of increases started to come down, and the latest projection from the Postal Service is that during the next decade it's going to basically come down below where it was. In other words, not only will the rate decline, but the actual first-class mail is projected to volume decrease starting around 2003 and then continuing to go down from there as a result of electronic communication and technology. In addition, the Postal Service faces increased competition, as you know, from a variety of sources, and this certainly could also affect the volume of first-class mail and the revenue that's associated with first-class mail. Now, why is this important? One of the main reasons it's important is because first-class mail generates a large proportion of the Postal Service revenue overall, and it covers about--at least it has covered about--two-thirds of the Postal Service's overhead cost. So, if the volume of first-class mail goes down, the revenue goes down; it's going to have to make up that amount of money from someplace or cut costs substantially or both in order to cover the overhead, or the revenues from other classes of mail will have to increase. Just to give you an idea as to the type of challenge that we see the Postal Service facing, let's take the year 2000, for example, and the goal the Postal Service has which is currently to earn $2 million--excuse me, $100 million in 2000. To achieve this goal, the Postal Service says it must realize a 1 percent reduction in work hours of its employees and increase productivity by 3.1 percent. Now, how is this going to happen? It faces, at the same time it wants to achieve this goal, a situation in which mail volume in 2000 is expected to grow nearly 4 percent, and the number of delivery points that its carriers make is expected to grow as well as it has over the last few years. To top that off, if you look at the chart to my right again, looking at productivity historically since the modern Postal Service was established, it's only gone up 9 percent overall since 1972. And in 4 of the last 5 years, it has not gone up. It's gone down. And it's only gone up 3 percent on four occasions, 4 years over the entire period that's on the chart. So that puts in perspective its goal of 3 percent next year. That's not to say it's not achievable. I think, as we indicated, it's going to be a fairly significant and formidable challenge for the Postal Service to do this. The second challenge that we see deals with maintaining its service delivery. Our discussions with some of its large customers indicate they are very concerned about the Postal Service's ability to do this in the future. And this largely will depend upon new indicators--the Service now doesn't measure all classes of mail. It's in the process of developing indicators for a number of those, and I think it's going to be very important for the Service to continue that to make sure it does have indicators for all its major classes of mail so its customers and stakeholders, including Congress, can see just how well it's doing, and hopefully it will be improving. But both addressing its financial performance challenges and its service delivery performance challenges hinges heavily, in our view, and I think in terms of also the Inspector General, on its ability to forge a partnership or a better partnership with its employees. And as we've indicated in the past, as well as others, labor-management relations has been a very difficult problem in the Postal Service. We have seen some progress since our last report. The Postal Service and its unions and management associations have been meeting. However, we haven't seen a whole lot of substantial progress. We're glad to note that there was a negotiated agreement with some of its unions. However, as you know, with the city carriers, that wasn't the case. And the implications of that for the future may not be positive in terms of how the Service is going to be able to deal with that. Second, there is some indication from Postal Service data that the number of grievances has not gone down. As a matter of fact, it appears to have gone up, which is not a good sign in terms of improving the partnership with its employees, and it's going to be difficult, we think, for the Postal Service to accomplish its goals and meet the challenges if it can't forge a much better relationship with its employees. Finally, the last challenge I'd like to summarize has to do with the integrity of the data that the Postal Service uses for both measuring performance and for ratemaking. It's critical, we think, that the Service has reliable data to report to its stakeholders and to its customers on its on-time delivery in all classes of mail as well as other indicators. It's also very important for the Service to provide reliable data for ratemaking purposes. Mr. Chairman, this is an issue that you raised several years ago, as you know. The contract--excuse me, the Postal Service at your behest and urging--hired a contractor to assess the data. The report is issued. The contractor made 40--over 40 recommendations--as to improvements that could and should be made in the ratemaking data process. Unfortunately, when we've talked to the Postal Service, we can't get a clear signal from the Postal Service as to what specific actions it plans to take with respect to those recommendations and a timeframe. So in our testimony, we are making a formal recommendation to the Postmaster General to develop a plan and come up with some specific actions that it would propose to take. Obviously, it may not be able to address all those in the short term; so I would presume there would be some that the Postal Service could address in the short term and perhaps some that would take more time and effort. That, Mr. Chairman, concludes my summary. We'd be happy to answer any questions that you may have. Mr. McHugh. Thank you, Mr. Ungar. 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I recognize Mr. Fattah. Mr. Fattah. I just want to put this on the record. We have to go to vote. Immediately after the vote Title I is coming back to the floor. I have two amendments scheduled for debate on the floor. I may not be back with you for a while, but you are in capable hands. I will have some written questions that my staff will submit to the panel. Mr. McHugh. We thank the gentleman. I appreciate his work on Title I. That's a very important bill. So we will go vote. It's a Journal vote, so it doesn't take a lot of time or thought. It's yes or no. And try--if I could ask those Members that can, return as soon as they can. We stand in recess. Thank you. [Recess.] Mr. McHugh. I'm here. You're here. Let's start. Mr. Ungar, let's begin with you. Obviously your report has created some interest, and I think that's a good thing. I think it can help us to focus on the challenges that many of us had thought were certainly on their way, but most of us thought, I believe, that they were a little bit further away than what we're now hearing. The projections you used are from the Postal Service itself. Did you have an opportunity to examine the probable validity, the accuracy, the level of confidence on those, and if so, how do you evaluate that? Pretty good projection, do you think? Reasonable? Mr. Ungar. We didn't do a full evaluation of that, Mr. Chairman. It seemed reasonable on the surface, but again, I'd have to say we did not certainly independently verify the information, and I think it's difficult to predict the future. I think the Service looked at the--looked historically at what the situation has been, and certainly what the current scenarios are, and what the likely trends are given electronic communication and competition, and put the estimate together. Mr. McHugh. For your purposes, you took that figure as moderately reliable; might be higher, might be a little lower, but as far as we can tell sitting here today, 2\1/2\ percent within the next 3 years seems reasonable? Mr. Ungar. It's in the ballpark. Again, predicting exactly in what year, at what point in time and exact percent I think is going to be very difficult. It certainly seems to be reasonable given the scenarios. Mr. McHugh. I remember when I graduated from high school that was an end of an era. It was the end of a not-so-good era and the beginning of a pretty good one. When I decided not to run for reelection in the New York State Senate, that was the end of an era. I came down here. It was the start of not such a good era. How do you phrase ``end of an era'' in your report? Mr. Ungar. Mr. Chairman, Mr. Davis, Mr. LaTourette, basically we're using it in the context of a major change. Now, whether it's positive or negative I think depends upon, as in your experience, how the Service and the Congress deal with the formidable challenges that the country faces in terms of what's facing the Postal Service. Obviously its performance in recent times is good. The Service may feel good at the end of one era, but as we approach the next millennium, I think the competitors are here. They're probably here in this room. They're out there. Mr. McHugh. They're always out there. Mr. Ungar. That's right, yes. They're not only domestic competitors, but they're foreign competitors, too, as you know, who are here and there may be more on the way. That is coupled with electronic commerce, coupled with the kind of unique organization that the Postal Service is, sort of half governmental and half private, and some of the constraints it faces, it doesn't have, on the one hand, some of the flexibility that the private sector firms have. On the other hand, it has some protections. It doesn't have to do some things that the private sector has to do, although that's dwindling in some cases like in the area of worker safety. So it really is a situation in which the Service is going to have to face the challenge. It's going to probably have to change--I don't know if I should use the word reform. Mr. McHugh. Go ahead. Mr. Ungar. But I think it can't do it certainly alone. I think the Congress is going to really have to work with the Postal Service, and as we mentioned in our statement, I think it's going to be very important for the Postal Service to effectively work with the human capital, the employees in the Postal Service, and somehow in some way, and I'm not quite sure how, to do better in terms of working relationships with the unions, particularly the clerks and the city letter carriers, than it has in the past. It's been very confrontational. I think as we testified before, the implementation of delivery point sequencing was a major dilemma and a major difficulty for the Postal Service working with the unions, with the city letter carrier union. In the future there undoubtedly are going to be changes. I don't know exactly what those changes are going to be. We don't see how the Postal Service is going to make progress without more of a cooperative effort. We think the Results Act and the goals that the Postal Service has set and the goals it will set working with the stakeholders, including the unions, might be a vehicle to try to reach agreement on some common goals relative to its future viability for both the well being of its employees and its financial viability. Mr. McHugh. You really segued into just the last part before I turn it over to my colleagues, and then if we have time, I'd like obviously to get back to Ms. Corcoran and also to you. This is what the Postmaster General later will describe, and I'm assuming you agree with this generalization as well. It could put at risk $17 billion of Postal Service revenues. That's almost 30 percent of its current operating stream. That's an enormous challenge. I'm hearing you say that the Postal Service has certain inherent problems in House problems that it needs to stand up to. But as well, it probably can't go it alone; that the Congress and, I would assume, this subcommittee and this House has a role as well to try to--let's not use the word reform-- reposition the Postal Service. I think I heard you say as well there are two things about that. One, to allow the Postal Service to respond to this new era in a way that all of us agree is appropriate, whatever that way may be, but also perhaps to level the playing field as that activity interfaces with the private sector. Is that a fair description of what you said? Mr. Ungar. Yes, sir. I think it will be, of course, a public policy decision on that level playing field and how far one goes and the consequences for the public in terms of universal service. Mr. McHugh. Absolutely. I don't want to presume to ask you to help us there. That's supposedly what we get paid for. Thank you. Let me yield to Mr. Davis. Mr. Davis. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Ms. Corcoran, I was very intrigued by your testimony, especially the level of progress that you indicate in being able to identify areas of need and then coming up with movement toward some resolution of those. Did I understand that by contracting out priority services, that that had not been an increase in on-time delivery? Ms. Corcoran. A very small increase, less than 2 percent, I believe. Mr. Chambers. About 1 to 4 percent. Ms. Corcoran. About 1 to 4 percent. Mr. Davis. Did I understand that this system, though, saved the Service $100 million? Ms. Corcoran. No, it cost an additional $100 million over doing it in-house because they have to put their own infrastructure together, the contractor does, to do this. Mr. Davis. So we spent an additional $100 million to contract out priority services and yet did not experience much in the way of an increase of on-time delivery. Ms. Corcoran. That's correct. Mr. Davis. That is, in discussions or conversations, did you get anything relative to what the rationale had been for making the decision to contract those services out? Ms. Corcoran. Yes, we did. The Postal Service realized at the time that they were doing the contracting that it was going to cost more to contract, and that's one of the things that they pointed out to us numerous times, that they had been aware of this from the start. Mr. Chambers has been involved in a lot of the discussions with Postal Service, so I'd like him to address that. Mr. Chambers. Actually, as our report indicates, this really stemmed from a problem earlier in the decade with delivery rates for priority mail. This was an initiative on the part of the Postal Service. This network was created to try and get the on-time performance scores for priority mail to increase. They felt that a dedicated network that would be operated primarily on the east coast would increase those scores. In the process, they contracted out to a vendor, and again, as we've said, that is a more expensive proposition. We really haven't been able to document that it's increased the performance a lot. Part of that stems from the fact that they didn't create a baseline of performance in that area, so it's kind of hard to say that the performance in that region today is much better than it was before. So what we did was to compare the performance in that region with similar regions of the Postal Service where they operated without a contractor. That's the basis on which we say there was very little increase in performance. Mr. Davis. Did we find that their projections were off or the analysis just was not good from the beginning? Were there changes in the environment which took place that had not been foreseen that could have resulted in the lack of performance? Mr. Chambers. Well, again, the performance in that region today is comparable to what it is in other regions of the Postal Service. Also there is really no evidence that before the network there was a significantly lower performance in that region before. They were trying to get scores higher. The percentage of on-time delivery, they're trying to get that up to like 95-96 percent. It's coming close to that, but again it's not much lower than that in other highly developed urban type areas of the United States. Mr. Davis. Thank you. Ms. Corcoran it is also my understanding that the Postal Service failed to collect $20 million in revenue because they charged a lower negotiated international rate for mail actually processed as domestic mail. If that is the case, is there something that they need to do? What can they do to get this under control? Ms. Corcoran. This, I believe, is a one-time instance as far as we know. We're certainly going to be looking at that. They do have rules and procedures in place. The mail was to be put in the mail stream outside the country; instead it was actually trucked into the country and put into the mail stream here. Had it been put into the mail stream outside of the country, the international rates would have been appropriate. But we even found they were losing revenue even at that, because it was costing them more than what it would have. Mr. Davis. But you would think that the corrective action has been taken that would prevent any recurrence. Ms. Corcoran. We just issued that report at the end of September. We will be going back and working with them to assure that they have taken corrective action on it. Mr. Davis. Thank you very much. Mr. Ungar, the IG has identified a problem with the quality and integrity of data provided by the Postal Service. Obviously, this is some of the information that they would have used to make the prediction or the projection that there's going to be a substantial decline in first class volume in the next decade. How reliable do you find this data to be or think that it is? Mr. Ungar. Mr. Davis, as we indicated, we didn't make an independent verification of the data. I think the data we're really talking about relate to the future, the predictions for the future in terms of mail volume that's expected. So again, we aren't in a position to verify that, but on the other hand, I'm not sure how you verify a prediction. All you can do is ask, does it appear reasonable, do the assumptions appear reasonable? And it's certainly clear that the competition is there. I don't think anybody would argue with that. I think the, you know, the trend toward more and more use of electronic communications, electronic commerce, and the Internet is there. Now, again we certainly can't say with any certainty that the exact percent is accurate down to the tenth of a point, or we can't certainly say that the exact day or the time is there. But it's certainly--the direction that the Postal Service is projected--reasonable, based on all that information. Mr. Davis. On page 16 of your testimony, you state, and I quote, that the Service reported that it has made aggressive capital investments in technology and infrastructure to improve the distribution and delivery of mail as well as reduce labor cost. How much have we been able to reduce labor costs or is that something that we've been able to determine? Mr. Ungar. Mr. Davis, I think it's come down slightly as a percentage of overall costs. I don't believe that labor costs have come down absolutely; is that correct? Ms. Anderson. They have come down as a percentage slightly. Mr. Ungar. They've come down as a percentage of total costs. I don't believe they've come down in absolute terms. I think that's going to be a fairly significant challenge for the Postal Service. I think the customers of the Postal Service, particularly the business mailers, have been expecting to see an actual drop in the cost of operations in the Postal Service and greater efficiency as a result of these capital investments. Unfortunately, it doesn't appear as though the actual savings have materialized as quickly or as greatly as the Postal Service had predicted. Now one area that we specifically looked at and reported on last year was the delivery point sequencing initiative. There were significant problems in getting that going on schedule and keeping it on schedule. So there were some areas there where the Postal Service didn't realize as much savings as it expected. Mr. Davis. Finally Mr. Chairman, if I might, Ms. Corcoran, you indicated that you had discovered, or that your office found $1.1 billion during the last 6 months in monetary benefits. Do you have any idea of what's actually out there, how much more there might be or how much more one could look for? Ms. Corcoran. I wish I did, but I don't. $1.1 billion--the cost avoidance through fiscal year 2007--is fairly significant to have found in a 6-month period. In all honesty, I would hope that we don't find that much every 6 months because it would indicate that things aren't going as well within the Postal Service as you would hope. But we will continue to look and to work with them to try to improve things, so there's not that type of monetary savings. Mr. Davis. Well, I think you've done an outstanding job in that area. And I would hope also that you don't find much more because it's not there. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. McHugh. I thank the gentleman. The gentleman from Ohio, Mr. LaTourette. Mr. LaTourette. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you for having the hearing. Ms. Corcoran, I, having been a member of this subcommittee now for a few years, want to give you and your office praise--for every time you appear before the subcommittee first, and second of all, for the fine work that you've done and the reports that you've issued. I do want to talk to you about your written testimony in two parts, one on page 4. There was a conclusion reached by you and your office that found that the international business unit of the Postal Service did not have key processes in place to achieve projected revenue goals and that some initiatives fell short of revenue projections. And then on page 8, in the list of reports that you've issued, the second bullet point on page 8 indicates that your office examined the financial profitability of international mail and determined that international mail contributed positively to the financial position of the Postal Service and is not subsidized by domestic mail service. I guess--can you reconcile those two paragraphs for me? Do I understand, in the international mail arena, the Postal Service has 14 what are called outbound mail services. And if I understand what you're saying on page 4, you're saying that not all of those are operating in a revenue positive position for the Postal Service, but on page 8 are you saying, overall, that the Postal Service's international mail operation is--it's covering its costs and it's not being subsidized by domestic mail? Ms. Corcoran. This is a little confusing when you compare those two. On page 8 what we're talking about there was a question that was asked quite often a year ago about whether or not international mail was cross-subsidized by domestic mail. And page 8 we did a review, and we found that that was not occurring. The review that we talk about on page 4 was really a review of the international business unit as a whole, not necessarily of their products, but of their initiatives. We were looking at this separate business unit. In fact up until this point in time, I believe it was the only business unit that the Postal Service had identified as a separate unit. We took a look to see whether or not what they were expecting from this business unit was really going to occur and whether or not the projections in revenues that they had were really appropriate. We found that, as it says here, they fell short of some of the revenue projections. Mr. LaTourette. My question is spurred by a report from June of this year to the Congress by the Postal Rate Commission that examined the 14 outbound international mail products, and they indicated that of the 14, four they found to be noncompensatory; that is, they didn't make as much money as it cost for the Postal Service to be involved in them. And I'm wondering if that squares with what you found, and if it does, in order to have the paragraph of the bullet point on page 8 make sense, are the other 10 making so much money that it covers the deficits in costs for the four that are not? And the four that are cited by the Postal Rate Commission are the surface printed matter and small packet surface periodicals, global priority mail and global package link. Mr. Chambers. I would like to answer that one for you. Actually when we completed our work, looking at international mail, the possible cross-subsidization, we concluded that there is not cross-subsidization between domestic and international; that is, as a whole, the international products are paying their way. We did, however, I believe in our report raise the possibility that there could be cross-subsidization within the international products; that is, one might not be paying its way and another would. At the time we concluded our work, we planned to do a second phase. It was about the same time that the Congress gave the Postal Rate Commission additional oversight responsibilities in the international mail arena at which point we deferred to them to take a look at the possibility of cross- subsidization within those products. Mr. LaTourette. Thank you. Mr. Ungar, is that something you all looked at at GAO? Mr. Ungar. We didn't look, Mr. LaTourette, at revenue and expenses in the depth of the Inspector General. We looked at the GPL program last year and reported on that. Did you want to say anything? Ms. Anderson. We didn't look at whether or not it was being cross-subsidized. Again, we've been working with the PRC and with the Postal Service in looking at the general issue of the quality of ratemaking data, but we did not look specifically at the international area. Mr. LaTourette. Did you make any recommendations relative to GPO? Mr. Ungar. Excuse me? Mr. LaTourette. Did you make any recommendations as a result of your analysis, or are you deferring to the PRC in terms of rate? Mr. Ungar. Not on GPL. We did, however, make a recommendation to the Postal Service on ratemaking domestically in terms of the Postal Service's response to the contractor's recommendations. I think they only dealt with domestic rates; the contractor didn't look at the international area. Mr. LaTourette. Thank you very much. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. McHugh. I thank the gentleman. I'll come back to that line because I think the gentleman from Ohio has raised some very interesting points that I would like to pursue a little bit further. But let me yield to my fellow colleague from the great State of New York, Mr. Owens. Mr. Owens. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Unfortunately, we have a major bill on the floor for the Education and Labor Committee that I serve on; I won't be able to stay. But I have a couple questions related to the work force. I'm the ranking Democrat on the Subcommittee on the Work Force, and you acknowledge--we would like to acknowledge the fact that we have seen some impressive efforts in identifying systemic problems in the labor-management area. Specifically I want to ask, has the Postal Service been receptive to your reviews on how to improve the grievance arbitration procedure, reduce the backlog of grievances, and improve the labor climate? And if they have not, why not? If so, what's changed, what's different? Mr. Chambers. I believe, as we took a look at the grievance and arbitration area, we actually did two or three different reports on that and found that there was an opportunity to review those processes. In fact, we found---- Mr. Owens. Can you get closer to the mic, please. Mr. Chambers. We did take a look at the grievance and arbitration area. We issued a couple of reports. One report on the management information data found that they really needed to improve the information they had in the grievance and arbitration area. They agreed with us on our work and said that they would improve that area. I think our second report dealt more with how the grievance and arbitration cases were handled in terms of working with the unions. If I'm not mistaken, I believe there was not a consensus on how those issues could be resolved. I don't have those details at my fingertips. Mr. Owens. Did you not have some reports on conditions in the workplace? Mr. Chambers. Yes, I believe we have issued a number of those reports as well. Again, specific reports don't come to mind right off, but I know we have issued several reports in those areas. Mr. Owens. You're not familiar with the one that deals with the Suncoast district? Mr. Chambers. Yes, I'm sorry. That's the district-wide review we did on the labor-management climate, and we did find a number of areas where there could be improvement. In fact, it was on that basis that we recommended expansion of our work; and we're now doing it nationally, we're looking at an additional 26 districts. We did not get an agreement out of--it was an interesting situation, because we actually got more agreement at the local level on the issues than we did as we moved up to the area level within the Postal Service. Mr. Owens. Can you explain a little more, if the Postal Service has a zero tolerance for violence, how could that situation be so prevalent? I mean, can you explain? Mr. Chambers. Well, much of, I think, what we've disclosed dealt with the issue of the labor climate assessments and the fact that those climate assessments were not being done, and that some of the issues that were arising from them were not being corrected. It's on that basis, as we said, we want to do a more nationwide effort on that. Mr. Owens. But there was resistance as you went up the chain, you said. Mr. Chambers. That's my recollection on that particular one. I would have to double-check it, but as I recall--and this is something that's not uncommon--we have, in some cases, gotten more cooperation from management on labor-management issues at the lower levels than when we move up. In fact, the most consistent resistance we get on our labor-management recommendations actually comes at the headquarters level and at the area vice president level. Mr. Owens. What is the response of the Postmaster General to that? Ms. Corcoran. I have mentioned this to Mr. Henderson. We have been hoping that a Deputy Postmaster General would be put in place so we could start working with them. Now they have put in an executive vice president for Human Resources, and that was done last week. We will be addressing those issues with her. Mr. Owens. Would you say that massive labor-management problems are still not a priority, have not been made a priority? Ms. Corcoran. They are a priority, by all means. In fact, we have devoted a substantial amount of our resources to looking at these issues. Mr. Owens. On another subject, last year Representative Fattah contacted your office and requested an investigation of Postal Service minority procurement opportunities. Your report revealed that the Postal Service did not enforce its requirements that contractors submit subcontracting plans and encourage including minority subcontracts. It also showed that contracting officers use their discretion in deciding when to comply with requirement, and that minority contracts have declined annually since fiscal year 1994. To your knowledge, has the Postal Service begun to reverse the decline of the minority contracting opportunities? Has the Postal Service adopted any of the recommendations contained in your report? Ms. Corcoran. Yes, they have. While we have not done a followup review as of yet, we have been keeping tabs on this, what the Postal Service has done in this area, while we've been doing other contracting areas. We will eventually be doing a followup audit, probably toward, spring of next year. We want to give Postal Service long enough to actually put processes in place. Also, Congressman Davis, you had mentioned earlier today your concern about minority contracting for advertising. We are going to be doing a local advertising job this year. We will be looking at whether or not minorities are given the same opportunity to compete for advertising as well as other individuals. Mr. Owens. You'll be recommending those things, or there is already a commitment from the top that those things will be done? Ms. Corcoran. We will be looking to see whether or not Postal has an adequate program in place to assure that minorities are included in local advertising. Mr. Owens. The commitment has been made; they have said they would put an adequate program in place to correct this. That commitment has been made already. Ms. Corcoran. No, not to my knowledge. Mr. Owens. You're going to recommend it. Ms. Corcoran. Well, I cannot say what we will recommend until we've done the review. But we will look to see whether or not they have adequate controls in place. And if they don't, then we certainly will make recommendations to assure that minorities are adequately included within the contract's consideration. Mr. Owens. Thank you. Mr. McHugh. The vice chairman of the subcommittee, the gentleman from South Carolina, Mr. Sanford. Mr. Sanford. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I want to apologize. I may have to run in just a second. I guess my question would be for you, Mr. Ungar, that if you look at this as a theoretical question, but H.R. 22, for instance, the whole debate about the bill has been tied to, you know, what do we do to prepare the Post Office for what's coming its way; and I think that John created the perfect bill given the political confines he had to deal with. In other words, I don't think you could have crafted a finer bill, given the political reality that exists on the Hill and with the different constituents tied to Postal. My question would be, assume you're just a raging idealogue, which is where I would be, not tied to the political reality that John has to deal with on a daily basis, if you were to look at it from that perspective and you look at the problems confronting the Post Office, would your goal be, in this perfect world, to deal more with the cost side or on the revenue side, increasing revenue as a way of fixing the problem or decreasing cost? Mr. Ungar. That's a tough question. I think I would focus first on cost, but let me ask Ms. Anderson to address that more fully. Ms. Anderson. I would think that the Postal Service would really need to focus on both. And you'll find that they have goals and they have strategies in their performance plans that I think really go to trying to achieving gains in both areas. And obviously the more successful they are in reducing their costs, that would put less pressure on the need to find additional revenues. But I think the efforts really have to go toward both sides. Mr. Sanford. One of my struggles has been, if you look at the cost part of the equation and you look at labor costs as measured against other private sector competitors--and again it's not a perfect match-up, given universal service and other constraints that the Postal Service has--would you really focus in on the labor portion of the cost segment? Would that be a big star as you look at cost structure, Mr. Ungar? Mr. Ungar. Well, it has to be looked at, sir, because obviously there are different percentages, but it's roughly in the 80 percent area, plus or minus, that constitutes a cost. So I don't know how the Postal Service would be able to make any substantial progress without somehow addressing that. Now, exactly how it's going to do that is a real challenge. As we indicated, productivity over the last many years hasn't significantly improved despite, you know, the amount of money that's gone into automation and capital improvement. Maybe that will change somewhat in the future as more progress is made. But I don't know how it's going to make substantial progress without looking somehow at the labor portion of that. Mr. Sanford. What would be benchmarks that you would see in the private sector in terms of productivity gains with private sector competitors in mail-related businesses? Mr. Ungar. I would presume you would have to look at organizations like Federal Express. If you are talking about individual companies, I would presume it would be those organizations that are involved in the same type of activity. Now, maybe foreign counterparts might be another. Mr. Sanford. Do you have any of those? Would you have any feel for what kind of productivity gains they've been looking at? Mr. Ungar. We have not addressed that, sir. Ms. Anderson. We haven't looked at the private sector. Mr. Ungar. We haven't looked at that aspect of foreign postal organizations and what kind of data they have. Mr. Sanford. I thank the chairman. Mr. McHugh. I thank the gentleman. Mr. Ungar, as I said in my earlier comments, many of us expected this type of challenge that you generally outline in your report. But most of us thought it was some time away; we thought the wolf was out in the woods. I think you're showing us that if the wolf isn't at the door, he may in fact be coming up to the front steps. I want to probe what you said a little bit earlier, because it may be worse than that. If I heard you correctly, you talked about the Postal Service's financial plan for next year, 2000, their projection of $100 million net revenue. I believe I heard you say that the factors on which that $100 million is predicated are, shall we say, optimistic, a 1 percent reduction in work hours, which goes against everything that we see in the workplace structure, in the numbers of stops, numbers of employees; 3.1 percent productivity increase, as opposed to an entire 9 percent increase since 1972, or 25 years. So I believe what you're suggesting in your very judicious way is that $100 million based on $62 billion of revenue--I wish I had a $100 million in my back pocket. But if your entire budget is $62 billion, $100 million is not an enormous amount of money, so that's pretty optimistic. Is that what I heard you say? Mr. Ungar. In our conservative way, I think so, yes. Although, again, predicting the future is awfully difficult, as you know. That's why we label this as a challenge and a fairly formidable challenge, because the forces seem to be going in the opposite direction. Now, maybe there will again be some very big payoff that we're not seeing in some of the automation and capital improvements. But it would certainly seem to take--I hate to use the word ``miracle,'' but it would certainly take some significant event or series of events that would appear to enable the Service to achieve its goal. Again, it certainly may do that, but it looks like a fairly significant challenge for all the reasons that we both cited. Mr. McHugh. I understand that. I have been in government for nearly 30 years now and I know what it is to make 5-year budget projections and look 6 years back and laugh like crazy, no doubt about it, but we have to make certain assumptions. But the point that I think needs to be kept in mind here is that a lot of good folks are here this morning because of, in large measure, what your analysis found. And I think they're here because they wanted to try to better understand how it is that now, within a timeframe as short as 3 years, we could have a problem facing the Postal Service that could total $17 billion, nearly 30 percent of its total operating revenues. What I'm suggesting is, if you just forget about the 3 years from now when that $17 billion is driven largely by the challenge from electronic commerce and electronic communication, you've actually got a Postal Service that could be in big, big trouble starting as early as next year. I think in terms of what this subcommittee has been trying to do for the past 5 years, and, as the vice chairman said, as we've tried to react to the practical and the political realities of passing a bill in this town, 3 years, 2003 is just around the corner. Next year, for all intents and purposes, is here today. So I think the message for this morning has to be, we don't have a lot of time anymore. The Congress has to be a part of this. We owe it to the Postal Service, but more importantly, we owe it to the American people. The Postal Service itself has problems that it needs to meet head on. As Ms. Anderson said, there are certain cost constraints and cost problems that they can and should meet internally. But this is going to take some serious resolve by this Congress and by the Postal stakeholders, a lot of whom are in this room today and a lot of whom I don't think truly believe the urgency of the problem. But I hope they're beginning to reassess this morning. So, with that, we do have the Postmaster General. We've taken up almost 2 hours of your time, and I deeply appreciate your being here. Ms. Corcoran, particularly, I've got a whole lot of questions I want to ask you. But with both of your indulgence, we'll submit those for the record. 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I want to thank Ms. Corcoran, who, I think, is doing an amazing job in establishing an office, and yet at the same time, not spending a lot of time getting acclimated, but rather going out, and as her testimony so adequately and, I think, accurately details, making a real difference in the quality of service that the Postal Service provides. Thank you for that effort and that initiative. And, Mr. Ungar, to all of you in the GAO, thanks for your partnership and you'll be hearing from us. Thank you so much. [The information referred to follows:] [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.083 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.084 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.085 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.086 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.087 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.088 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.089 Mr. McHugh. The next person to testify, of course, is the Postmaster General and Chief Executive Officer of the U.S. Postal Service, Mr. William J. Henderson. General Henderson, welcome. Raise your right hand. [Witness sworn.] Mr. McHugh. The record will show the Postmaster General responded to the oath in the affirmative, as I knew he would, because he's always a truthful man. Mr. Postmaster General, Bill, welcome. Thank you for being here. Thank you for your patience. As you can see, we have a few topics to talk about. The stage has been set, and we're looking forward to your comments. I have read your testimony; it will be submitted in its entirety for the record. We now look forward to your presentation this morning. STATEMENT OF WILLIAM J. HENDERSON, POSTMASTER GENERAL AND CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER Mr. Henderson. I won't read back my testimony to you. I'll just make a few brief comments, and then we'll go to the questions, if that's what you like. First of all, thank you for all the help you've been. We've had--in a short term, we've had a very good year. In the Postal Service this fiscal year we set record goals in service and we also received a record rating of 94 percent by the consumers across America in rating the Postal Service good, very good and excellent. We expect in this fiscal year to do about $100 million better than what we planned, so somewhere the neighborhood of $300-plus million. That's in spite of the fact--and you've been talking about it--the fact that we missed our revenue plan by $620 million. In other words, when we postponed the rates increase in June--that was scheduled for June, to January, we gave the American public an $800 million deficit. We didn't expect at that time to also have to make up another $620 million in revenue. So, from an operating point of view, it was a difficult, but successful year. We also, on the employee front, were very proud of the fact that we negotiated two labor agreements, one with the American Postal Workers Union, one with the Mail Handlers Union, that set the stage, I believe, for much better labor relations. We're in the process of negotiating, as we speak, with the National Letter Carriers Association. And we regrettably went to arbitration with the National Association of Letter Carriers, but that is now behind us. So I think it's been a very successful year for the Postal Service. But I, like you, do not think that the future is potentially as good unless the Postal Service does something about the Internet, gets involved in it, gets active in it. And I also think that H.R. 22 is a very important piece of legislation that will help the Postal Service in its future. I've talked about $17 billion which is the amount of money that people pay postage for to get bills and payments to one another. And there's no question all you have to do is read the paper: The conditions are springing up every day trying to put partnerships together in order to get that lucrative piece of business. So it's not a matter of if, but when, and the impact on the Postal Service will be substantial when that occurs. So I think all of the posts of the world face this and all of the posts of the world, with the exception of the U.S. Postal Service, all the industrialized posts, are actively engaged in reformation, including a major move toward privatization. So I think your work on this subcommittee is very important to the lifeblood and future of the Postal Service. And I might add that you can't wait until the thing crashes, because by the time you recover from a crash, you will have injured a lot of businesses in America with forced higher rates. So thank you. [The prepared statement of Mr. Henderson follows:] [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.090 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.091 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.092 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.093 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.094 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.095 [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] T3821.096 Mr. McHugh. Thank you. I think that's certainly one of the messages here today insofar as the Congress' role in this. Three years is the blink of an eye; it takes us 3 years to decide what day of the week it is, and then we don't all agree. So the point being, I think, the challenge is immediately upon us. I'm sure my colleagues are going to want to ask you about what you can do internally to make it up. But let me ask a broader-based question, just to begin. You're talking in your testimony and in other venues about at risk in this decline of first-class mail, $17 billion roughly. That is about 30 percent. If nothing else were to change, you've had no legislative relief, you've now had to go to this service cutback size, because you're locked in on contracts, et cetera, what does 30 percent in terms of cutbacks mean to an organization like the Postal Service? Are you even able to dream of such a thing? Mr. Henderson. Well, it would be very traumatic not just for the Postal Service's workers; it would be traumatic for the American public. I mean, the Postal Service is forced by law to break even. So you would begin a huge cost-cutting effort, but you would also begin raising prices. I mean, I've used as a metaphor many times the Sears problems in the 1980's where they lost traffic in their stores across America. And if they had had the postal laws governing them, they would have had to raise their prices, which would have just sent them into a spiral. So it's very important that these issues be addressed prior to this happening, not after it happens. Mr. McHugh. Generally, for rate cases, I understand you roughly equate a 1-cent increase in the cost of a first-class stamp as a billion dollars in revenue; is that right? Mr. Henderson. Right. Mr. McHugh. That probably would not be true anymore, however, in the future, if your first class volume is coming down like that; but let's use that. If it were even semipractical to raise the price of a first-class stamp 17 cents above, making it 50 cents, have you projected or looked at what that might do to the volume of first-class usage? Wouldn't you just be digging your own hole deeper and causing more problems, and the higher you're forced to raise the cost, the less the return, diminishing return? Mr. Henderson. That's absolutely right. We are looking at scenarios, operational scenarios, but as a general proposition, you can see it from prior rate increases, when you raise the rates, there's a deflation of volume for a period of time until stamps become a better bargain. It would be disastrous for the American community to have that happen, absolutely disastrous, and we would try every possibility not to allow it to happen. But $17 billion is a lot of money. Mr. McHugh. Have you had an opportunity to prioritize your least favorite options? In other words, what do you do first? Let me pose the question that you never want to answer: Do you begin to close Post Offices or do you cut back on Saturday mail delivery or---- Mr. Henderson. We are in the process of developing those scenarios now. I don't have the priority today, but I mean you would look at every cost center you had. You would have to look at everything. Service reductions, you would have to look at it across the board in order to make up a 30 percent drop in your revenues. Mr. McHugh. You operate 38,000 post offices roughly across America. If you were forced to a point by which you had to close some, I would assume a large segment of the least efficient or most costly are probably in rural communities. Is that a fair statement? Mr. Henderson. Yes. Mr. McHugh. We do have some bells, for a vote, but before we do that, let me yield to Mr. Davis and maybe he can complete his questioning before we go vote. Mr. Davis. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Henderson, we discussed a great deal with Ms. Corcoran--cost savings, cost-cutting, finding revenue that could be enhanced. Given the fact that we spent the $101 million contracting out Priority Service without any real discernible improvements, is there any rethinking of that decision? Mr. Henderson. Well, let me say for the record that we don't agree that there was not any substantial improvement. We have an independently measured service, independent measure of service, that shows the PMPC network substantially higher than the rest of the country. The IG based that finding on the fact that we did not have a baseline. But if you look at absolute scores between what the PMPC network is doing and the rest of the country, there's a substantial improvement; and that improvement is based on the fact that we've created a network, hubs for processing of priority mail, not the fact that whether or not it's done in house or by private sector. Mr. Davis. You indicate that they weren't looking necessarily at all of the factors in terms of a baseline. There has been some question relative to data generated and the integrity of data generated by the service and that data being used to make certain projections and analysis. Is there any change taking place relative to the data- gathering process that you're using? Mr. Henderson. Across the board, the answer is yes. I mean, we did--had an independent study done that generally gave the Postal Service a clean bill of health, but made a lot of recommendations for tightening up data collection. And we are in the process of implementing those recommendations. That doesn't relate to the PMPC, which is measured--it's not our-- it's an independent measure of service data. Mr. Davis. We raised the question earlier. As a matter of fact, I believe that Representative Owens raised the question to an investigation of minority procurement opportunities, and while that information was not available and forthcoming from the IG, do you have information relative to the changes that have occurred in relationship to that? Mr. Henderson. Yes. We have a substantial effort to involve more minority businesses in purchasing, and it has been under way for some time; and we think when the IG goes back in and reviews, they'll see substantial progress being made. Mr. Davis. I would like to yield to Representative Owens. Mr. Owens. I thank the gentleman for yielding. I have an amendment on the floor. I won't be able to return. But you had mentioned a 94 percent consumer rating. Did I hear that correctly? Mr. Henderson. Uh-huh. Mr. Owens. Can you explain that a little bit? Mr. Henderson. We do an independent measure across the United States; we call it the customer satisfaction index. It's done by Gallup, and 94 percent rated the Postal Service good, very good and excellent on that. It's an overall question. It's a very detailed questionnaire. Mr. Owens. Is that broken down by districts or cities, or can I see a---- Mr. Henderson. Yes, it's broken down by districts, by major metropolitan areas. We would be happy to provide you the data. Mr. Owens. I would be very thankful. Mr. Davis. Maybe the last question before we have to go, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Henderson, would your office have the time that you could perhaps provide us with your own report of the procurement practices and changes that have occurred? Mr. Henderson. Yes, absolutely. I'll provide it to you. Mr. Davis. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. McHugh. We have about 8 minutes for this vote. I understand it's just a single vote. Mr. Postmaster General, with your forbearance, we'll be back very shortly. [Recess.] Mr. McHugh. As much as I'm tempted, I think we had better wait a moment for another responsible adult. As you've heard here this morning, we do have a series of very important education bills that it happens a good number of the subcommittee members are very interested in and wanted to be on the floor. So I'm not certain when they'll get back. So I will exercise the prerogative of the Chair and reconvene our discussion here. If they come back, I'll yield to them. In the meantime, why don't we talk? Mr. Henderson. Sure. Mr. McHugh. You have mentioned--I believe Mr. Ungar mentioned the letter carrier agreement that came about as a ruling of an arbitrator. What is the likely total financial impact of that agreement, including what it is likely to do in the future--and I'm not asking you to reveal your hand, but it does have significant implications for the first time. It decouples a number of the various employee units in a pay perspective that I assume the other employees units are going to want to reestablish, and it's probable that you're going to have to respond in some way. If you're working on a ballpark figure, what do you think the total cost of that one ruling is going to be? Mr. Henderson. Within the confines of the ruling itself, it's $2.4 billion. If you take it out--I mean, everybody in the internal postal community is very interested in that because it changes the relationship. So you'll have the rest of the unions going to reestablish that relationship, which means they want a higher level. You then have postmasters who have an existing differential with craft employees that will have--will want some differential, and then you'll have supervisors wanting some differential. So we haven't tried to--I don't know if I could swallow that number; I haven't tried to calculate it yet. But it did have, you know, a ripple effect throughout all of the labor deals. It's affected the current negotiations that we're in. Mr. McHugh. I not only understand, I certainly accept that. But the ball park, are we talking, more likely, tens of millions or, more likely, hundreds of millions of dollars? Mr. Henderson. Hundreds of millions. Billions of dollars. Mr. McHugh. Billions of dollars from this one ruling? Mr. Henderson. Yeah. Mr. McHugh. Your fiscal plan that Mr. Ungar referred to that is projecting $100 million net revenue based on some productivity assumptions, based on some work-hour assumptions, did that include anything to accommodate this ruling? Mr. Henderson. No. No, it didn't. And this fiscal year will not be impacted because the level increase doesn't occur until next year. I was interested in hearing him call making this budget this fiscal year a ``miracle.'' Mr. McHugh. Well, we're getting near the season of miracles. I believe he said he did not want to use the word ``miracle,'' but he decided on ``some major development.'' But the point I wanted to make--and I believe you would agree, and if you don't, please respond. I'm not trying in any way to minimize what I think has been a string of remarkable net revenue years for the Postal Service, truly historic. But on a $62 billion revenue plan, $100 million is thin--a lot better than the reds that piled up year after year in previous times, but still thin. So if you then have something thrown at you, so to speak, that is totally beyond your power, really totally beyond your ability to forecast, that only makes the picture more difficult. And when we're talking about hundreds of millions, billions of dollars, added onto your revenue projections and loss of first-class income of $17 billion, you've got a serious problem. Mr. Henderson. Yes. Mr. McHugh. And it's here today. Mr. Henderson. And I would add that the activity in e- commerce, the Internet is very suppressed, and it's suppressed because of Y2K. You've got large corporations like IBM, large organizations like the U.S. Postal Service are really strapped down right now. In other words, we've frozen new projects until we get through Y2K. And that's been a common practice throughout industry and the public sector. After January, after the Y2K problem starts to dissipate, or the potential problem, you're going to see much more activity than we predict on the Internet, than has been experienced thus far. Mr. McHugh. And I agree. There's a likely technological snowball building here that is unleashed in certain part past Y2K and people's concerns about it, but continues to roll as more and more Americans find themselves wired into the Internet. As more communities across this country have Internet access, opportunities increase; and as people become more comfortable in engaging in that kind of commerce. A lot of folks today peruse the pages of the Internet, looking at product, and then pick up the phone and call in the order because they're not just quite comfortable. But that's going to lessen as time goes on. So the problem isn't something where you take the hit, you hunker down, accommodate it and you go on. It's something that's going to continue to increase and put more, rather than less, pressure on you. Let me ask you one final question, and I'll yield to Mr. LaTourette. A lot of people say, well, electronic commerce did have its challenges, but it has its benefits as well. If you call up--if you wire in, call up on the Internet a mail order house, order a pair of snow boots or whatever it is, then the possibility of the Postal Service serving as the carrier certainly is there and increases your opportunity. Have you been able to weigh or project revenue losses on first-class versus what you might pick up? I know those are total estimates, but---- Mr. Henderson. We think that the Postal Service would be used as a majority move for e-commerce because of the low-cost, high-quality service that's provided. The answer to the question depends on the rate of erosion. If it's--it erodes like business-to-business mail did, in which we made it up in other products, then it's OK. But if it's like what they call the ``hockey stick,'' and that is, there's just enormous adoption of electronic bill payment that doesn't involve the Postal Service, then I don't think there's any way you can make up a $20 billion, $17 billion organization. So it really is the--the key is the rate of erosion. And it's eroding right now, just so you'll know, at between 1 and 2 percent. But--less than 1 percent of all Americans pay their bills electronically today, but as I say, that's--the Internet is looking for sources of revenue. And clearly you and I have to pay our bills and there's a clear opportunity here to tap in. And I think, after the Y2K fiasco is over, then you'll see one heck of a move for a lot of players to get into this. Mr. McHugh. Thank you. The gentleman from Ohio, Mr. LaTourette. Mr. LaTourette. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And, General, it's nice to see you again. I have about four areas of concern that I want to talk with you about. They're not all connected, so I apologize for skipping around. But I want to begin where the chairman left off, and that is that I know it's tough to guess after Y2K, but there has been some speculation and I think when you appeared over at the Senate at a similar hearing there was discussion about the fact that your priority mail services and your package services with the advent of e-commerce do--you do look at that as a potential to offset some of the losses in first-class mail. I understood the ``hockey stick'' examination. But I know that I was startled when I read U.S.A. Today yesterday and saw the projection, and certainly all of us in the subcommittee take the GAO's testimony here seriously and recognize the chairman and all of the good work that he's done in postal reform to move through this Congress at a good rate, to position the Postal Service for the next century. However, it would not be--rather than just being doom and gloom, couldn't the users of the Postal Service and the fans of the Postal Service take some comfort in the fact that people will not only be paying their bills over the Internet in the future, but if they order snow boots up in New York, that the Postal Service will be the dominant carrier of the snow boots to their homes. And that will, in fact, sort of be both a blessing and a curse of the Internet for the Postal Service in the next century. Mr. Henderson. Yes. And if I painted that, I'll clear that up. I don't want to paint the Internet as a curse. The Internet is the Internet. It is a new channel into the home. It's how you leverage it that's going to determine whether it's a positive or negative impact. And we have people working very actively to make it a very positive impact on the Postal Service. Mr. LaTourette. The second area of concern that I have, I believe in August of this year, the Postal Service launched its new PC postage program, which I think is a very exciting program and a great example of how the Postal Service can use new technologies to move forward. If I understand my history right, it hasn't been since 1928 that the Postal Service has taken a look at the postage meter market. In that line, I think on August 9th you had a press event and you actually have awarded some contracts to vendors. Mr. Henderson. Yes, to two vendors. Mr. LaTourette. And who are those? Mr. Henderson. Stamps.com and e-stamp. We didn't award contracts; we certified that their encryption met our standards. There are two more, Pitney Bowes and Neopost, that will be coming out there and are in the testing phases now. So there are four companies in the world that we know about that are going for postage online. Mr. LaTourette. And that actually leads into the question that I had. It was my understanding that there are two vendors that are looking for that seal of approval or that certification, and because this is such an exciting opportunity, I think if you look--you go back in time and say, this hasn't happened since 1928 that this market has been open to competition. Do you have any qualms or difficulties or questions in indicating to the subcommittee that--and I say this because it's my understanding that the DOJ has an investigation dealing with some monopolistic practices dealing with postage meters at present. Is there any concern that you have that the opening of this new market is going to somehow be constrained, be anything but fair, and everybody that has the ability to meet your standards is going to have the ability to compete, which obviously is going to benefit consumers and the service? Mr. Henderson. That's our goal, to make sure that it's open and fair. There's no indication to me, anyway, that there's anything but really open competition in the PC postage. You've got two unknown players right out of the box. I mean, they didn't exist; they're new companies. Mr. LaTourette. I think that's what's exciting about it. You would think when this program, when I first read about it and saw that this program--you would think that the old standbys would be the ones that would be jumping on it. So when two firms that I don't think I was familiar with get the first certifications, I think that that adds to some of the excitement by some of us that that is going to be a good, competitive growth area. The second--or maybe it's third, I've lost track, but this subcommittee recently had the opportunity to look at legislation called Honesty in Sweepstakes Act of 1999. And the part of the issues that we discussed had to do with what happens when Federal regulation would somehow preempt or invade the jurisdiction of the States relative to what their postal regulations are or their regulations regarding mail coming into their States are. Can you indicate just what procedures you have in place when your customers, the mailers, are subject to conflicting postal regulations as they relate to State laws? Is that something that you've taken a look at? Mr. Henderson. I have to submit that for the record. That's a little beyond my range. Mr. LaTourette. Then if you could, I'll send you a quick note, and I would appreciate that. The last one has to do with what I was talking to the Inspector General about. You know from some of the hearings on H.R. 22, competition is something that is of concern to me. I talked to her about the international mail arena and specifically the Postal Rate Commission's report from June of this year, that if I had my numbers right, there are 14 international products, and that, at least as I understood the PRC's evaluation, four of those, at the moment at least, aren't carrying their weight, that they're being subsidized if not by domestic mails, as was indicated by the IG. The money has to be coming from somewhere. Is it correct that those four products, at the moment at least, are being subsidized by other international mail products? International mail is paying its own way, but you have---- Mr. Henderson. They are at the moment. I don't know at this moment, but there were four products. Most of the impact for those products occurred as a result of Asian flu where they were profitable, and their volume is sensitive. When the volume goes down, your infrastructure costs overwhelm your revenue. And we--it's not important who the customers were, but we talked with the customers, and they asked us to hold out to see if those markets would improve. We held out for quite a while, and then we were forced to raise the rates, and then we lost some of the business as a result of that. So it---- Mr. LaTourette. Of those, and again, if you want me to submit this one because you don't have the report in front of you, I don't want to sandbag you and ask you a question that's unfair, but that seemed to be the finding of the PRC relative to global package link. When it comes to global priority mail, they indicated that although the suppressed foreign markets may have been a factor, one of the things the Postal Service has indicated was that the loss was due to a rather high advertising budget for that product. And so in addition to not only raising rates, I think 14 percent in the instance of that particular product, there was going to be a suppression of the advertising budget for what was now deemed to be a product that wasn't carrying its weight. Has that occurred since the PRC report has come out? Mr. Henderson. Yes, as far as I know, that has occurred. That was factual, what you just said. When you have a product, if I'm selling one box and I'm trying to sell it all over the country, the revenue generated from one package doesn't cover that infrastructure cost. There's a point at which you have to reach a certain volume, and they decided to pull back on the advertising and try some other technique. Mr. LaTourette. The overall question, I think, that comes up in postal reform and also relative to the international mail, is there a procedure in place that when you launch a new product, you have 14 international products, four aren't making it, is there a time when you sort of cut them loose and say, we thought this was a good idea, but it doesn't appear to be that way? If the answer is yes, and I would hope it's yes because you wouldn't want to continue to lose--pour money down the hole that isn't yielding a result, have you reached that conclusion with any other foreign products cited by the Postal Rate Commission at this point? Mr. Henderson. No, not yet, but we do look at that monthly. It's been difficult not only for us, but it's been difficult for the private sector and the international market, too. We have had companies that have gone as long as 7 or 8 years without making money, but there's a belief that American goods and services are going to be demanded in foreign countries, and the carrier of choice is going to be the folks that make the money, and we're very interested in making the money. Mr. LaTourette. And then last, and then I'll get off of this subject and stop asking questions, again, going the global package link, as I understood, I think, the last time you might have been here and when you were over at the Senate a little earlier, there was some discussion about the fact that the rates are set because there's a requirement that a shipper send at least 10,000 packages a year. Somewhere recently I'd seen published up to one-third of the customers--and you're right, it isn't important who the customers are, but those who are enrolled or signed up for those discounted rates indicating that they would ship up to 10,000 packages a year, up to a third of them have not fulfilled that mark. Is that a correct report? Mr. Henderson. Generally speaking, there's--they have a cutback. I don't know if the numbers are--I don't know that they're inaccurate. I just don't know. But there was a pullback because much of that mail was headed to Asia, and they are just pulling out of that market. They're pulling back trying to reduce the impact of the Asian flu. Mr. LaTourette. If the rate structure is predicated on volume, which I assume--you know, you say I'm going to give you this rate to ship something overseas, but you've got to agree to send 10,000 pieces, for whatever reason if they find that not economically practical, has the Postal Service adjusted its rates upward for that product to reflect the fact that the premise upon which it's based, that you're going to use so much of our business, has not occurred? Mr. Henderson. We did adjust the rates separate not because the volume didn't materialize, but because we were trying to cover more of our costs. It's a negotiated deal with various individual customers. We try to be accommodating to them. We don't want to just pull out and leave them high and dry. That doesn't give us a good business reputation. So to the degree possible, we try to hang in there with them. They're certainly not in the business of losing money, and matter of fact, I think every indication is Asia is starting to come back. Mr. LaTourette. So would it be your expectation that that particular program, which has a 10,000-piece-per-year floor, if the economy improves, that the Postal Service will make money on that product? Mr. Henderson. We hope to. That's why we're here. That's my expectation. Mr. LaTourette. Thank you. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. McHugh. I thank the gentleman. Excellent line of questioning, which also, by the way, would be covered under H.R. 22. It's been an unpaid political advertisement. Mr. Sanford. Mr. Sanford. Let me go from the universal to the very parochial, if I may, and it may be inappropriate that I even ask you this question, in which case I just ask that you hand it off to whoever might know. That is, recently the Postal Service announced that they were canceling plans to build a facility at the old Air Force base in Myrtle Beach, SC. That sent up all kinds of red flags, with folks back home calling me. The reason that the Postal Service said that they were going to do this is because of the distance between Florence, SC, and Myrtle Beach. The logical question that people ask back home of me was, well, Myrtle Beach didn't move over the 12 months of them negotiating this site, tying down the land, whatnot; we stayed in the same spot. We don't understand this reasoning. And so my question would be, could you offer any insights that I could offer to my constituents back home on the change? The other thing I think just procedurally, I think this is a very legitimate point, was one of the things that the Postal Service folks brought up back home was after the operational review, they decided the site no longer made sense, but in the process they got all kinds of people excited, thinking there were 200 jobs coming to Myrtle Beach. Shouldn't the operational review come first before communities, whether it might be-- whether it's Myrtle Beach or L.A., get excited about the prospect of a postal facility coming to their neighborhood, and it turns out at the end of the operational review that doesn't happen? Mr. Henderson. You're absolutely right. I'll give you the rationale for the record, the details to your office on what the reason for changing their minds. I do know that they are still looking in Myrtle Beach for an operating facility, but it is unfortunate when a community anticipates something that as a result of an operational review might not occur. So we--they should have done the operational review first. That's right. Mr. Sanford. If there's any way--because apparently it was talked about at the beginning of October, some sort of press release from the Postal Service just to squelch it, because people keep calling--not that I'm selfish about this, but I am--our office saying why this happened, some kind of explanation from the Postal Service to the local media outlets back home just so that they feel like the question has been answered, because from their perspective it feels like it's still hanging out there, and they don't quite understand why. Mr. Henderson. We'll put out a press release. We'll show it to you before we release it. Mr. McHugh. Mention him. Mr. Sanford. I appreciate it. I don't want to burn up any more of your time, but going back to this cost conversation we briefly had, any further insights that you could offer me or others on the committee on how to get ahold of the cost part of the income statement with Postal Service? Mr. Henderson. It's substituting capital for labor. It's automation. If you take the productivity in the Postal Service in 1988 and assume that same productivity today, you'd have to add over 100,000 people to the rolls. There's a huge impact. The thing that we have enjoyed over the last 25 years, 28 years I've been in the Postal Service, is continuous growth. In other words, you're just like an automobile plant with enormous demand that keeps escalating up. You keep expanding. That's what happens in the Postal Service. We have been in the past growing. We've made money in the last 5 years, and our expenses each year have been somewhere in the neighborhood of 5 percent. So that's good growth. These charts don't predict that for the future, but there was never anticipation that the Postal Service's absolute costs would go down because you have a growing workload, growing demand, and it shows up on your bottom line. Mr. Sanford. I thank the Chair. Mr. McHugh. I thank the gentleman. General Henderson, you may have heard Mr. Ungar in the response to one of the subcommittee members--I'm sorry, I don't remember which one--who asked about ratemaking data. Mr. Ungar cited the report that made some 40 recommendations, I believe he said, and then he went on to suggest that GAO had not yet been successful getting a response from you folks as to how, if at all, you were going to respond to any or all of those 40 recommendations. Are you familiar with where that might be? Mr. Henderson. We're in the process of implementing those recommendations. I'll clear the problem up with GAO. Mr. McHugh. Is it your plan to issue a response to the report or an implementing plan to the recommendations? In other words, how might we on the subcommittee be advised as to what you're going to do to pursue that? Mr. Henderson. We didn't plan on it, but after this today, we'll put together a timeline and some milestones and provide you the report. Mr. McHugh. Great. 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Anyone else on the subcommittee? Mr. LaTourette. Mr. LaTourette. I don't have any more questions, but if I could just make a request to the chairman. In my questions to the Postmaster General, I referenced a report from the Postal Rate Commission to the Congress dated June 30, 1999. For some reason--it doesn't look quite as bad as some of the redacted documents I used to get when I was a prosecutor--some of the figures have been redacted. I would ask unanimous consent if that's an appropriate request, the unredacted version of this report be made a part of the record of this hearing. Mr. McHugh. Without objection, so ordered. Mr. LaTourette. Thank you. Mr. McHugh. Do you have the unredacted? Mr. LaTourette. I was hoping that maybe Robert, who is so resourceful, can find it for us. Mr. McHugh. We'll have to put a codicil on that. If we can get it, we'll put it in the record. I don't believe we redacted it, did we? We're not like that. Oh, it's being litigated. When it's litigated, if we can get the unredacted report, without objection it will be entered into the record in its entirety. I thank the gentleman. 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General Henderson, we thank you for your time. I think we've established, if nothing else, we have some very significant challenges in front of us. There are obviously differing opinions as to how those challenges should be met, what role both you and the Congress should play. If nothing else, I hope we've taken a step closer to the realization that this is not theory any longer, that the Postal Service that tens of millions of Americans rely upon each and every day is entering a new era, as we've heard, and that associated with that is going to have to come some sorts of changes. Depending on the eye of the beholder, it may be beautiful or otherwise, but something needs to be done that is different than status quo. Toward that end, and I know I can speak for all of the members on this subcommittee, both sides of the aisle, we want to engage with you in an honest and open and, we hope, productive dialog on how we can make those changes happen so that communications in America are continued to be conducted under an umbrella of confidence and reliability on postal services provided for some 200 plus years in this country, and we thank you for your effort. We particularly thank the postal workers, the folks we see on the streets every day and who sort and route the mail. They do a tremendous job. We will be submitting questions for the record. You've kindly offered to provide some information to some of the Members. We welcome your response on that as well. With that, the hearing is adjourned. [Whereupon, at 12:45 p.m., the subcommittee was adjourned.] -