BTS | Table 1 - Evaluation of 90% Prediction Intervals: First Factor Group

Table 1 - Evaluation of 90% Prediction Intervals: First Factor Group

NOTE: Bolding indicates ATRs that have counts falling outside the credible bounds.

Mn/DOT ATR number	Fifth percentile of predictive distribution	Log total count	95th percentile of predictive distribution
2	12.2954	12.5539	12.5531
3	13.9783	14.1189	14.2267
7	12.2483	12.3857	12.4690
8	10.9598	11.3207	11.2912
9	11.8849	11.9756	12.1124
10	12.8934	13.0059	13.0748
12	13.1947	13.1813	13.4464
14	12.9814	13.0870	13.2310
50	13.4775	13.5663	13.6500
54	10.2983	10.5153	10.5339
56	11.4603	11.5531	11.6512
100	15.2954	15.4013	15.5066
102	16.4250	16.4932	16.6343
103	16.0997	16.1653	16.2748
104	15.2014	15.2137	15.2945
110	15.6586	15.7102	15.8464
164	13.8722	13.9628	14.0880
166	13.8270	13.8729	13.9741
170	13.8047	13.8419	13.9555
172	14.9882	15.1130	15.1175
179	13.0413	13.1812	13.2469
197	13.7666	13.8906	13.9826
199	12.4498	12.6153	12.6332
211	13.4673	13.5737	13.6714
213	14.0399	14.0975	14.1949
216	12.4219	12.5007	12.6338
217	11.9371	12.1674	12.1390
219	13.2525	13.2984	13.4746
225	12.0633	12.2808	12.3005
226	11.5859	11.7921	11.7918