TABLE 1 Evaluation of 90% Prediction Intervals: First Factor Group,,,,,,
Mn/DOT ATR number,Fifth percentile of predictive distribution,Log total count,95th percentile of predictive distribution,,,
2,12.2954,12.5539,12.5531,,,
3,13.9783,14.1189,14.2267,,,
7,12.2483,12.3857,12.469,,,
8,10.9598,11.3207,11.2912,,,
9,11.8849,11.9756,12.1124,,,
10,12.8934,13.0059,13.0748,,,
12,13.1947,13.1813,13.4464,,,
14,12.9814,13.087,13.231,,,
50,13.4775,13.5663,13.65,,,
54,10.2983,10.5153,10.5339,,,
56,11.4603,11.5531,11.6512,,,
100,15.2954,15.4013,15.5066,,,
102,16.425,16.4932,16.6343,,,
103,16.0997,16.1653,16.2748,,,
104,15.2014,15.2137,15.2945
110,15.6586,15.7102,15.8464
164,13.8722,13.9628,14.088
166,13.827,13.8729,13.9741
170,13.8047,13.8419,13.9555
172,14.9882,15.113,15.1175
179,13.0413,13.1812,13.2469
197,13.7666,13.8906,13.9826
199,12.4498,12.6153,12.6332
211,13.4673,13.5737,13.6714
213,14.0399,14.0975,14.1949
216,12.4219,12.5007,12.6338
217,11.9371,12.1674,12.139
219,13.2525,13.2984,13.4746
225,12.0633,12.2808,12.3005
226,11.5859,11.7921,11.7918
NOTE: Bolding indicates ATRs that have counts falling outside the credible bounds.,,,