FIGURE 1  Rural Arizona Crashes,,,,

,,,,
Date,Actual,Trend,Irregular,Seasonal
Jan-75,6,5.854808417,1.05856413,-0.773518459
Feb-75,7,5.84278492,2.73671113,-1.075664077
Mar-75,4,5.803144419,-1.426718859,-0.499140648
Apr-75,5,5.783924964,-1.058294416,0.335813879
May-75,5,5.779196947,-0.698579614,-0.091702133
Jun-75,6,5.783682173,-0.82481422,1.214304741
Jul-75,6,5.79919737,-0.858210207,1.242954951
Aug-75,6,5.826284703,-1.140782616,1.634539681
Sep-75,7,5.869297182,2.036410305,-0.672408688
Oct-75,2,5.890883838,-3.573453786,-0.806903993
Nov-75,6,5.981175849,0.190451414,-0.166330984
Dec-75,7,6.070497675,0.523265764,0.373998571
Jan-76,9,6.154855339,4.215203482,-0.813159693
Feb-76,7,6.200246448,2.379249602,-1.141473196
Mar-76,5,6.220930037,-0.750398087,-0.535075267
Apr-76,11,6.251614829,4.144772376,0.362967888
May-76,4,6.243050253,-2.178556386,-0.099062384
Jun-76,8,6.267682434,0.344141503,1.315922325
Jul-76,10,6.288252762,1.946725843,1.347775288
Aug-76,5,6.287878472,-2.3832934,1.764037873
Sep-76,5,6.324670094,-0.677736176,-0.724577916
Oct-76,3,6.370602384,-2.894457306,-0.872613455
Nov-76,5,6.465130474,-1.322107756,-0.179789316
Dec-76,8,6.579654608,0.956075036,0.405367327
Jan-77,7,6.684979304,1.380622002,-0.883197967
Feb-77,4,6.776235309,-1.873666137,-1.247513472
Mar-77,4,6.896291184,-2.519865623,-0.593164499
Apr-77,9,7.058064256,1.44807073,0.409790229
May-77,8,7.206976856,0.922010877,-0.11435761
Jun-77,7,7.348080982,-1.562735038,1.542755861
Jul-77,7,7.514139177,-1.749654154,1.610522267
Aug-77,18,7.709185289,6.34732097,2.162779526
Sep-77,9,7.850746315,2.313734738,-0.899410929
Oct-77,8,7.969404613,1.300315593,-1.091609439
Nov-77,9,8.074746069,1.182694824,-0.224551241
Dec-77,12,8.167659006,3.135935461,0.503203025
Jan-78,6,8.228501766,-1.315129218,-1.08712319
Feb-78,6,8.307673926,-0.953820169,-1.529453254
Mar-78,9,8.400270204,1.446687307,-0.722524895
Apr-78,11,8.477220361,1.919166844,0.492186235
May-78,5,8.533307641,-3.452690308,-0.13540333
Jun-78,11,8.645038492,0.44621942,1.815056725
Jul-78,14,8.752781786,2.77618826,1.87600331
Aug-78,8,8.831721041,-2.584384926,2.477702212
Sep-78,10,8.949614489,2.344253348,-1.025301386
Oct-78,12,9.043020813,4.861559497,-1.238668051
Nov-78,14,9.088905376,5.311558236,-0.252754076
Dec-78,12,9.083169674,2.220424792,0.559606915
Jan-79,8,9.052914899,0.164915165,-1.196042002
Feb-79,9,9.020746313,2.010034323,-1.660730781
Mar-79,11,8.966353657,3.068816634,-0.771214923
Apr-79,6,8.879898501,-3.209141844,0.515565672
May-79,14,8.843196751,5.382531783,-0.140320535
Jun-79,11,8.755011578,0.336246335,1.838145968
Jul-79,10,8.663666155,-0.42868755,1.856902957
Aug-79,14,8.578657021,2.35418118,2.406706165
Sep-79,8,8.469041008,0.566053263,-0.970245086
Oct-79,10,8.354137248,3.23301301,-1.144308203
Nov-79,4,8.20751329,-4.093095115,-0.228243375
Dec-79,13,8.132633525,4.112927147,0.501045133
Jan-80,4,8.017743946,-3.408828914,-1.059278545
Feb-80,6,7.95879696,-0.604943203,-1.465224564
Mar-80,4,7.908012362,-3.531586801,-0.680184764
Apr-80,9,7.915266487,0.590868499,0.459559271
May-80,6,7.915475193,-1.818734393,-0.125599796
Jun-80,12,7.941286703,1.976449202,1.667301522
Jul-80,7,7.945309968,-2.180824944,1.702936068
Aug-80,11,7.980948212,0.609138946,2.239021471
Sep-80,8,8.009456078,1.025638192,-0.917593314
Oct-80,4,8.026094514,-3.391234411,-1.09937454
Nov-80,11,8.097579382,3.217070599,-0.225186215
Dec-80,11,8.135964797,2.225663464,0.50125037
Jan-81,11,8.150117821,4.524398516,-1.076767355
Feb-81,6,8.119824945,-0.765971187,-1.49487002
Mar-81,10,8.099565489,2.841498412,-0.696660651
Apr-81,11,8.049360175,2.34702703,0.467344732
May-81,8,7.974188545,0.154799188,-0.126531438
Jun-81,8,7.897840441,-1.286016505,1.658179824
Jul-81,12,7.839438689,2.042535637,1.68024444
Aug-81,13,7.759214,2.392707187,2.17681487
Sep-81,7,7.654319863,0.251387623,-0.876907578
Oct-81,5,7.547826178,-1.754251048,-1.03386372
Nov-81,6,7.467205612,-1.29557835,-0.207656101
Dec-81,6,7.404879592,-1.753082358,0.456208787
Jan-82,11,7.367653794,5.306862543,-0.973390725
Feb-82,4,7.281589035,-2.379019863,-1.340549731
Mar-82,4,7.231830014,-2.855404454,-0.622024899
Apr-82,6,7.227171706,-1.556415049,0.419608584
May-82,11,7.244215677,3.933142456,-0.114948502
Jun-82,9,7.22245132,0.215850608,1.516379465
Jul-82,10,7.198129912,1.036848692,1.542791294
Aug-82,9,7.161959093,-0.133705963,2.009257517
Sep-82,3,7.12763133,-3.739470979,-0.816568165
Oct-82,9,7.159022072,3.269413161,-0.980607266
Nov-82,6,7.157171828,-0.985544565,-0.199034348
Dec-82,8,7.1684466,0.367283044,0.441642337
Jan-83,6,7.175303014,-0.261930467,-0.947977958
Feb-83,6,7.185470438,0.168383319,-1.322854176
Mar-83,6,7.193590878,-0.628952538,-0.61873587
Apr-83,14,7.209875392,6.021890142,0.418604363
May-83,6,7.172129101,-1.075388301,-0.113804659
Jun-83,5,7.14893096,-3.016541,1.500943602
Jul-83,11,7.174283173,1.884193292,1.537680169
Aug-83,9,7.178987478,-0.150734349,2.014034759
Sep-83,8,7.185580696,1.849513574,-0.823207062
Oct-83,7,7.171832746,0.939172435,-0.982362008
Nov-83,5,7.147223425,-2.004200707,-0.198757692
Dec-83,6,7.151750977,-1.499953744,0.440613733
Jan-84,3,7.177147643,-3.720461369,-0.948221665
Feb-84,4,7.268019502,-2.36545033,-1.338051563
Mar-84,8,7.395973708,1.356877413,-0.636143243
Apr-84,8,7.510515741,0.050493135,0.436059499
May-84,13,7.626199603,5.583405464,-0.121009679
Jun-84,10,7.691224102,0.573555818,1.614799986
Jul-84,6,7.749905295,-2.808918132,1.661054547
Aug-84,11,7.852633462,0.737453696,2.203023307
Sep-84,10,7.947894079,3.345973758,-0.910540541
Oct-84,11,8.009425426,4.736439859,-1.097091291
Nov-84,10,8.025182307,2.26086313,-0.223172919
Dec-84,7,8.016321226,-1.422557787,0.493879224
Jan-85,4,8.026842788,-3.417927757,-1.060480655
Feb-85,9,8.092724538,2.938056098,-1.489880801
Mar-85,8,8.127948328,0.624902792,-0.699101918
Apr-85,8,8.155849515,-0.594840639,0.473527489
May-85,10,8.191516236,1.969718431,-0.129979912
Jun-85,17,8.205439246,5.844686619,1.722761293
Jul-85,14,8.164886467,3.36408358,1.74999839
Aug-85,6,8.089935003,-3.404432917,2.269597257
Sep-85,5,8.070004862,-2.423070944,-0.92453001
Oct-85,6,8.085754878,-1.133464723,-1.10754652
Nov-85,10,8.116684928,2.169360509,-0.225717522
Dec-85,8,8.12389625,-0.588166606,0.500506836
Jan-86,9,8.138676272,2.231382549,-1.075255735
Feb-86,9,8.129083425,2.901697211,-1.496574518
Mar-86,7,8.088903288,-0.430158558,-0.695743572
Apr-86,7,8.054364067,-1.438481301,0.467635258
May-86,7,8.03951321,-0.926648943,-0.127567985
Jun-86,6,8.036854738,-3.077986786,1.687366373
Jul-86,9,8.082326482,-0.670845737,1.732303124
Aug-86,16,8.136771833,4.357900397,2.282737133
Sep-86,5,8.148239887,-2.501305968,-0.933492907
Oct-86,9,8.196818403,2.23161683,-1.12275945
Nov-86,14,8.221163896,6.179299716,-0.228622986
Dec-86,10,8.188607518,1.231054537,0.504493646
Jan-87,9,8.142062537,2.227996284,-1.075703117
Feb-87,4,8.07159657,-3.169027398,-1.485991115
Mar-87,6,8.051241898,-1.486603557,-0.692504237
Apr-87,14,11.35435056,1.877414975,0.659232014
May-87,13,11.33287986,1.876725209,-0.179825894
Jun-87,13,11.29002994,-0.54581604,2.370382131
Jul-87,12,11.25423805,-1.372263722,2.412146029
Aug-87,18,11.23661833,2.819887933,3.152386036
Sep-87,14,11.18799698,4.623417989,-1.281738876
Oct-87,10,11.09202761,0.49512265,-1.519330819
Nov-87,13,10.99094284,2.380916232,-0.305647984
Dec-87,12,10.86439678,0.439197686,0.669346911
Jan-88,6,10.73404467,-3.820672123,-1.418147461
Feb-88,9,10.66312843,0.367652202,-1.963095402
Mar-88,11,10.5882402,1.446930096,-0.910716793
Apr-88,10,10.49723306,-1.04597196,0.609467891
May-88,5,10.42052869,-5.339911353,-0.165349047
Jun-88,12,10.43670929,-0.518973385,2.191224412
Jul-88,16,10.45951181,2.716453961,2.241810575
Aug-88,18,10.45247051,3.60403575,2.932396662
Sep-88,10,10.4072278,0.886640035,-1.192291031
Oct-88,6,10.35170681,-3.399416656,-1.417925355
Nov-88,15,10.34730703,5.08176113,-0.287749066
Dec-88,10,10.29192153,-0.872259476,0.634077163
Jan-89,10,10.24805241,1.274235167,-1.353939727
Feb-89,6,10.18958837,-2.835734609,-1.875916078
Mar-89,11,10.1724125,1.862757793,-0.874950578
Apr-89,11,10.13416499,0.262222218,0.58838821
May-89,10,10.09287155,0.068363115,-0.160149906
Jun-89,11,10.05090708,-0.959649172,2.11022386
Jul-89,12,10.02154876,-0.139574436,2.147940975
Aug-89,10,9.994009852,-2.184839709,2.803777452
Sep-89,9,9.997004686,0.167476368,-1.145294333
Oct-89,15,9.997945593,7.382779795,-1.369468901
Nov-89,5,9.930727052,-4.787704334,-0.276164361
Dec-89,13,9.944570494,2.300990178,0.612677139
Jan-90,11,9.932827976,2.741688361,-1.312293288
Feb-90,9,9.891232099,1.139548537,-1.820988312
Mar-90,6,9.836534248,-3.271895908,-0.846060984
Apr-90,14,9.831194223,3.40057131,0.570797769
May-90,14,9.789818719,4.435909814,-0.155341177
Jun-90,11,9.703657818,-0.612399906,2.037317636
Jul-90,13,9.62601409,1.079458096,2.063165144
Aug-90,7,9.536445909,-4.070026808,2.675409811
Sep-90,8,9.512969085,-0.477874815,-1.0898414
Oct-90,9,9.49560171,0.932833523,-1.300660333
Nov-90,11,9.467286103,1.847363878,-0.263276495
Dec-90,11,9.418265512,0.943362749,0.580251905
Jan-91,10,9.358442118,2.163845461,-1.236407276
Feb-91,6,9.275104191,-1.921250434,-1.707558387
Mar-91,10,9.21893848,1.722125421,-0.792940274
Apr-91,9,9.143722103,-0.637587117,0.530883234
May-91,10,9.077231351,1.084003316,-0.144034108
Jun-91,15,8.99865861,3.398511271,1.889300533
Jul-91,15,8.885482411,3.466985496,1.904445332
Aug-91,9,8.738049988,-1.709796858,2.451423192
Sep-91,6,8.61623977,-1.839919067,-0.987108728
Oct-91,5,8.521409752,-2.727834623,-1.16722036
Nov-91,11,8.46794047,2.846709511,-0.235485615
Dec-91,7,8.384695419,-1.79093198,0.516574467
Jan-92,7,8.326981128,-0.261379823,-1.100133967
Feb-92,9,8.272927072,2.757853564,-1.523056315
Mar-92,10,8.190026232,2.751037669,-0.704441369
Apr-92,5,8.078963364,-3.353332817,0.469063489
May-92,6,8.022445298,-1.925704498,-0.127297158
Jun-92,9,7.993416326,-0.555114398,1.678246323
Jul-92,4,7.9715863,-4.677594858,1.708567933
Aug-92,19,8.037198941,6.800224332,2.254802377
Sep-92,9,8.042133683,2.12234737,-0.921336983
Oct-92,7,8.023793046,0.087212135,-1.099059296
Nov-92,8,8.004423814,0.224412536,-0.222595644
Dec-92,10,7.982370768,1.437291287,0.491787563
Jan-93,6,7.944092923,-1.030720376,-1.049548009
Feb-93,3,7.919600627,-4.242673748,-1.45800847
Mar-93,11,7.970470414,4.064699877,-0.685556912
Apr-93,9,7.980882158,0.525252828,0.463368908
May-93,8,7.985009566,0.143978167,-0.126703142
Jun-93,11,7.987373336,1.103884577,1.676977576
Jul-93,12,7.976954603,1.905019722,1.709718533
Aug-93,7,7.945474204,-2.479055103,2.229069387
Sep-93,7,7.950812674,-0.045105188,-0.910874906
Oct-93,4,7.956714639,-3.321854536,-1.089871229
Nov-93,6,8.016025769,-1.844398506,-0.222918284
Dec-93,12,8.101941204,3.201653262,0.499154203
Jan-94,6,8.155115496,-1.241742949,-1.077427632
Feb-94,13,8.225428411,7.707921397,-1.514311751
Mar-94,7,8.228773062,-0.570028332,-0.707774066
Apr-94,9,8.23943231,0.266702676,0.478380294
May-94,8,8.246855117,-0.117867384,-0.130858009
Jun-94,14,8.255754532,3.314937357,1.733325167
Jul-94,6,8.23022663,-3.289239468,1.764002894
Aug-94,9,8.256725563,-1.228472433,2.316389648
Sep-94,11,8.299831457,4.123423164,-0.950859806
Oct-94,9,8.301641964,2.126793268,-1.13711766
Nov-94,4,8.280059795,-4.16564162,-0.230260827
Dec-94,6,8.330284625,-2.678487392,0.513222261
Jan-95,7,8.421125104,-0.355523799,-1.112571966
Feb-95,8,8.517499534,1.28763881,-1.568082413
Mar-95,13,8.599987763,5.623395308,-0.739703022
Apr-95,7,8.629403445,-2.013520678,0.501021964
May-95,7,8.687424731,-1.574560465,-0.137848802
Jun-95,10,8.767495962,-0.502716041,1.840767109
Jul-95,13,8.854770272,1.850701915,1.89786273
Aug-95,16,8.921942737,3.572729493,2.50301353
Sep-95,10,8.952253067,2.34161477,-1.025603671
Oct-95,10,8.956886484,2.630263774,-1.226869798
Nov-95,7,8.933027069,-1.732795263,-0.248419244
Dec-95,4,8.509273063,-4.74140824,0.524249597
Jan-96,6,8.595451915,-1.682079368,-1.135603464
Feb-96,10,8.705923594,3.550499335,-1.602771521
Mar-96,8,8.780586557,-0.027735437,-0.755236704
Apr-96,10,8.856236406,0.595024689,0.514191854
May-96,15,8.925356153,6.316495847,-0.141624209
Jun-96,15,8.935669805,3.461500076,1.876075808
Jul-96,9,8.909837812,-1.498357068,1.909665479
Aug-96,10,8.904337258,-1.095167114,2.498074386
Sep-96,6,8.913297818,-2.136977115,-1.021140812
Oct-96,10,8.952570341,2.634579917,-1.226278594
Nov-96,11,8.963370271,2.35127971,-0.249263061
Dec-96,5,8.948361568,-4.23853054,0.551301494
Jan-97,9,9.004581474,1.365477347,-1.189656345
Feb-97,7,9.045343784,-0.465847734,-1.665259206
Mar-97,10,9.092235277,1.848828624,-0.782042265
Apr-97,6,9.118468276,-3.447711619,0.529417
May-97,8,9.19866253,-1.069674796,-0.145960932
Jun-97,11,9.293762532,-0.202504619,1.951258656
Jul-97,14,9.392404804,2.136565243,2.013095143
Aug-97,10,9.468059691,-1.658889547,2.656224345
Sep-97,5,9.567091938,-3.920158019,-1.096041917
Oct-97,9,9.730408938,0.698026295,-1.33282306
Nov-97,9,9.888036639,-0.630595745,-0.27497718
Dec-97,12,10.05641165,1.24718282,0.619567585
Jan-98,9,10.21287415,0.157184674,-1.349292087
Feb-98,10,10.36981167,1.886611264,-1.909095414
Mar-98,9,10.50741361,-0.660456101,-0.903764728
Apr-98,13,10.65539434,1.631245083,0.618650714
May-98,10,10.786437,-0.625202328,-0.171155143
Jun-98,12,10.92715874,-1.009422839,2.294196028
Jul-98,18,11.08299608,3.739965412,2.375443354
Aug-98,20,11.20069902,4.417641264,3.142309026
Sep-98,8,11.27319611,-2.23810184,-1.291499607
Oct-98,12,11.37726498,2.527315332,-1.558401216
Nov-98,13,11.45383869,1.918020376,-0.318520691
Dec-98,18,11.50886578,5.446525918,0.709052138