Table 5. Sensitivity Analyses

Sensitivity Analysis Scenario Cost-effectiveness Ratio ($/QALY)
Targeted vs No Screening Universal vs Targeted Screening
Base-case analysis
Incremental cost of tight hypertension control, $149
Screening test cost, $24.40
Diagnostic test cost, $8.32
People identified with diabetes receive intensive glycemic control
5 y detection benefit from screening
Screening sensitivity based on >8 h postprandial timea
Intensive hypertension control results in a 51% relative risk reduction for CHD
Intensive hypertension control has no effects on relative risk for stroke
Diabetes prevalence = mean prevalence reported in NHANES III
34,375 360,966
Incremental cost of tight hypertension control, $300 37,153 362,079
Screening, diagnostic test costs doubled
Screening test cost, $48.80
Diagnostic test cost, $16.64
35,783 384,503
People identified with diabetes receive standard glycemic control 17,472 164,850
No extra cost for intensive glycemic control for persons screened with diabetes during first 5 y of treatment 14,497 190,454
2-y detection benefit from screening 35,875 308,525
8-y detection benefit from screening 33,850 474,121
Screening sensitivity, specificity based on <8 hrs postprandial timea 34,551 364,465
Intensive hypertension control results in a 25% relative risk reduction for CHD 68,448 411,623
Intensive hypertension control results in a 30% relative risk reduction for stroke 28,122 352,186
Diabetes prevalence (mean - 1 standard deviation) reported prevalence in NHANES III 34,696 367,371
Diabetes prevalence (mean + 1 standard deviation) reported prevalence in NHANES III 34,157 356,866

aSensitivity and specificity of capillary blood glucose test screening is based on test results < 120 mg/dL and both >8 and <8 hours postprandial time based on CBG as reported in Figure 2 of Rolka 2001.22

Note: All incremental cost-effectiveness ratios are calculated for persons age 50 years at diabetes onset and 55 years at screening. CHD = coronary heart disease events; NHANES III = National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III; QALY = Quality adjusted life-year.

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