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What is the Producer Price Index (PPI)?The Producer Price Index is a family of indexes that measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers of goods and services. PPIs measure price change from the perspective of the seller. This contrasts with other measures, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), that measure price change from the purchaser's perspective. Sellers' and purchasers' prices may differ due to government subsidies, sales and excise taxes, and distribution costs. How are PPIs used?Producer Price Index data are widely used by the business community as well as government. Three major uses are: When did the Wholesale Price Index become the Producer Price Index?The Wholesale Price Index (WPI) was the name of the program from its inception in 1902 until 1978, when it was renamed the "Producer Price Index." At the same time, emphasis was shifted from one index encompassing the whole economy, to three main indexes covering the stages of production in the economy. By changing emphasis, BLS eliminated the double counting phenomenon inherent in aggregate commodity-based indexes. How does the Producer Price Index differ from the Consumer Price Index?While both the PPI and CPI measure price change over time for a fixed set of goods and services; they differ in two critical areas: (1) the composition of the set of goods and services, and (2) the types of prices collected for the included goods and services.The target set of goods and services included in the PPIs is the entire marketed output of U.S. producers. The set includes both goods and services purchased by other producers as inputs to their operations or as capital investment, as well as goods and services purchased by consumers either directly from the service producer or indirectly from a retailer. Because the PPI target is the output of U.S. producers, imports are excluded. The target set of items included in the CPI is the set of goods and services purchased for consumption purposes by urban U.S. households. This set includes imports. The price collected for an item included in the PPIs is the revenue received by its producer. Sales and excise taxes are not included in the price because they do not represent revenue to the producer. The price collected for an item included in the CPI is the out-of-pocket expenditure by a consumer for the item. Sales and excise taxes are included in the price because they are necessary expenditures by the consumer for the item. The differences between the PPI and CPI are consistent with the different uses of the two measures. A primary use of the PPI is to deflate revenue streams in order to measure real growth in output. A primary use of the CPI is to adjust income and expenditure streams for changes in the cost of living. The composition of items in the Finished Goods Price Index differs from that of the All Items Consumer Price Index in two major respects. First, the Finished Goods Price Index includes price changes for producers' durable equipment, which are not purchased by typical consumers and, therefore, are not included in the CPI. Second, the All Items CPI includes services which are not reflected in the Finished Goods Price Index. An additional difference is that the Finished Goods Price Index is only available at the U.S. level, while the All Items CPI is available at the regional, metropolitan area, and U.S. levels. How Does the Producer Price Index Differ from the Consumer Price Index? (PDF 29KB) How is an index interpreted?An index is a tool that simplifies the measurement of movements in a numerical series. Movements are measured with respect to the base period, when the index is set to 100. Currently, most PPIs have an index base set at 1982 = 100. (Some PPIs have a base corresponding to the month prior to the month that the index was introduced.) BLS measures price change in relation to that figure. An index of 110, for example, means there has been a 10-percent increase in prices since the base period; similarly, an index of 90 indicates a 10-percent decrease. Movements of price indexes from one month to another are usually expressed as percent changes rather than as changes in index points because index point changes are affected by the level of the index in relation to its base period, while percent changes are not. An advantage of calculating percent changes is that the result will be the same no matter what base period is specified. The example below demonstrates the computation of index point and percent changes.
How are PPIs calculated?The formula used to calculate the PPIs is a modified Laspeyres index. The Laspeyres index compares the base period revenue for a set of goods to the current period revenue for the same set of goods. How are PPIs weighted?To improve the precision of PPI estimates of price change, sampled items are weighted by a measure of their size and importance. In the first stage of PPI computation, price indexes are constructed for narrowly-defined goods or services. The individual items included in these indexes are weighted by the establishment's revenue for the product line. In the second stage of PPI computation, indexes for individual goods and services are combined into aggregate indexes. Data for weighting together the product-line indexes comes primarily from the economic censuses of the Bureau of Census. These weights are changed every 5 years. How are producers and products selected for the PPI survey?PPIs are published for the output of virtually all U.S. mining and manufacturing industries and are gradually being introduced for the output of industries in other sectors of the economy. For any given industry, producers are selected for the survey via a systematic sampling from a listing of all firms that file with the Unemployment Insurance System. Typically, a firm's probability of selection is based on its employment size. After a firm is selected and agrees to participate in the survey, a probability sampling technique called disaggregation is used to determine which specific products or services will be in the PPI. Disaggregation is a process in which iterative steps are taken to select items based on their proportionate value to the manufacturer's overall revenue. First a reporter breaks down the type of items shipped into categories. Next, these categories are broken down further by price determining characteristics, for example, options, color, size. Further break downs may be necessary to differentiate between types of buyers or discounts. Disaggregation continues until a specific product sold to a specific buyer is selected. How are PPI data collected?When an establishment is selected to participate in the PPI survey, it is visited by a field economist who solicits the firm's voluntary cooperation and informs the firm of the strict confidentiality rules that will safeguard the information being requested. Once cooperation is obtained, the field economist uses the disaggregation technique (see question 8) to select the specific goods or services for which prices will be reported. Are PPIs seasonally adjusted?Because PPI data are used for different purposes, BLS publishes seasonally adjusted as well as unadjusted changes each month. Certain 4-digit and 6-digit commodity series are selected for seasonal adjustment if statistical tests indicate seasonality and if there is an economic rationale for the observed seasonality. Indexes for most 2-digit commodity groupings and 8-digit individual commodities, as well as industry and Census product indexes, are published only as unadjusted data. When should seasonally adjusted PPIs be used?Seasonally adjusted indexes are preferred for analyzing general price trends in the economy because such indexes eliminate the effect of changes that normally occur at about the same time and in about the same magnitude every year. Such recurring movements may result from normal weather patterns, regular production and marketing cycles, model changeovers, seasonal discounts, and holidays. These are removed from seasonally adjusted data, thereby clearly revealing underlying cyclical trends. Are actual prices published?No, BLS publishes only price indexes, not actual or average prices. Of course, actual transaction prices are used in the calculation of the indexes. The actual prices are not published because they are provided on a voluntary and confidential basis by PPI reporters. Should a PPI user have a need for a time series of actual prices for an item, BLS suggests that the user obtain the actual price from a published source, such as a trade journal, and move it forward or backward by the change in the applicable PPI. What types of indexes are published?PPIs are available for two different product classification systems. Both sets of PPIs draw from the same pool of price information provided to BLS by cooperating reporters. Both sets of PPIs feature both individual product and product line indexes and comprehensive "stage-of-processing" indexes for aggregations of products. The latter indexes are useful for studying the transmission of price change across successive stages of economic activity in the U.S. economy. Are Producer Price Indexes subject to change after being published?Yes. After an index is first published, it is subject to recalculation to take into account late survey reports and corrections by respondents. Every index is recalculated on a systematic basis4 index months after being first published. In addition, previously published seasonally adjusted indexes are subject to change in January when new seasonal factors are calculated and applied to the most recent 5 years of data. Why do some PPIs go in and out of publication or disappear altogether?PPIs go out of publication if they fail to meet either of the following conditions. The index must have cooperation from a minimum number of reporting units (establishments). If an index fails this requirement, it usually means that the index will remain unpublished and unreleased until a new sample of establishments is selected for the industry. Of course, if U.S. production of the commodity in question has ceased, the index will never reappear. In any given month, the index must have actual prices from a minimum number of reporting units. If an index fails this requirement it may only be out of publication temporarily. If a sufficient number of price quotes are received in subsequent months, the index will again be published. In addition, when that index is recalculated 4 months after publication, it may be published if late reports have been received. Is the base period subject to change?Yes, the official reference period is subject to change every 10 years or so. This makes it easier to compare PPIs with other economic series compiled by the Federal Government. The switch to the 1982 reference period occurred in January 1988 to comply with the mandate of the Office of Management and Budget to implement common reference periods for all government statistics. What historical data are available?The Producer Price Index program is the oldest continuous statistical series of the Federal Government. When first published in 1902, it covered the years from 1890 through 1901. Many major commodity-based indexes are available from the early 1900s. Indexes for the major stage-of-processing categories are available from 1947 to present. Most manufacturing and mining industry indexes, however, are available only since the early 1980s; most service indexes are available only for the last 1-5 years. What price index should I use for escalation?Generally, an index should be chosen that represents the costs for providing a particular product or service, rather than indexes for the products or services themselves. For example, if an apparel manufacturer is contracting for long-term purchases with a producer of finished fabrics, it would be more advisable to tie the escalation clause to a PPI for synthetic fibers rather than to a PPI for a type of finished fabric. Otherwise, the parties may find themselves in a complicated situation that could be difficult to escape. Where are PPI data published?PPI News Release.This document presents an analysis of the movement of key aggregate indexes during the month. The new release also includes tables containing indexes for major components of stage-of-processing and industry aggregate indexes. It is published monthly and is made available at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time on release day. (See question 20 for the schedule of the current year's release dates.) Producer Price Index data are available through a variety of methods and formats. When are PPI data made available?Producer Price indexes are published monthly. First-published data for a particular month as well as the revisions from the previous 4 months (final figures) are available the following month, usually during the second full week. Price indexes apply to the entire month. For example, in August 1999, the latest available, first-published PPIs would be for July 1999 and the latest final figures would have been for March 1999. In September, first-published indexes for August and final figures for April will be released. Information is released after 8:30 AM Eastern time. Click on the link below to view the current year's release dates. Producer Price Index Release Dates Where can I get more information?Further information may be obtained from any of the eight regional offices of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, or from the Division of Industrial Prices and Price Indexes, Office of Prices and Living Conditions, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2 Massachusetts Avenue NE., Room 3840, Washington, DC 20212-0001 or by calling the Section of Index Analysis and Public Information at (202) 691-7705.
Last Modified Date: March 19, 2008 |
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