Introduction to State Health Policy: A Seminar for New State Legislators

Slide Presentation by Brent C. James, M.D., M.Stat.


On April 1, 2005, Brent C. James made a presentation in a seminar entitled Introduction to State Health Policy.

This is the text version of Dr. James' slide presentation. Select to access the PowerPoint® Slides (660 KB).


Quality and Cost: What You Can't Afford to Ignore

Brent C. James, M.D, M. Stat.
Executive Director, Institute for Health Care Delivery Research
Intermountain Health Care
Salt Lake City, Utah, U.S.A.

A photo shows Brent C. James smiling.

Slide 1

The emergence of modern medicine

Circa 1860 to 1910:

Slide 2

1912: The Great Divide

"For the first time in human history, a random patient with a random disease consulting a doctor chosen at random stands a better than fifty-fifty chance of benefiting from the encounter."

Harvard Professor L Henderson

Source: Harris, Richard. A Sacred Trust. New York, New York: New American Library, 1966

Slide 3

Current health care is the best the world has ever seen

A few simple examples:

Initial life expectancy gains almost all resulted from public health initiatives: clean water, safe food, and especially widespread control of epidemic infectious disease. But since about 1960, direct disease treatment has made increasingly large contributions.

Sources:

Slide 4

Doctor John Wennberg

Slide 5

Medicare cost versus quality

On a scatter plot, the x-axis shows annual Medicare spending per beneficiary and the y-axis shows overall quality ranking, from 1 to 51. The plotted dots represent States. The overall trend is for spending per beneficiary to correlate negatively with quality ranking.

Source: Baker, K, and Chandra, A. Medicaid spending, the physician workforce, beneficiaries' quality of care. Health Affairs Web exclusive, April 7th, 2004; W4-184-197.

Slide 6

November 30, 1999:

The Institute of Medicine Committee on Quality of Health Care in America announces its first report: To Err is Human: Building a Safer Health System.

Slide 7

Medical injuries

Sources: Brennan et al, New England Journal of Medicine 1991; Thomas et al, 1999

Sources: Thomas et al, 1999; Johnson et al, 1992

Slide 8

November 20, 2003:

The Institute of Medicine Committee on Patient Safety Data Standards announces a major follow-on report: Patient Safety: Achieving a New Standard of Care.

Slide 9

November 20, 2003:

The Institute of Medicine Committee on Patient Safety Data Standards announces a major follow-on report: Patient Safety: Achieving a New Standard of Care.

Injuries of Commission versus Injuries of Omission

Slide 10

How good is American health care?

On a bar graph, the x-axis lists lengths of time post-admission for heart attack and the y-axis shows mortality rates in three types of hospitals.

Source: Allison JJ et al. Relationship of hospital teaching with quality of care and mortality for Medicare patients with acute MI. JAMA 2000 Septembe;284(10):1256-62, r 13.

Slide 11

How good is American health care?

On a bar graph, the x-axis lists medications and the y-axis shows the percentages of so-called ideal patients receiving the medications in three types of hospitals.

Source: Allison JJ et al. Relationship of hospital teaching with quality of care and mortality for Medicare patients with acute MI. JAMA 2000 September; 284(10):1256-62.

Slide 12

American health care "gets it right" 50 percent of the time.

Source: McGlynn EA, Asch SM, Adams J, et al. The quality of health care delivered to adults in the United States. New England Journal of Medicine 2003 June; 348(26):2635-45.

Slide 13

Idea Number 1

American health care is very good, but it could be much better.

Slide 14

Reasons for variation and injuries

Clinical uncertainty:

Slide 15

Medicine used to be simple, ineffective, and relatively safe. Now it is complex, effective, and potentially dangerous. Sir Cyril Chantler

Sources:

Slide 16

Are most injuries unavoidable?

The price we pay for diseases of medical progress

Sources:

Slide 17

Beta blockers at discharge

On a line graph, the x-axis shows months from January 1999 to October 2000 and the y-axis shows proportions of so-called ideal patients receiving beta blockers at discharge. Until June 1999, the line is steady at 0.57. Dotted lines cross the graph at 0.57 and at the threshold of 0.90. The proportion of treated patients rises above the threshold between June and July 1999, between November and December 1999, and between February and March 2000, after which the line never dips below the threshold again.

Specific proportions per month starting with July 1999 are 0.98, 0.95, 0.93, 0.89, 0.83, 0.90, 0.96, 0.87, 0.96, 0.98, 0.99, 0.95, 0.99, 0.95, 0.97, and 0.98. The graph also lists the numbers of ideal patients in each month starting with July 1999: 52, 93, 88, 64, 78, 105, 98, 117, 136, 128, 115, 138, 137, 140, 135, and 124.

Slide 18

Cardiac discharge medicines

This slide presents the percentage of cardiac patients discharged with a prescription for each of five classes of drugs before and after a change in discharge protocol.

A second chart presents mortality and readmission data for two cardiac conditions before and after the change in discharge protocol.

Total: 455, 887

Slide 19

Neonatal intensive care unit, NICU, admits by weeks' gestation

On a bar graph titled Deliveries without Complications, 2002 to 2003, the x-axis shows numbers of weeks of gestation and the y-axis shows percentages of NICU admissions.

The graph also lists the number of deliveries for each period. The percentages are 6.66 after 37 weeks for 8,001 deliveries, 3.36 after 38 weeks for 18,988 deliveries, 2.47 after 39 weeks for 33,185 deliveries, 2.65 after 40 weeks for 19,601 deliveries, 3.44 after 41 weeks for 4,505 deliveries, and 4.26 after 42 weeks for 258 deliveries.

Slide 20

Elective inductions in less than 39 weeks

On a line graph, the x-axis lists months and the y-axis shows percentages of elective inductions at less than 39 weeks gestation. The graph also lists the number of inductions for each month. The months go from January 2001 to July 2002, then the information breaks off, and then it resumes at January 2003 and continues to July 2004.

A green line marks a threshold at 10 percent from January 2001 to July 2002 and another at 5 percent from January to July 2004. The percentages in order are 26.7, 26.9, 29, 29.2, 25.3, 27.6, 20.4, 19.1, 16.5, 15.2, 8.4, 10.7, 8.1, 6.8, 5.9, 6.1, 6, 5.1, 6.3, 5.5, 5.2, 6.6, 6.3, 6, 5.3, 8.2, 5.4, 5.7, 6.6, 6.6, 7.9, 6.4, 7.6, 7.6, 4.6, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.

Slide 21

Unplanned c-section rates

A bar graph is titled Electively Induced Patients by Bishop's Score, January 2002 to August 2003. The x-axis shows Bishop's scores, and the y-axis shows percent c-sections. Each score has a multiparous component and a primiparous component, with exact numbers for each one listed.

Slide 22

Average hours in labor and delivery

A bar graph is titled Electively Induced Patients by Bishop's Score, January 2002 to August 2003. The x-axis shows Bishop's scores, and the y-axis shows hours in labor and delivery. Each score has a multiparous component and a primiparous component, with exact numbers for each one listed.

Slide 23

Primiparous elective inductions

On a combined line graph, the x-axis shows months from January 2003 to June 2004, the left y-axis shows numbers of patients, and the right y-axis shows percentages of all primiparous deliveries. A horizontal line at 53 patients is labeled Goal: Reduce Inappropriate Nulliparous Inductions by 50 Percent. A line labeled Bishop's Score Less than 10 provides the following numbers of patients in order: 110, 87, 119, 108, 124, 91, 107, 94, 100, 105, 118, 87, 81, 67, 57, 57, 46, and 52.

A line labeled Bishop's Score Less than 8 provides the following numbers of patients in order: 53, 53, 63, 53, 57, 45, 56, 52, 41, 52, 62, 46, 49, 35, 21, 21, 26, and 28. The percentages of all primiparous deliveries in order are 15.3, 14, 15.3, 14.5, 14.7, 11.6, 12.8, 11.8, 12.6, 12.8, 15.1, 12.1, 9.9, 8.8, 6.8, 6.5, 6, and 6.1.

Slide 24

Labor and delivery variable cost

On a line graph, the x-axis shows months from January 2003 to May 2004 and the y-axis shows average combined variable costs. A horizontal line at 1700 dollars is labeled Goal: Hold Increase to No More than 6.85 Percent. A line labeled Expected Maternal and Fetal Combined Variable Cost starts at 1700 dollars, increases very gradually to about 1720 in July 2003, picks up speed and reaches about 1780 in December 2003, and gets gradual again to reach about 1820 in May 2004.

A line labeled Actual Combined Variable Cost is less steady: it starts around 1630 dollars, wavers and drops to about 1570 by May 2003, wavers and has its biggest fall to about 1470 in January 2004, and remains nearly steady after that.

Slide 25

Well newborn bilirubin testing

A line graph is titled Newborns More than or Equal to 35 Weeks' Gestation Seen in Well Newborn Nursery, Excluding Hospitals Using Bilicheck Testing. The x-axis shows months from March 2001 to May 2004 and the y-axis shows percent tested. The line does not actually begin until January 2002, whereupon it drops from about 12 to 11 percent in February 2002 but then rebounds and does not fall significantly again. The major growth starts around August 2002, accelerating and then decelerating in November 2002. The line is just about at 100 percent by January 2003, where it basically stays.

Slide 26

Hour-specific Bilirubin Risk Chart for Term and Near-term Infants

On a zoned line graph, the x-axis shows ages in hours and the y-axis shows concentrations of neonatal serum bilirubin in mg over dl. Arcing lines begin at 12 hours to demarcate zones for levels of risk, with each zone prescribed a cutoff percentile and a treatment.

Adapted and revised, April 2003, based on IHC data, 12=54 H; and from Bhutani VK et al, Pediatrics 1999;103:6-14; and Journal of Pediatrics, 2001;21:S76-82, 72-120 H.

Slide 27

Newborns with hyperbilirubinemia

On a line graph, the x-axis shows months from March 2001 to June 2004 and the y-axis shows numbers of patients. Horizontal threshold lines appear at 28 patients for 2001, at 27 for 2002, and at 15 thereafter.

A line labeled Bilirubin More than 25 Milligrams per Deciliter gives the following numbers of patients in order: 0, 1, 2, 0, 3, 3, 0, 3, 0, 2, 2, 3, 0, 2, 1, 2, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 0, 1, 0, 2, 1, 3, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, and 0.

A line labeled Bilirubin More than 19.9 Milligrams per Deciliter gives the following numbers of patients in order: 28, 26, 27, 37, 26, 32, 24, 34, 30, 16, 34, 19, 28, 22, 24, 26, 27, 32, 34, 31, 25, 17, 16, 14, 27, 20, 14, 15, 13, 15, 10, 13, 15, 12, 16, 15, 10, 21, 13, and 16.

Slide 28

Hyperbilirubinemia readmissions

On a line graph, the x-axis shows months from January 2000 to July 2004 and the y-axis shows proportions readmitted. The proportions in order are 0.061, 0.039, 0.034, 0.073, 0.047, 0.044, 0.081, 0.043, 0.027, 0.036, 0.045, 0.048, 0.062, 0.035, 0.036, 0.049, 0.019, 0.033, 0.029, 0.029, 0.034, 0.022, 0.045, 0.022, 0.023, 0.02, 0.044, 0.024, 0.012, 0.018, 0.025, 0.017, 0.009, 0.014, 0.009, 0.009, 0.02, 0.014, 0.01, 0.026, 0.022, 0.023, 0.021, 0.008, 0.019, 0.008, 0.016, and 0.014.

Slide 29

Protocols can improve care

A multidisciplinary team of health professionals

  1. Select a high priority care process.
  2. Generate an evidence-based "best practice" guideline.
  3. Blend the guideline into the flow of clinical work
    1. Staffing.
    2. Training.
    3. Supplies.
    4. Physical layout.
    5. Measurement or information flow.
    6. Educational materials.
  4. Use the guideline as a shared baseline, with clinicians free to vary based on individual patient needs.
  5. Measure, learn from, and over time eliminate variation arising from professionals; retain variation arising from patients; "mass customization."

Slide 30

Lean production

Slide 31

Idea Number 2

The health professions, and health care delivery, are changing

Slide 32

Why profession-based practice?

  1. It produces better outcomes for our patients.
  2. It eliminates waste, reduces costs, and increases available resources for patient care.
  3. It puts the caring professions back in control of care delivery.
  4. It is the foundation for useful shared electronic data, an important next step in care delivery improvement.

Slide 33

Quality controls cost

Slide 34

Idea Number 3

Better care can be much cheaper care, if you set things up right.

I am sorry for you, young men, and women, of this generation. You will do great things. You will have great victories, and standing on our shoulders, you will see far, but you can never have our sensations. To have lived through a revolution, to have seen a new birth of science, a new dispensation of health, reorganized medical schools, remodeled hospitals, a new outlook for humanity, is not given to every generation.

Sir William Osler, at the opening of the Philips Clinic in England, near the end of his career. Cited in Reid, Edith Gittings. The Great Physician: A Life of Sir William Osler. New York, NY: Oxford University Press; 1931, p. 241.

Current as of October 2005


Internet Citation:

Quality and Cost: What You Can't Afford to Ignore. Text version of a slide presentation at Introduction to State Health Policy: A Seminar for New State Legislators. Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, Rockville, MD. http://www.ahrq.gov/news/ulp/statepolicy/jamestxt.htm


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