Climate influences on the phenology of Alaskan
north slope vegetation.
The majority of Arctic wildlife populations migrate and reproduce on schedules that have
evolved to optimally exploit habitat resources whose temporal availability and quality are
directly influenced by climate conditions. Disruption to this synchrony through
accelerated global change could introduce an unstable period of unknown length, as new
equilibriums become established. Although the importance of climate in Arctic ecosystems
has been recognized by wildlife scientists, little quantitative research has been
conducted on establishing functional linkages between climate, habitat, and wildlife
population dynamics. Understanding these linkages will be necessary to make
scientifically-based inferences regarding the implications of global change to the
biological resources of the Arctic. The Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) coastal
plain and the north Yukon of Canada are used annually as calving and post-calving habitat
by the international Porcupine Caribou (Rangifer tarandus) Herd. Global warming will
likely influence the timing of spring snow-melt and vegetation green-up, and hence, the
availability and quality of forage resources during the calving period. Because the study
area is very large and because the dynamics of snow melt and vegetation growth in the
Arctic are temporally compressed, this study is designed to evaluate and employ Advanced
Very High Resolution Radiometer AVHRR satellite imagery (which are acquired daily
throughout the world) as a tool to investigate long-term annual variations and trends in
the condition and quality of caribou calving habitats.
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