[Printable]
Links in the discussion text will open a (small) new browser window with more information inside.
A more complete Weather Glossary is Available Here
000 FXUS62 KTAE 020117 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 915 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2008 .DISCUSSION...THINGS SEEM TO BE EVOLVING ABOUT AS FORECAST TONIGHT. UPPER LOW HAS DROPPED DOWN TO A POSITION RIGHT ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA COASTS...AND LATEST IR SHOWS CLOUDS NOW BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION ITSELF. AT LOWER LEVELS... RELATIVELY DRY AIR REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH DEW POINTS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 30S IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA TO THE LOW 40S ELSEWHERE. MOISTURE IS GRADUALLY SPREADING WESTWARD ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID 50S JUST TO THE EAST OF OUR AREA. CLOUDS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP MORE OR LESS AS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AS WELL AS OVER THE GULF SOUTH OF THE APALACHEE BAY...SPREADING WEST AND NORTH. THE 00Z TLH SOUNDING INDICATED BASES SHOULD BE AROUND 8000 FT. WILL TWEAK THE SKY GRIDS A BIT. OTHERWISE DO NOT PLAN ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST SUITE THIS EVENING. && .AVIATION...VFR TONIGHT ALL TERMINALS WITH QUITE DRY LOW LEVEL AIR AND ENOUGH WINDS TO KEEP ANY FOG FROM DEVELOPING. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE FROM EAST TO WEST ON SUNDAY...ALONG WITH INCREASING CLOUDS BASES LOWERING TO BETWEEN 4000 AND 5000 FEET. CHANCES OF RAIN WILL BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING AT VLD AND SPREAD WEST TO TLH BY AFTERNOON. && .MARINE...CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SHOW NEAR SHORE WINDS GENERALLY 5 TO 10 KNOTS...REMAINING 15 TO 17 KNOTS WELL OFFSHORE...WITH SEAS RUNNING AROUND 3.5 TO 4.5 FEET AT THE BUOY WEST OF TAMPA. THE NEAR SHORE AND OFF SHORE DIVISIONS APPEAR TO BE REPRESENTATIVE...AND WITH THE EASTERLY COMPONENT EXPECT THE USUAL DIURNAL INCREASE IN WINDS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WILL MAKE ONLY COSMETIC CHANGES TO THE MARINE FORECAST TONIGHT. && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...NONE GA...NONE FL...NONE GM...NONE. && $$ DUVAL/GOREE