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000 FXUS62 KTAE 041335 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 835 AM EST TUE NOV 4 2008 ...DRY WEATHER FOR VOTERS HEADING TO THE POLLS THIS ELECTION DAY... .UPDATE...EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR/UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS A POTENT LOW/ASSOCIATED TROUGH MOVING INTO THE INTERMTN W, AND A RIDGE AXIS FROM HUDSON BAY CANADA TO THE GULF OF MEXICO. MUCH OF THE DRIEST AIR REMAINS ABOVE 700 MB PER 12Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS, WITH MOISTURE CONFINED BETWEEN 800 MB AND THE SURFACE. NELY WINDS IN THE LOW LEVELS BACK AROUND TO THE W IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS. EXTENSIVE WRAP-AROUND LOW CLOUDS WILL EVENTUALLY GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL CLEARING IN THE AFTN. WILL AMEND THE MORNING ZONE FCST TO TWEAK FIRST PERIOD SKY AND WIND WORDING. AFTN TEMPS IN THE LOW-MID 70S STILL ON TARGET PER 850 MB SOUNDING TEMPS. && .AVIATION...MVFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING WITH STRATUS DECK ACROSS THE AREA. DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD HELP BREAK UP THE OVERCAST BY MIDDAY, EARLIEST AT THE WRN TERMINALS. DRIER LOW LEVEL AIR MASS TO BE IN PLACE TONIGHT, SO VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED. && .MARINE...NE WINDS 5-10 KTS NEAR SHORE, 10-15 KTS OFFSHORE. SEAS RANGED FROM AROUND 2 FT NEAR SHORE TO 3-5 FEET OFFSHORE. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO LOOSEN AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES UP THE EAST COAST AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH RIDGES CLOSER TO THE WATERS. ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE MADE TO THE MORNING CWF UPDATE. && .FIRE WEATHER...MINIMUM RH VALUES THIS AFTN WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TALLAHASSEE 76 50 79 46 / 0 0 0 0 PANAMA CITY 74 56 78 57 / 0 0 0 0 DOTHAN 74 50 78 49 / 0 0 0 0 ALBANY 74 49 78 48 / 0 0 0 0 VALDOSTA 72 50 77 48 / 0 0 0 0 CROSS CITY 75 50 78 48 / 0 0 0 0 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...NONE. GA...NONE. FL...NONE. GM...NONE. && $$ JAMSKI/CAMP