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National Situation Update: Sunday, June 17, 2007

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED).

National Weather Summary

West: A fast moving frontal system will produce precipitation from Puget Sound into the northern Rockies of Idaho and Montana.  Behind the front temperatures across the Pacific Northwest will run between 5-10 degrees below average with highs only in the 60s and 70s.  The Southwest will remain very hot with afternoon highs running in the triple digits.

South: The upper-level low over Texas will continue to produce scattered thunderstorms and locally heavy rain for Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Louisiana.  This low will start to move east tomorrow moving scattered thunderstorms to the southeast.  Rain and thunderstorms are forecast across southern Florida, including the Keys, due to a weak frontal boundary interacting with tropical moisture streaming up from the Caribbean.  Afternoon highs will reach the 90s except where clouds and rain will keep highs in the 70s and 80s.

Northeast: A cold front will produce precipitation across the region during the afternoon and evening hours with the potential for isolated strong storms in New England.  Temperatures will be generally 5-15 degrees above average with warm westerly winds producing highs into the 80s across Maine and much of the Northeast and into the 90s from New York City to the Del-Mar-Va peninsula.

Midwest: A low pressure system moving along a stalled frontal boundary is producing severe thunderstorms from North Dakota to Wisconsin. Highs will range from the mid to upper 80s across much of the Midwest to the 90s in the Ohio River Valley, Iowa and southern Minnesota. (NWS, Media Sources)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Eastern Pacific:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Western Pacific:
No significant activity. (NOAA, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

On Saturday, June 16, 2007 at 10:51 am EDT an earthquake measuring 4.6 struck about 68 miles south southwest of Fairbanks, Alaska at a depth of 73.4 miles. There were no reports of damage or injuries and there was no tsunami generated.(NOAA, USGS, Earthquake Hazards Program, Alaska Earthquake Information Center, Pacific Tsunami Warning Center)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

National Preparedness Level:  2
States Most Affected: Georgia and North Carolina
National Fire Activity as of  June 16, 2007 at 10:00 a.m. EDT:

Initial attack activity: Light (119 new fires burning 794 acres)
New large fires: 0
Large fires contained: 1
Uncontained large fires: 4
The National Preparedness Level remains at 2, while the Southern Area is at Level 3.
Nationally, there are two Type 1 and one Type 2 IMTs committed.

Predictive Services Discussion: Gusty winds and low humidity will prevail over the northern Sierras and Great Basin with hot, dry weather across most of the West. Interior Alaska can expect scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms except for a little warmer and drier weather in the east. Scattered thunderstorms are on tap for much of the Southeast.   (National Interagency Fire Center, National Incident Information Center, Joint Information Center FL/GA), media)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)