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National Situation Update: Thursday, November 15, 2007

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED).

National Weather

West
Two storms will move through the Pacific Northwest producing rain and gusty winds and amounts of 1 to 4 inches. Scattered thunderstorms across southeastern Arizona and southern New Mexico.

Midwest
Lake-effect snow across Michigan and northern Indiana. The remainder of the Midwest should be chilly and blustery with intermittent clouds and sun.

Northeast
Rain amounts up to 1 inch from Pennsylvania south to Virginia and 1 to 2 inches across New York and in New England winds may gust 30 to 40 mph. Temperatures highs in the 60s in Virginia to 30s and 40s in the north.

South
Showers and thunderstorms with rain amounts 1 inch or less with winds gust 30 to 40 mph. Temperatures should be in the 50s.

Avian Influenza H5 confirmed on Suffolk/Norfolk border

Following initial epidemiological work and veterinary assessment, four further premises have been identified as Dangerous Contacts, one in Suffolk and three in Norfolk. All poultry on these premises will be culled as a precautionary measure. These premises are within the existing Restricted Zone. In addition, some general licenses to address immediate welfare issues in the area covered by the zones are being issued today.(UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs)

Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

No new activity to report. (FEMA HQ)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic - Caribbean Sea - Gulf of Mexico
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Eastern and Central Pacific:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Western Pacific:
No current tropical cyclone activity affecting U.S. interests. (NOAA, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)