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National Situation Update: Sunday, November 27, 2005

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED).

National Weather

Midwest:  A strong storm system developing over the southern Plains will begin moving northward and should be centered near Kansas City by early evening. In advance of the cold front tethered to the storm, showers and thunderstorms will dampen much of the area from the central Plains through the Midwest with severe storms likely late in the day or in the evening over western Missouri.

West:  Significant snow, generally in the range of 4 to 10 inches, is forecast for much of Montana east of the Continental Divide and northeast Wyoming. Farther south, strong, gusty winds are expected-especially the higher elevations-and the southern Great Basin. Strong Santa Ana winds are likely early today in Southern California. Elsewhere, a scattering of low-elevation rain showers and mountain snow showers is forecast for the Pacific Northwest and Rocky Mountain region.

South:  A strong cold front moving its way through Oklahoma and Texas will trigger a round of showers and thunderstorms, mainly over Arkansas and northern Louisiana late today and this evening. Some of the storms could turn severe. Behind the front, gusty northwest winds will sweep sprinkles and light showers into northern Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle.

Northeast:  Except for some showers moving into Virginia, thanks to an upper-air disturbance from the Gulf Coast, the Northeast should remain dry this weekend.  (NWS, Media Sources)

Wildfire Update

National Preparedness Level remains at 1 - the lowest state of readiness. Due to the dry weather forecast, very high to extreme fire indices were reported in California, Nevada, Nebraska, Kansas, Illinois and South Dakota. (California Office of Emergency Services, USFS, NIFC, NICC)

Tropical Activity

Tropical Storm Delta is slowly weakening over the east-central Atlantic Ocean about 1055 Miles south-southwest of the Azores.

Delta is moving toward the east-northeast near 22 mph and a gradual increase in forward speed is expected over the next 24 hours.  Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours.

There is no tropical storm formation expected in the Pacific Ocean. (National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center, media sources)

Earthquake Activity

There were no major earthquakes affecting U.S. interests during the past 24 hours. (USGS, NOAA Pacific Tsunami Warning Center)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity. (FEMA HQ)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity. (FEMA HQ)