Hurricane HILARY

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HURRICANE HILARY SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
330 PM PDT SUN AUG 21 2005
 
THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING TRANSMITTED TO ISSUE A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO AND TO EXPAND
THE INITIAL AND FORECAST WIND RADII.  REPORTS FROM MANZANILLO
MEXICO WITHIN THE PAST HOUR INDICATE SUSTAINED 35 KT WINDS ARE
REACHING THE COAST WITHIN AN OUTER BAND OF HURRICANE HILARY... AND
TWO SHIPS JUST OFFSHORE OF MANZANILLO HAVE REPORTED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITHIN THE PAST 90 MINUTES.  THE TRACK AND INTENSITY
FORECASTS ARE UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      21/2230Z 16.9N 108.2W    75 KT
 12HR VT     22/0600Z 17.4N 109.4W    85 KT
 24HR VT     22/1800Z 18.4N 111.9W    90 KT
 36HR VT     23/0600Z 19.3N 114.2W    90 KT
 48HR VT     23/1800Z 20.0N 115.5W    85 KT
 72HR VT     24/1800Z 21.0N 117.5W    70 KT
 96HR VT     25/1800Z 22.0N 119.5W    50 KT
120HR VT     26/1800Z 23.5N 122.0W    30 KT
 
 
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