Tropical Depression THREE-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032005
0300Z MON JUN 27 2005
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA WESTWARD TO LAZARO
CARDENAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  98.0W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  98.0W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  97.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 14.8N  98.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.6N 100.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.3N 102.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.7N 105.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  15SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 17.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 17.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  98.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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