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Volume 7 Number 1
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Paper 4
Table 1: Coefficients and Fit of Models for Forecasting the Natural Logarithm of the Numbers of Fatal and Serious Casualties and of the Rate of Slight Casualties
Excel
|
CSV
Parameter
Number of fatalities
Number of serious casualties
Slight casualty rates per 100 million vehicle- kilometers
Coefficient
Standard error
Coefficient
Standard error
Coefficient
Standard error
Autoregressive term
0.684
0.13
0.831
0.093
0.84
0.088
Trend
-0.027
0.002
-0.030
0.003
-0.026
0.003
Constant
8.996
0.043
11.534
0.065
0.205
0.054
Standard error
0.045
0.042
0.034
Adjusted R
2
0.965
0.966
0.966
