"TABLE 8 Annual Percentage Errors (APE), Forecasted Annual Growth Rates (FGR), Observed Annual Growth Rates (OGR) of h = 1-, 6-, 12-, and 24-Steps-Ahead Forecasts for Metro, Bus Tickets, and Travel Cards for Alternative Models Forecasting Period: 2000–2002",,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,SMT,,10MT,,SBT,,10BT,,TC,,JTC,,,,,, ,Causal ,DHR,Causal ,DHR,Causal ,DHR,Causal ,DHR,Causal ,DHR,Causal ,DHR,,,,, "2000, h = 1", ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, APE,–0.87,–0.17,0.3,1.82,–2.77,–0.30,–1.32,–1.63,–0.04,–1.43,–0.43,2.28,,,,, FGR,12.22,13.01,5.96,7.57,0.87,3.44,–3.75,–1.05,9.21,7.69,–4.06,–1.45,,,,, OGR,13.2,,5.64,,3.75,,–2.47,,9.26,,–3.65,,,,,, "2001, h = 1", ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, APE,0.97,1.23,1.15,1.3,0.25,0.88,0.25,0.4,0.15,3.36,–0.22,2.11,,,,, FGR,5.67,5.94,0.9,1.06,–1.61,–0.99,–3.12,–2.97,6.2,9.61,–3.10,–0.83,,,,, OGR,4.65,,–0.24,,–1.86,,–3.36,,6.04,,–2.88,,,,,, "2002, h = 1", ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, APE,0.84,–0.07,–0.78,–3.36,1.86,1.28,–0.80,–1.70,0.56,0.04,–1.17,0.42,,,,, FGR,–4.85,–5.71,6.15,3.39,–14.36,–14.84,–1.09,–1.98,5.01,4.47,–3.29,–1.73,,,,, OGR,–5.64,,6.98,,–15.90,,–0.29,,4.43,,–2.15,,,,,, "2001, h = 6", ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, APE,2.65,3,5.09,2.27,–0.19,4.25,–0.22,1.09,3.61,4.33,–0.62,2.96 FGR,7.42,7.79,4.84,2.02,–2.05,2.32,–3.57,–2.30,9.87,10.63,–3.48,0 OGR,4.65,,–0.24,,–1.86,,–3.36,,6.04,,–2.88, "2002, h = 6", ,,,,,,,,,,, APE,3.55,1.86,–5.76,–5.56,7.37,4.73,–1.51,–2.28,1.05,2.36,–1.61,1.42 FGR,–2.30,–3.89,0.82,1.03,–9.72,–11.94,–1.79,–2.56,5.52,6.89,–3.72,–0.76 OGR,–5.64,,6.98,,–15.90,,–0.29,,4.43,,–2.15, "2001, h = 12", ,,,,,,,,,,, APE,3.52,7.57,10.46,7.2,–4.38,7.1,–0.62,0.42,2.01,2.17,–0.07,2.48 FGR,8.33,12.57,10.19,2.02,–6.16,2.32,–3.96,–2.95,8.17,8.35,–2.95,–0.47 OGR,4.65,,–0.24,,–1.86,,–3.36,,6.04,,–2.88, "2002, h = 12", ,,,,,,,,,,, APE,9.91,9.69,–10.13,–6.13,17.79,15.62,–2.14,–2.80,1.19,4.62,2.12,1.35 FGR,3.71,3.5,–3.86,0.42,–0.96,–2.79,–2.42,–3.08,5.64,9.26,–0.07,–0.83 OGR,–5.64,,6.98,,–15.90,,–0.29,,4.43,,–2.15, "2002, h = 24",,,,,,,,,,,, APE,16.94,28.68,10.66,7,10.41,34,–2.48,–2.20,6.17,6.39,–1.17,3.98 FGR,10.34,21.42,18.38,14.47,–7.17,12.67,–2.76,–2.48,17.17,11.11,–3.29,1.75 OGR,–5.64,,6.98,,–15.90,,–0.29,,4.43,,–2.15,