BTS | Table 2 - Example MCMC Simulation Output for Model 27: Some Statistics of the Estimated Posterior Density for a Selected Number of Parameters

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BTS Home > Publications > Journal of Transportation and Statistics > Volume 6 Number 1 > Paper 3

Table 2
Example MCMC Simulation Output for Model 27: Some Statistics of the Estimated Posterior Density for a Selected Number of Parameters

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Parameter	Mean	Standard error	2.5%	Median	97.5%
α₁	-0.963	0.154	-1.269	-0.964	-0.662
α₂	-0.639	0.148	-0.929	-0.635	-0.356
α₃	-1.131	0.162	-1.450	-1.128	-0.823
α₄	-1.240	0.183	-1.595	-1.237	-0.882
α₅	-1.288	0.155	-1.595	-1.283	-0.993
α₆	-1.427	0.182	-1.768	-1.429	-1.066
α₇	-1.376	0.128	-1.629	-1.375	-1.127
α₈	-1.218	0.130	-1.479	-1.215	-0.978
α₉	-0.984	0.158	-1.283	-0.986	-0.666
α₁₀	-0.582	0.162	-0.889	-0.584	-0.260
α₁₁	-0.610	0.156	-0.924	-0.602	-0.321
α₁₂	-0.498	0.208	-0.918	-0.489	-0.097
α₁₃	-0.919	0.149	-1.232	-0.914	-0.634
α₁₄	-0.668	0.137	-0.943	-0.668	-0.398
α₁₅	-0.770	0.139	-1.045	-0.772	-0.503
α₁₆	-0.893	0.165	-1.216	-0.891	-0.551
α₁₇	-0.754	0.139	-1.030	-0.756	-0.495
α₁₈	-0.630	0.170	-0.966	-0.621	-0.294
α₁₉	-0.649	0.171	-0.975	-0.645	-0.326
α₂₀	-0.877	0.208	-1.282	-0.880	-0.459
α₂₁	-1.005	0.308	-1.656	-0.981	-0.442
α₂₂	-1.561	0.224	-1.980	-1.566	-1.114
α₂₃	-1.189	0.147	-1.483	-1.187	-0.901
α₂₄	-1.114	0.378	-1.831	-1.127	-0.379
α₂₅	-1.401	0.156	-1.712	-1.396	-1.094
δ₁ (set to 0)
δ₂	0.0132	0.026	-0.0380	0.0129	0.0645
δ₃	-0.0156	0.027	-0.0677	-0.0156	0.0376
δ₄	0.0508	0.027	-0.0009	0.0508	0.1034
δ₅	0.0929	0.027	0.0418	0.0926	0.1453
δ₆	0.0886	0.027	0.0365	0.0886	0.1408
δ₇	0.0632	0.027	0.0111	0.0631	0.1155
δ₈	0.0603	0.026	0.0089	0.0601	0.1123
β₁	0.00286	0.0018	-0.00079	0.0029	0.00648
β₂	0.00723	0.0019	0.0035	0.00721	0.01103
β₃	-0.00057	0.0014	-0.00346	-0.00057	0.00229
β₄	-0.00004	0.0002	-0.00050	-0.00004	0.0004
β₅	0.00009	0.0002	-0.00028	-0.00010	0.00048
β₆	-0.00015	0.0002	-0.00045	-0.00015	0.00014
Ψ	46.52	5.04	37.83	46.18	57.41
1/η	0.0023	0.0002	0.0019	0.0023	0.0028

Table 2 Example MCMC Simulation Output for Model 27: Some Statistics of the Estimated Posterior Density for a Selected Number of Parameters

Table 2
Example MCMC Simulation Output for Model 27: Some Statistics of the Estimated Posterior Density for a Selected Number of Parameters