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Volume 10, Number 4, April 2004

Epidemiologic Determinants for Modeling Pneumonic Plague Outbreaks

Raymond Gani* and Steve Leach*
*Centre for Applied Microbiology & Research, Wilts, United Kingdom

 
 
Figure 3.
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Figure 3. Epidemic curves for outbreaks in the Table and from the model. The curves plot cumulative cases at time of onset. Day 0 is the time of onset of index case, the circles represent the times at which disease control measures begin, those without circles ended without public health interventions. Dotted lines indicate missing data. The thicker black line represents the upper 95 percentile from the epidemic model, which rises roughly exponentially to a value of 256 by day 35.

 

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This page last reviewed March 16, 2004

Emerging Infectious Diseases Journal
National Center for Infectious Diseases
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention