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000 FXUS62 KTAE 111328 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 928 AM EDT SAT OCT 11 2008 .UPDATE...COMBINATION OF DEEP LAYER RIDGE BUILDING OVER NEW ENGLAND AND STACKED LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST HAS ESTABLISHED NORTHEAST FLOW ACROSS THE REGION FOR TODAY. CURRENT FETCH AND SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY HOLD THROUGHOUT THE DAY FOR GEORGIA ZONES. FOR FLORIDA AND ALABAMA MAY SEE A FEW MORE BREAKS AND WILL WORD FOR PARTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON. AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS AND INVERTED TROUGH BEGINS TO MOVE WEST THIS AFTERNOON...EXPECT TO SEE SHOWERS MOVE INTO THE EASTERN ZONES. CURRENT GRIDS AND FORECAST HANDLES THIS WELL. WILL UPDATE CLOUD COVER AND CHANGE RAIN WORDING TO SHOWERS. && .AVIATION...A BLANKET OF MVFR/IFR STRATUS CIGS COVER MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA...GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. IT MAY TAKE UNTIL LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON FOR CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE TO VFR LEVELS. WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE ARE PRETTY STRONG THIS MORNING...NE AT 20 KTS AT 1000 FEET AND NE AT 25 KTS AT 2000 FEET. THIS COULD CREATE SOME LOW LEVEL WINDSHEAR AND TURBC THIS MORNING. A FEW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON OVER NE FLORIDA AND SE GEORGIA AND MOVE WEST...AND MAY EVEN CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...PARTICULARLY AT VLD AND INCLUDING AREAS EAST OF TLH AND ABY. EXPECT STRATUS TO DEVELOP AGAIN ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING. && .MARINE...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO STEADILY INCREASE DURING THE DAY TODAY AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND AND LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. BUOYS CURRENTLY RUNNING AROUND 12 KNOTS. STILL EXPECT TO SEE EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS TONIGHT OVER THE OFFSHORE LEGS. NO CHANGES PLANNED WITH MORNING UPDATE. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TALLAHASSEE 82 67 83 68 86 / 10 20 40 20 20 PANAMA CITY 82 69 84 70 85 / 10 10 20 20 20 DOTHAN 80 65 79 65 83 / 10 20 30 20 20 ALBANY 79 66 80 67 83 / 20 30 50 20 20 VALDOSTA 81 66 81 67 84 / 30 40 50 20 20 CROSS CITY 84 67 85 68 86 / 20 20 40 20 20 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...NONE. GA...NONE. FL...NONE. GM...NONE. && $$ CAMP/WATSON