000
ABNT20 KNHC 112348
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 1600 MILES EAST OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  THIS
SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT.  A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT A BROAD LOW
PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEAS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.  WHILE THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER
ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN