[Federal Register: January 25, 2007 (Volume 72, Number 16)]
[Notices]               
[Page 3473-3477]
From the Federal Register Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov]
[DOCID:fr25ja07-105]                         

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DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration

[Docket No. NHTSA-2006-26555]

 
The New Car Assessment Program; Suggested Approaches for 
Enhancements

AGENCY: The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), 
Department of Transportation (DOT).

ACTION: Request for comments; Notice of public hearing.

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SUMMARY: This notice announces that the National Highway Traffic Safety 
Administration (NHTSA) is holding a public hearing and is seeking 
comment on a report titled, ``The New Car Assessment Program Suggested 
Approaches for Future Program Enhancements.'' The report, published by 
NHTSA, outlines both near and long-term approaches that the agency is 
considering to further enhance its New Car Assessment Program (NCAP) 
crashworthiness and crash avoidance activities to encourage additional 
safety improvements, and to provide consumers with relevant information 
that will aid them in their new vehicle purchasing decisions. NHTSA's 
objective with these approaches is to improve not only overall vehicle 
safety but the quality of the information that it provides to 
consumers, especially with the emergence of advanced technologies. This 
notice requests comments on the possible approaches contained in the 
report and any additional actions that could be taken to improve motor 
vehicle safety information for consumers. Additionally, this notice 
announces the agency's intent to hold a public hearing on its suggested 
approaches for enhancing the program.

DATES: Comments: Comments must be received no later than April 10, 
2007.
    Public Hearing: The public hearing will be held on March 7, 2007, 
from 9 a.m. to 4 p.m. at the United States Department of Transportation 
(Nassif Building), 400 Seventh Street, SW., Washington, DC 20590; room 
numbers 2230-2232. Those wishing to participate should contact Mr. 
Anthony Whitson no later than February 21, 2007.
    The NHTSA recommends that all visitors arrive at least 45 minutes 
early in order to facilitate entry into the building. Visitors to the 
building should enter through the Southwest Lobby to be escorted to the 
hearing room.
    The NHTSA will provide auxiliary aids (sign language interpreter, 
telecommunications devices for the deaf

[[Page 3474]]

(TDDs), readers, taped tests, braille materials, or large print 
materials, and magnifying devices). Visitors requiring these aids 
should contact Mrs. Gwen Archer-Pailen at 202-366-1740, by February 21, 
2007.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Mr. Anthony Whitson, NVS-111, Office 
of Rulemaking, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, 400 
Seventh Street, SW., Washington, DC 20590. Mr. Whitson can be reached 
by phone at (202) 366-1740, by facsimile at (202) 493-2739, or by e-
mail at anthony.whitson@dot.gov.

ADDRESSES: Report: The report is available on the Internet for viewing 
on line in PDF format in the Department of Transportation public docket 
number 26555 at http://dms.dot.gov. You may also obtain copies of the 

reports free of charge by sending a self-addressed mailing label to Mr. 
Anthony Whitson (NVS-111), The National Highway Traffic Safety 
Administration, 400 Seventh Street, SW., Washington, DC 20590.
    Comments: You may submit comments [identified by DOT DMS Docket 
Number NHTSA-2006-26555] by any of the following methods:
     Web Site: http://dms.dot.gov. Follow the instructions for 

submitting comments on the DOT electronic docket site.
     Fax: 1-202-493-2251.
     Mail: Docket Management Facility; U.S. Department of 
Transportation, 400 Seventh Street, SW., Nassif Building, Room PL-401, 
Washington, DC 20590-001.
     Hand Delivery: Room PL-401 on the plaza level of the 
Nassif Building, 400 Seventh Street, SW., Washington, DC, between 9 
a.m. and 5 p.m., Monday through Friday, except Federal holidays.
     Federal eRulemaking Portal: Go to http://www.regulations.gov.
 Follow the online instructions for submitting 

comments.
    You may call Docket Management at 202-366-9324 and visit the Docket 
from 10 a.m. to 5 p.m., Monday through Friday.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The National Highway Traffic Safety 
Administration (NHTSA) established the New Car Assessment Program 
(NCAP) in 1978 in response to Title II of the Motor Vehicle Information 
and Cost Savings Act of 1972. The program strives to provide consumers 
with timely, meaningful, comparative safety information that will 
assist them in making informed vehicle purchasing decisions. As a 
result, NHTSA is able to provide an incentive for manufacturers to 
voluntarily implement vehicle design changes to improve safety 
performance.
    The success of NCAP can be attributed to several activities: (1) 
The assignment of safety ratings to vehicles based on crashworthiness 
performance in frontal and side impact crash tests, and crash avoidance 
performance in rollover resistance testing, (2) the assignment of ease-
of-use ratings to child restraints, (3) the inclusion of safety 
features for vehicle models, and (4) the distribution of safety ratings 
and safety features to consumers through the Internet and the program's 
``Buying a Safer Car Guide'' and ``Buying a Safer Car Guide for Child 
Passengers.''
    However, the continued success of the NCAP requires changes to be 
made in the program. The NHTSA recognizes that consumer demand has 
driven more manufacturers to design vehicles and child restraints that 
achieve the highest NCAP ratings, and consequently most vehicles and 
child restraints receive the highest ratings. Similarly, with regards 
to vehicle safety, recent developments in the area of crash avoidance 
technologies, amendments and proposed amendments to several Federal 
safety standards, and the need to continue enhancing the presentation 
of NCAP safety ratings to consumers have prompted the need for a 
comprehensive review of all NCAP activities so that the program 
continues to fully achieve its goals.
    In analyzing what enhancements to make to NCAP, the agency must 
first consider the program's guiding principles. The agency believes 
that for NCAP to remain effective, new approaches should only be 
considered if there is data that can be used to measure/assess that an 
approach is likely to provide significant safety benefits. Additional 
considerations include whether or not the change would:
    1. Result in safety benefits that are evident but for which a 
regulation may not be the best approach;
    2. Distinguish meaningful performance differences between vehicles;
    3. Spur research and the achievement of safety goals that exceed 
regulatory requirements; and
    4. Stimulate the use and dissemination of information so that it is 
more widely used.
    Below, are summarized approaches from the technical report 
contained in Docket number 26555. These approaches represent how the 
agency believes it can continue to enhance its NCAP activities. These 
approaches take into account all of the aforementioned factors and 
provide a basis for initiating stakeholder dialogue for enhancing the 
NCAP.

Approaches To Enhancing Frontal NCAP

    Data from the National Automotive Sampling System (NASS) indicates 
that most injuries in frontal crashes occur in full-frontal and offset-
frontal crashes. Additionally, when restricted to full-frontal crashes 
with adult (16- to 60-year-old) front seat-belted occupants, the 
maximum number of injuries occurs at changes in velocities from 0 to 25 
miles per hour. Within this grouping, the de-habilitating and costly 
knee/thigh/hip (KTH) and lower leg regions have the highest incidence 
of the Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) 2+ injuries. Neither of these 
regions is currently rated by NCAP.
    In Model Year (MY) 2006, approximately 95 percent of new vehicles 
achieved a four or five star rating for the driver. A five-star rating 
in the frontal NCAP test accounts for a combined risk of head and chest 
injury of 10 percent, and at this risk level current head and chest 
Injury Assessment Reference Values (IARVs) are not likely to further 
reduce high-speed or low-speed injury numbers. The statistical data 
analysis discussed above indicates that future tests should focus on 
full-frontal crashes, front seat occupants, lower speeds, 16- to 60-
year-old adults, and incorporate additional body regions like the hips 
and legs. Although these body regions are currently measured during 
testing, they are currently not included in the rating. By including 
them, there may be opportunity to use the existing test for potential 
safety improvements.

    The report discusses three approaches the agency is considering:
    (1) Maintain the current test protocol but add femur readings to 
the rating to begin addressing KTH injuries.
    (2) Determine whether injury measures obtained below the knee 
are predictive of real world injury. If they are, and the readings 
from the dummy would result in a meaningful improvement to safety, 
they could also be added to the rating, and
    (3) Evaluate lower speed test(s). The research would determine 
whether current IARVs need to be adjusted or created, and to assess 
the ability of a test device and test procedure to accurately 
measure those injury assessment values.

Approaches To Enhancing Side NCAP

    NASS data indicates that the majority of side impact crashes with 
serious (AIS 3+) injuries involve the primary vehicle being impacted in 
the side by light trucks or cars and that approximately 82 percent of 
all serious injuries to occupants result from subject vehicles

[[Page 3475]]

being hit by passenger cars or light trucks. The impact conditions for 
Side NCAP were developed more than 20 years ago. The conditions 
represent side impacts resulting in serious injuries of occupants being 
struck by a vehicle with the weight properties of an early 1980's 
passenger car and the stiffness properties of 1980's era light truck.
    The vehicle fleet has changed significantly over the past 20 years 
and similar to frontal NCAP, 87 percent of MY '06 vehicles receive four 
or five stars. Consequently, the side NCAP ratings are reaching the 
point of providing little discrimination between vehicles. 
Additionally, since the fleet and impact conditions for side impacts 
have changed over the years, and since side impact head and other side 
impact occupant protection systems have improved over the years, it is 
necessary to revisit the design of the test in an effort to continue 
improving the safety in side impact crashes.

    The report discusses two approaches the agency is considering:
    (1) Encourage more manufactures to include head protection by 
including the pole test proposed for Federal Motor Vehicle Safety 
Standard (FMVSS) No. 214 prior to the final rule being fully phased-
in. This test would continue to measure performance while at the 
same time indicate to consumers the importance of good head 
protection devices, and
    (2) Perform research that focuses on the assessment of the 
injury mechanisms in a fully equipped side impact air bag fleet. The 
purpose would be to evaluate how serious injuries occur in the new 
fleet and develop test procedures to reflect these impact 
conditions. The outcome of this research could be used to further 
improve the level of side impact protection through modification to 
the side NCAP test procedures.

Approaches To Enhancing Rollover NCAP

    Although the proportion of crashes that result in rollover is low, 
these crashes seriously injure and kill about 35,000 vehicle occupants 
annually. NCAP rollover resistance ratings predict the risk of rollover 
in the event of a single-vehicle crash. Estimates from the NASS 
indicate that 88 percent of the single-vehicle rollover crashes occur 
after the vehicle leaves the roadway and are often referred to as 
``tripped rollovers.'' Part of NCAP's rating is based on a geometric 
measurement called the Static Stability Factor (SSF). The SSF is highly 
predictive of these ``tripped rollovers.''
    The NHTSA estimates that its proposal to require Electronic 
Stability Control (ESC) on all passenger vehicles by 2012 will result 
in a significant reduction in run-off-road crashes. Most of the 
anticipated rollover reduction from ESC is not a consequence of ESC 
increasing rollover resistance. Rather, it is a consequence of ESC 
preventing a large number of single-vehicle loss-of-control crashes in 
which the vehicle leaves the roadway, and subsequently, is exposed to 
soft soil, ditches and other conditions that cause tripped rollovers 
(which comprise about 95 percent of all rollover crashes). None of the 
sport utility vehicles (SUVs) with ESC rated by NCAP has tipped up in 
the dynamic test that assesses the vulnerability of a vehicle to an 
untripped, on-road rollover. This effect of ESC shows improved rollover 
resistance scores for SUVs. Finally, ESC could reduce the rollover rate 
of those run-off-the-road crashes that still occur if it reduces the 
speed prior to the crash. When enough real world data with ESC vehicles 
has been accumulated, a need may exist to update the statistical risk 
model for ESC vehicles used to predict their rollover rates (and 
compute star ratings).

    The report discusses one approach the agency is considering:
    (1) Track the rollover rate and the single vehicle crash rate of 
ESC vehicles to create a new rollover risk model of the rollover 
rate of ESC vehicles and SSF. When sufficient data is available, it 
would then be possible to determine whether the current model is 
accurate for ESC vehicles or whether ESC reduces rollover risk more 
than currently predicted.

Approaches To Enhancing NCAP Information on Rear Impacts

    Currently NHTSA provides no consumer information on rear impacts 
and although NHTSA has recently upgraded FMVSS No. 202 ``Head 
Restraints'' to address neck injuries, the real world data indicates 
that other injuries are occurring in rear impact collisions. 
Additionally, consumer research has indicated that consumers are 
concerned about rear impact crashes.

    The report discusses two approaches the agency is considering:
    (1) Explore providing consumers with basic information 
concerning rear impact crashes such as safe driving behavior and 
proper adjustment of head restraints, real world safety data by 
vehicle classes, and links to the Insurance Institute for Highway 
Safety (IIHS) rear impact test results.
    (2) Longer term, a dynamic test that addresses those injuries 
not covered by the agency's current standards could be investigated 
and incorporated into a ratings program.

Approaches To Enhancing NCAP Information on Crash Avoidance 
Technologies

    Various crash avoidance technologies have been developed and are 
beginning to be offered in the current vehicle fleet. Some of these 
technologies have shown effectiveness in reducing the number of 
relevant crashes in NHTSA-sponsored field operational tests. Prevention 
(in the sense of avoiding the crash) and severity reduction are not 
currently included in the NCAP safety ratings, and since a vehicle that 
is less likely to crash is safer for its occupants, NHTSA believes 
crash avoidance is one area in which NCAP could be used to improve 
safety by addressing beneficial crash avoidance technologies.

    The report discusses three approaches the agency is considering:
    (1) The agency could begin promoting three priority crash 
avoidance safety technologies that have been identified based on 
technical maturity, fleet availability, and available benefits data. 
These three technologies are stability control, lane departure 
avoidance, and rear-end/forward collision avoidance. The agency 
could highlight to consumers whether or not the vehicles have the 
technology.
    (2) The agency also plans to investigate the feasibility of 
developing a separate crash avoidance rating that would provide a 
technology rating. Under this approach, there are two options.
    a. One option would be to develop a simple cumulative rating. 
For example and illustrative purposes only, if there were an A, B, C 
letter grade rating and a vehicle had only one technology, it would 
receive a C whereas another vehicle that had all three recommended 
technologies would receive an A.
    b. A second option would be to develop a rating that would take 
into account the target population and anticipated effectiveness of 
the technology to decide whether a particular type of technology 
would be given more importance over another and thus prompt a higher 
rating. For example, if ESC was considered more effective and more 
beneficial than lane departure, a vehicle equipped only with ESC 
could get a B versus a vehicle equipped only with lane departure 
which would get a C rating.
    (3) As the technologies evolve and as the agency develops 
(through its research) more information related to their safety 
potential, a safety score (i.e. star rating) on individual 
technologies could then be developed. These scores would apply to 
technologies whose safety effectiveness had been sufficiently 
validated through research, field testing or on-road experience. The 
agency would need to ensure that it had sufficient data and that 
there were meaningful distinctions between different types of the 
same technology. After such an analysis, a set of performance tests 
could be developed that would be able to distinguish a range of 
performance.

Approaches To Enhancing the Presentation and Dissemination of NCAP 
Information

Combined Safety Score

    Several NHTSA sponsored research reports and consumer surveys, as 
well

[[Page 3476]]

as a Government Accountability Office and a National Academy of 
Sciences review of NCAP, have all pointed to the need for an NCAP 
summary safety rating. Similarly, other consumer information programs 
around the world such as the IIHS, Japan NCAP, and Euro NCAP have 
developed summary ratings that combine their respective crashworthiness 
tests. The agency would focus first on combining the frontal and side 
crashworthiness ratings using weighting factors compiled from NASS 
data. This method would combine the frontal ratings for driver and 
right front passenger seating positions with the side ratings for the 
front and rear passenger seating positions into one crashworthiness 
rating and leave NHTSA's current rollover rating separate. The 
following summary crashworthiness rating concepts are illustrative 
examples for combining vehicle crash information. Two approaches being 
considered are presented below.

    (1) The overall frontal crash rating would combine the driver 
and right front passenger into a single star rating by averaging the 
two seating positions together. The same would be done for the 
dummies in the side crash to compute the overall side crash rating. 
To compute the overall crashworthiness rating, the overall frontal 
and the overall side impact performance would be combined by using 
weighting factors obtained from the NASS. Each individual total 
(overall front and overall side) would be weighted by that crash 
mode's contribution to the total fatalities occurring in the real 
world.
    (2) For each individual crash mode (front and side), this method 
would normalize each IARV that NHTSA included in the rating by 
established IARVs for that dummy, body region, and crash mode. Using 
the NASS data, these normalized values would then be multiplied by 
the occurrence of that injury in the real world. Body injury regions 
that are coded by NASS but are not measured by the dummy and or not 
selected by NHTSA for inclusion in the rating would be equally 
distributed among the remaining body regions.

Presentation of Safety Information

    As consumers' use of the World Wide Web for vehicle safety 
information has grown, so has the need to consolidate and better 
present NCAP vehicle safety information to consumers on 
http://www.safercar.gov.


    The report discusses four approaches the agency is considering:
    (1) Developing other topical areas under http://www.safercar.gov;

    (2) Redesigning the Web site to improve organization;
    (3) Improving the search capabilities on the Web site; and
    (4) Combining agency recall and ratings database information.

Specific Requests for Written or Public Comments

    When commenting on the agency report, we request that consideration 
also be given to the following questions:
    (1) In addition to or rather than the advanced crash avoidance 
technologies we have identified, are there others with significant 
safety benefit potential that we should consider? What are they and 
what studies have been done to estimate the potential safety benefits?
    (2) Are there other approaches the agency should consider in 
selecting and rating advanced technologies? What are the advantages of 
these alternative approaches?
    (3) Identify those cases where you believe a particular approach to 
enhancing the NCAP and/or NHTSA's planned consumer information 
activities to address the approach are inappropriate. Discuss the basis 
for your position. In particular, if you believe a particular approach 
is inappropriate, discuss what you believe is a more appropriate 
approach.
    (4) Are there other injury criteria, tests, and test devices we 
should consider? If so, describe how they would improve real world 
crash safety. Are there reasons why the agency should not pursue the 
use of injury criteria, tests, and test devices prior to incorporation 
into a Federal standard?
    (5) An overall vehicle safety rating could allow the agency to 
combine new tests, crash avoidance technologies, items not reflected by 
the testing protocols into a single metric, and vehicle weight for 
across class comparisons. However, doing so might mask certain results 
and also lead to discontinuity in the ratings as technologies are added 
and removed and or new tests are added. Similarly star ratings from 
year to year might not be comparable. What are the disadvantages and 
advantages for combining all crashworthiness and crash avoidance 
ratings into a single metric? Is discontinuity in ratings important to 
consumers?
    (6) In September 2007, all new vehicles will be required to display 
the NCAP ratings at the point of sale. It is anticipated that these new 
safety labels will undoubtedly raise the awareness of NCAP results. In 
light of this new labeling requirement, are there other activities the 
agency should be undertaking to raise awareness of NCAP and its safety 
information?

How can I influence NHTSA's thinking on this subject?

    NHTSA welcomes public review of the technical report and invites 
reviewers to submit written comments so that the agency can consider 
these in its deliberations on what changes to make to NCAP.
    Additionally, NHTSA will hold a public hearing on the report to 
provide interested parties an opportunity to express their views on the 
future of NCAP. Through this hearing and from the written comments, the 
agency will refine its approach to enhancing NCAP. We will consider the 
information and the views expressed at the public hearing and in the 
subsequent docket comments in making final decisions to enhance NCAP 
activities. All interested persons and organizations are invited to 
attend.
    To assist the agency in planning for the hearing, members of the 
public must request the opportunity to make an oral presentation by 
contacting Mr. Anthony Whitson at the address or numbers mentioned at 
the beginning of this document. Those making a presentation will be 
provided 10 minutes to speak, followed by the opportunity for NHTSA 
officials to ask questions. Requests for oral presentations and the 
oral statements themselves should be received no later than February 
21, 2007.

How do I prepare and submit comments?

    Your comments must be written and in English. To ensure that your 
comments are correctly filed in the Docket, please include the Docket 
number of this document (NHTSA-2005-20132) in your comments.
    Your primary comments must not be more than 15 pages long (49 CFR 
553.21). However, you may attach additional documents to your primary 
comments. There is no limit on the length of the attachments.
    Please send two paper copies of your comments to Docket Management, 
submit them electronically, fax them, or use the Federal eRulemaking 
Portal. The mailing address is U. S. Department of Transportation 
Docket Management, Room PL-401, 400 Seventh Street, SW., Washington, DC 
20590. If you submit your comments electronically, log onto the Dockets 
Management System Web site at http://dms.dot.gov and click on ``Help'' 

to obtain instructions. The fax number is 1-202-493-2251. To use the 
Federal eRulemaking Portal, go to http://www.regulations.gov and follow 

the online instructions for submitting comments.

How can I be sure that my comments were received?

    If you wish Docket Management to notify you upon its receipt of 
your

[[Page 3477]]

comments, enclose a self-addressed, stamped postcard in the envelope 
containing your comments. Upon receiving your comments, Docket 
Management will return the postcard by mail.

How do I submit confidential business information?

    If you wish to submit any information under a claim of 
confidentiality, send three copies of your complete submission, 
including the information you claim to be confidential business 
information, to the Chief Counsel, NCC-01, National Highway Traffic 
Safety Administration, Room 5219, 400 Seventh Street, SW., Washington, 
DC 20590. Include a cover letter supplying the information specified in 
our confidential business information regulation (49 CFR Part 512).
    In addition, send two copies from which you have deleted the 
claimed confidential business information to Docket Management, Room 
PL-401, 400 Seventh Street, SW., Washington, DC 20590, or submit them 
electronically.

Will the agency consider late comments?

    In our response, we will consider all comments that Docket 
Management receives before the close of business on the comment closing 
date indicated above under DATES. To the extent possible, we will also 
consider comments that Docket Management receives after that date.
    Please note that even after the comment closing date, we will 
continue to file relevant information in the Docket as it becomes 
available. Further, some people may submit late comments. Accordingly, 
we recommend that you periodically check the Docket for new material.

How can I read the comments submitted by other people?

    You may read the comments by visiting Docket Management in person 
at Room PL-401, 400 Seventh Street, SW., Washington, DC from 10 a.m. to 
5 p.m., Monday through Friday.
    You may also see the comments on the Internet by taking the 
following steps:
    A. Go to the Docket Management System (DMS) Web page of the 
Department of Transportation (http://dms.dot.gov).

    B. On that page, click on ``Simple Search.''
    C. On the next page (http://dms.dot.gov/search/searchFormSimple.cfm/
) type in the five-digit Docket number shown at 

the beginning of this Notice (20132). Click on ``Search.''
    D. On the next page, which contains Docket summary information for 
the Docket you selected, click on the desired comments. You may also 
download the comments.

    Authority: 49 U.S.C. 30111, 30168; delegation of authority at 49 
CFR 1.50 and 501.8.

    Dated: January 18, 2007.
Nicole R. Nason,
Administrator.
[FR Doc. E7-1130 Filed 1-24-07; 8:45 am]

BILLING CODE 4910-59-P