FIGURE 10 Estimated KAB Crash Rates1 in Crashes per MVMT by County from Model 27: 1999,,,,,, "97.5 percentile, mean, and 2.5 percentile of the posterior density",,,,,, TxDOT COUNTY #,COUNTY NAME,Longitude X,Latitude Y,2.5 %ile,Posterior Mean,97.5 %ile 1,ANDERSON,-95.64440,31.81800,62,0.64,0.81 2,ANDREWS,-102.63720,32.30450,54,0.16,0.25 3,ANGELINA,-94.61810,31.24590,60,0.99,1.24 4,ARANSAS,-97.00250,28.12800,58,0.53,0.85 5,ARCHER,-98.68700,33.61510,61,0.34,0.49 6,ARMSTRONG,-101.35700,34.96490,50,0.36,0.62 7,ATASCOSA,-98.54150,28.87500,52,0.33,0.46 8,AUSTIN,-96.25900,29.90680,61,0.57,0.74 9,BAILEY,-102.82930,34.06850,53,0.19,0.31 10,BANDERA,-99.25750,29.74130,68,0.60,0.82 11,BASTROP,-97.31250,30.09790,61,0.61,0.81 12,BAYLOR,-99.21300,33.61650,61,0.35,0.51 13,BEE,-97.74820,28.40840,60,0.56,0.78 14,BELL,-97.46090,31.03310,58,0.66,0.86 15,BEXAR,-98.52150,29.44690,56,1.11,1.49 16,BLANCO,-98.40370,30.27740,69,0.60,0.85 17,BORDEN,-101.43090,32.74360,64,0.17,0.28 18,BOSQUE,-97.62750,31.89690,61,0.33,0.45 19,BOWIE,-94.44190,33.44210,53,0.47,0.63 20,BRAZORIA,-95.43430,29.18250,51,0.57,0.89 21,BRAZOS,-96.28660,30.66480,62,0.66,0.90 22,BREWSTER,-103.27850,29.83060,73,0.27,0.40 23,BRISCOE,-101.20800,34.53020,55,0.23,0.38 24,BROOKS,-98.21770,27.03760,49,0.41,0.64 25,BROWN,-99.00820,31.76830,64,0.55,0.75 26,BURLESON,-96.62680,30.48860,65,0.66,0.87 27,BURNET,-98.18920,30.80930,67,0.75,0.98 28,CALDWELL,-97.62430,29.83350,61,0.80,1.05 29,CALHOUN,-96.64620,28.50600,54,0.37,0.56 30,CALLAHAN,-99.37270,32.29760,63,0.38,0.56 31,CAMERON,-97.50660,26.12710,41,0.45,0.61 32,CAMP,-94.98320,32.96900,54,0.53,0.78 33,CARSON,-101.35360,35.40360,59,0.24,0.39 34,CASS,-94.34370,33.07670,52,0.52,0.67 35,CASTRO,-102.26110,34.53000,49,0.18,0.28 36,CHAMBERS,-94.59290,29.75090,48,0.56,0.79 37,CHEROKEE,-95.15420,31.84750,60,0.58,0.73 38,CHILDRESS,-100.20730,34.52890,64,0.19,0.31 39,CLAY,-98.21180,33.78370,60,0.34,0.49 40,COCHRAN,-102.82790,33.60290,57,0.20,0.32 41,COKE,-100.52930,31.88850,54,0.30,0.46 42,COLEMAN,-99.45260,31.77430,60,0.32,0.45 43,COLLIN,-96.57320,33.18650,54,0.75,0.95 44,COLLINGSWORTH,-100.26950,34.96480,60,0.19,0.30 45,COLORADO,-96.53030,29.62580,63,0.73,0.94 46,COMAL,-98.27530,29.80380,59,0.62,0.97 47,COMANCHE,-98.56570,31.93590,66,0.38,0.53 48,CONCHO,-99.86480,31.32560,58,0.23,0.36 49,COOKE,-97.22120,33.63370,55,0.38,0.51 50,CORYELL,-97.79900,31.39080,61,0.41,0.59 51,COTTLE,-100.27870,34.07840,65,0.16,0.27 52,CRANE,-102.50060,31.43710,57,0.13,0.21 53,CROCKETT,-101.39270,30.74370,75,0.22,0.34 54,CROSBY,-101.29950,33.61440,49,0.37,0.56 55,CULBERSON,-104.53130,31.46010,69,0.17,0.30 56,DALLAM,-102.60150,36.27790,62,0.17,0.28 57,DALLAS,-96.77780,32.76650, , , 58,DAWSON,-101.94710,32.74260,66,0.23,0.36 59,DEAF SMITH,-102.60460,34.96600,48,0.32,0.48 60,DELTA,-95.69320,33.38950,57,0.72,1.05 61,DENTON,-97.11740,33.20400,55,0.68,0.97 62,DEWITT,-97.34050,29.07510,63,0.46,0.62 63,DICKENS,-100.77830,33.61610,69,0.19,0.32 64,DIMMIT,-99.75710,28.42220,59,0.14,0.25 65,DONLEY,-100.81340,34.96500,58,0.37,0.61 66,KENEDY,-97.72210,26.92890, , , 67,DUVAL,-98.50140,27.68240,54,0.16,0.25 68,EASTLAND,-98.84810,32.33420,66,0.27,0.38 69,ECTOR,-102.54230,31.86890,57,0.19,0.30 70,EDWARDS,-100.31350,29.99970,78,0.37,0.56 71,ELLIS,-96.80790,32.35260,61,0.55,0.70 72,EL PASO,-106.20460,31.80020,62,0.24,0.45 73,ERATH,-98.21740,32.22940,64,0.56,0.73 74,FALLS,-96.93560,31.25250,59,0.29,0.41 75,FANNIN,-96.10010,33.58980,57,0.50,0.64 76,FAYETTE,-96.91360,29.87340,63,0.53,0.70 77,FISHER,-100.40150,32.74260,63,0.20,0.30 78,FLOYD,-101.30270,34.07220,57,0.25,0.37 79,FOARD,-99.78750,33.97040,62,0.18,0.29 80,FORT BEND,-95.78200,29.52870,54,0.56,0.79 81,FRANKLIN,-95.21880,33.17580,55,0.45,0.64 82,FREESTONE,-96.15090,31.70100,62,0.39,0.53 83,FRIO,-99.10810,28.86730,58,0.25,0.37 84,GAINES,-102.63480,32.74030,61,0.14,0.22 85,GALVESTON,-95.00500,29.38740,47,0.51,0.94 86,GARZA,-101.29800,33.17960,69,0.24,0.39 87,GILLESPIE,-98.94680,30.31800,72,0.53,0.74 88,GLASSCOCK,-101.52020,31.86950,56,0.15,0.25 89,GOLIAD,-97.41820,28.65700,61,0.41,0.59 90,GONZALES,-97.49390,29.42860,60,0.54,0.70 91,GRAY,-100.81250,35.40070,59,0.25,0.38 92,GRAYSON,-96.67710,33.62290,56,0.50,0.65 93,GREGG,-94.80980,32.47440,53,0.69,0.99 94,GRIMES,-95.98390,30.54790,61,0.60,0.78 95,GUADALUPE,-97.93730,29.58330,60,0.79,1.04 96,HALE,-101.82650,34.07050,48,0.31,0.45 97,HALL,-100.68100,34.53060,62,0.32,0.52 98,HAMILTON,-98.10710,31.69450,64,0.38,0.56 99,HANSFORD,-101.35410,36.27750,67,0.23,0.35 100,HARDEMAN,-99.75710,34.28550,61,0.22,0.36 101,HARDIN,-94.39180,30.33720,53,0.38,0.56 102,HARRIS,-95.38690,29.86050, , , 103,HARRISON,-94.36020,32.54650,53,0.80,1.00 104,HARTLEY,-102.60280,35.83980,59,0.27,0.45 105,HASKELL,-99.72960,33.17820,65,0.24,0.35 106,HAYS,-98.03250,30.05340,63,0.68,0.98 107,HEMPHILL,-100.26990,35.83760,64,0.23,0.37 108,HENDERSON,-95.85150,32.21950,59,0.96,1.18 109,HIDALGO,-98.17570,26.37700,41,0.26,0.37 110,HILL,-97.14370,31.98740,61,0.46,0.60 111,HOCKLEY,-102.34260,33.60800,50,0.43,0.60 112,HOOD,-97.83930,32.43390,62,0.73,1.03 113,HOPKINS,-95.55620,33.14670,53,0.57,0.75 114,HOUSTON,-95.44090,31.33340,63,0.53,0.69 115,HOWARD,-101.43520,32.30620,61,0.17,0.28 116,HUDSPETH,-105.35870,31.48080,62,0.22,0.34 117,HUNT,-96.08580,33.12650,51,0.72,0.89 118,HUTCHINSON,-101.35420,35.84010,65,0.25,0.38 119,IRION,-100.98260,31.30320,63,0.23,0.37 120,JACK,-98.17200,33.23340,61,0.37,0.52 121,JACKSON,-96.58150,28.95640,56,0.37,0.53 122,JASPER,-94.01280,30.79090,59,0.51,0.68 123,JEFF DAVIS,-104.11920,30.70090,72,0.15,0.26 124,JEFFERSON,-94.17430,29.89090,52,0.51,0.80 125,JIM HOGG,-98.69570,27.03480,50,0.19,0.29 126,JIM WELLS,-98.10450,27.76320,49,0.45,0.67 127,JOHNSON,-97.37420,32.38040,62,0.77,1.03 128,JONES,-99.87840,32.73990,62,0.30,0.43 129,KARNES,-97.84640,28.88740,59,0.36,0.49 130,KAUFMAN,-96.28420,32.60080,58,0.92,1.14 131,KENDALL,-98.71690,29.94550,64,0.71,1.01 132,KENT,-100.77740,33.18100,64,0.19,0.31 133,KERR,-99.37560,30.05640,73,0.55,0.77 134,KIMBLE,-99.75370,30.47620,75,0.27,0.43 135,KING,-100.25530,33.61620,68,0.17,0.28 136,KINNEY,-100.41670,29.34490,64,0.42,0.72 137,KLEBERG,-97.74940,27.43230,48,0.47,0.72 138,KNOX,-99.74410,33.60540,67,0.17,0.28 139,LAMAR,-95.56770,33.66730,60,0.63,0.81 140,LAMB,-102.35100,34.06830,53,0.27,0.39 141,LAMPASAS,-98.23710,31.18820,68,0.48,0.70 142,LA SALLE,-99.09980,28.34470,59,0.16,0.29 143,LAVACA,-96.93250,29.38410,65,0.36,0.51 144,LEE,-96.96420,30.31700,64,0.88,1.16 145,LEON,-95.99050,31.29610,60,0.46,0.62 146,LIBERTY,-94.81910,30.13730,51,0.57,0.78 147,LIMESTONE,-96.58480,31.54780,60,0.29,0.41 148,LIPSCOMB,-100.27280,36.27770,67,0.17,0.30 149,LIVE OAK,-98.13370,28.33000,58,0.33,0.49 150,LLANO,-98.68500,30.70510,70,0.61,0.80 151,LOVING,-103.56610,31.85830,57,0.18,0.34 152,LUBBOCK,-101.81990,33.61010,53,0.39,0.53 153,LYNN,-101.81560,33.17640,52,0.30,0.45 154,MADISON,-95.93000,30.96350,62,0.48,0.68 155,MARION,-94.36600,32.80000,52,0.90,1.18 156,MARTIN,-101.95070,32.30610,56,0.15,0.23 157,MASON,-99.22660,30.71750,70,0.39,0.59 158,MATAGORDA,-95.97580,28.85040,53,0.49,0.64 159,MAVERICK,-100.29120,28.77970,59,0.25,0.44 160,MCCULLOCH,-99.34730,31.19810,67,0.27,0.40 161,MCLENNAN,-97.20130,31.55240,60,0.52,0.68 162,MCMULLEN,-98.56710,28.34890,57,0.20,0.32 163,MEDINA,-99.11220,29.35300,60,0.54,0.72 164,MENARD,-99.82300,30.88500,71,0.20,0.33 165,MIDLAND,-102.03100,31.86900,53,0.14,0.23 166,MILAM,-96.97870,30.78460,62,0.57,0.76 167,MILLS,-98.58080,31.49080,67,0.36,0.53 168,MITCHELL,-100.92070,32.30590,61,0.25,0.39 169,MONTAGUE,-97.71660,33.67360,58,0.47,0.64 170,MONTGOMERY,-95.50400,30.29130,59,0.77,1.11 171,MOORE,-101.89250,35.83760,61,0.24,0.37 172,MORRIS,-94.73170,33.11320,54,0.46,0.70 173,MOTLEY,-100.77920,34.07410,63,0.24,0.39 174,NACOGDOCHES,-94.60650,31.61980,60,0.69,0.90 175,NAVARRO,-96.47010,32.04610,61,0.61,0.79 176,NEWTON,-93.75880,30.82570,59,0.45,0.63 177,NOLAN,-100.40550,32.30350,56,0.37,0.54 178,NUECES,-97.63560,27.72020,49,0.72,0.98 179,OCHILTREE,-100.81530,36.27820,68,0.16,0.25 180,OLDHAM,-102.60190,35.40440,54,0.24,0.42 181,ORANGE,-93.88540,30.12770,53,0.72,1.05 182,PALO PINTO,-98.31070,32.75270,64,0.66,0.84 183,PANOLA,-94.30370,32.15890,57,0.57,0.77 184,PARKER,-97.80480,32.77730,60,0.57,0.76 185,PARMER,-102.78390,34.52990,50,0.42,0.60 186,PECOS,-102.73090,30.78840,71,0.24,0.33 187,POLK,-94.81900,30.78950,59,0.83,1.04 188,POTTER,-101.89340,35.40110,54,0.36,0.58 189,PRESIDIO,-104.21740,30.01980,72,0.23,0.35 190,RAINS,-95.78840,32.87300,55,0.42,0.63 191,RANDALL,-101.89650,34.96580,48,0.31,0.49 192,REAGAN,-101.52280,31.36640,68,0.17,0.28 193,REAL,-99.82390,29.82440,72,0.54,0.78 194,RED RIVER,-95.06400,33.61460,57,0.54,0.72 195,REEVES,-103.71250,31.30230,68,0.19,0.29 196,REFUGIO,-97.16960,28.33120,58,0.40,0.59 197,ROBERTS,-100.81280,35.83800,63,0.22,0.37 198,ROBERTSON,-96.50940,31.03280,60,0.56,0.75 199,ROCKWALL,-96.40740,32.89780,52,1.34,1.82 200,RUNNELS,-99.97560,31.83150,56,0.29,0.42 201,RUSK,-94.76410,32.10870,57,0.61,0.76 202,SABINE,-93.85880,31.33390,57,0.71,0.96 203,SAN AUGUSTINE,-94.16550,31.39940,58,0.67,0.87 204,SAN JACINTO,-95.18650,30.55530,58,0.62,0.82 205,SAN PATRICIO,-97.51840,28.00850,49,0.41,0.57 206,SAN SABA,-98.82870,31.14350,69,0.29,0.43 207,SCHLEICHER,-100.53810,30.89710,65,0.17,0.29 208,SCURRY,-100.91590,32.74610,63,0.28,0.41 209,SHACKELFORD,-99.35360,32.73580,64,0.28,0.45 210,SHELBY,-94.14050,31.79100,60,0.88,1.13 211,SHERMAN,-101.89290,36.27760,65,0.33,0.54 212,SMITH,-95.27100,32.38230,53,0.64,0.81 213,SOMERVELL,-97.77830,32.22460,61,0.79,1.20 214,STARR,-98.72550,26.56750,46,0.28,0.42 215,STEPHENS,-98.83610,32.73540,67,0.33,0.47 216,STERLING,-101.05020,31.82900,63,0.19,0.32 217,STONEWALL,-100.25320,33.17880,64,0.21,0.32 218,SUTTON,-100.53740,30.49800,81,0.21,0.36 219,SWISHER,-101.73440,34.53030,51,0.30,0.46 220,TARRANT,-97.29130,32.77020,59,0.79,1.33 221,TAYLOR,-99.88960,32.30150,55,0.45,0.63 222,TERRELL,-102.06360,30.21370,76,0.16,0.28 223,TERRY,-102.33480,33.17390,61,0.22,0.34 224,THROCKMORTON,-99.21190,33.17740,65,0.22,0.35 225,TITUS,-94.96350,33.21800,57,0.42,0.62 226,TOM GREEN,-100.44860,31.41600,58,0.34,0.51 227,TRAVIS,-97.77950,30.34150,61,1.65,2.40 228,TRINITY,-95.13030,31.08420,59,0.63,0.84 229,TYLER,-94.37960,30.76470,56,0.61,0.83 230,UPSHUR,-94.94750,32.73930,52,0.55,0.72 231,UPTON,-102.04240,31.36940,54,0.14,0.23 232,UVALDE,-99.76180,29.35720,64,0.39,0.53 233,VAL VERDE,-101.11080,29.91870,80,0.27,0.40 234,VAN ZANDT,-95.84640,32.55890,55,0.66,0.82 235,VICTORIA,-96.97560,28.79800,60,0.41,0.60 236,WALKER,-95.55870,30.73860,61,0.67,0.89 237,WALLER,-95.98950,30.02040,58,0.80,1.04 238,WARD,-103.08910,31.51400,58,0.27,0.42 239,WASHINGTON,-96.39550,30.21460,62,1.08,1.38 240,WEBB,-99.31560,27.78410,63,0.14,0.25 241,WHARTON,-96.21560,29.26360,57,0.74,0.98 242,WHEELER,-100.26950,35.40110,60,0.18,0.29 243,WICHITA,-98.70460,33.98580,60,0.42,0.59 244,WILBARGER,-99.25980,34.07060,61,0.23,0.36 245,WILLACY,-97.66310,26.47440,41,0.44,0.63 246,WILLIAMSON,-97.61560,30.64700,62,0.76,0.98 247,WILSON,-98.09960,29.17810,55,0.49,0.65 248,WINKLER,-103.03660,31.84740,60,0.20,0.32 249,WISE,-97.65340,33.21610,59,0.61,0.80 250,WOOD,-95.37630,32.79000,55,0.60,0.75 251,YOAKUM,-102.82720,33.17270,63,0.20,0.31 252,YOUNG,-98.68690,33.17650,65,0.29,0.41 253,ZAPATA,-99.15670,27.01910,62,0.15,0.29 254,ZAVALA,-99.75910,28.86550,58,0.31,0.50 The diameter of the dark outer circle represents the 97.5 percentile estimates; the light gray intermediate band represents the mean; and the medium gray inner circle represents the 2.5 percentile estimates.,,,,,, "1 Data cover only KAB crashes on rural, 2-lane, low-volume, on-system roads.",,,,,,