Figure 4 Actual and Modeled Motorcycle Crashes: 1997–2000 (Model 1),, Number of motorcycle crashes,Actual,Modeled 1,5,5.18 2,5,5.06 3,6,5.81 4,6,5.99 5,6,6.20 6,7,7.00 7,7,7.13 8,7,7.19 9,7,7.08 10,8,8.24 11,8,7.74 12,8,7.93 13,8,8.14 14,8,7.74 15,9,8.88 16,9,9.07 17,9,9.07 18,9,8.85 19,9,8.85 20,9,8.94 21,10,9.72 22,10,9.89 23,10,10.05 24,10,10.03 25,10,10.10 26,10,10.23 27,10,10.07 28,10,10.08 29,11,10.95 30,11,11.02 31,11,10.92 32,11,10.97 33,11,10.76 34,11,10.84 35,12,11.84 36,12,11.96 37,12,11.89 38,12,12.05 39,12,11.94 40,13,12.86 41,13,13.08 42,13,12.95 43,13,13.31 44,14,14.19 45,14,14.19 46,14,13.76 47,15,15.16 48,15,14.96 49,16,16.08 50,17,17.01 51,18,18.05 ,, ,, ,, ,, ,, ,, ,, ,, ,, ,, ,,