Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS)
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Journal of Transportation and Statistics - Volume 7, Number 2/3

Journal of Transportation and Statistics
Volume 7 Number 2/3

2004
ISSN 1094-8848

NOTES: The views presented in the articles in this journal are those of the authors and not necessarily the views of the Bureau of Transportation Statistics. All material contained in this journal is in the public domain and may be used and reprinted without special permission; citation as to sources is required.

The Journal of Transportation and Statistics has been discontinued by BTS because of budget constraints. Papers are therefore no longer being accepted or considered for publication. BTS hopes to bring the Journal back as a virtual publication in the future, and will post any news about the status of JTS on this page.

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Table of Contents File Formats
Entire Report
Editorial Board
Contributors
Front Matter
Letter from the Editor-in-Chief
Paper 1 - Unregistration Rates for On-Road Vehicles in California by Theodore Younglove, Carrie Malcolm, Thomas D. Durbin, Matthew R. Smith, Alberto Ayala, and Sandee Kidd
Table 1 - Registration Rates by County
Table 2 - Cross-Tabulation of Registration Status with the 2001 DMV Database
Table 3 - Cross-Tabulation of BAR Smog Check Test Results with Registration Status
Figure 1 - Percentage of Unregistered Vehicles in Large and All Counties
Figure 2 - Model Year of All Observed Vehicles
Figure 3 - Model Year of All Unregistered Vehicles for Less than 3 Months
Figure 4 - Percentage of Total Vehicles, by Model Year that are Unregistered for More than 3 Months
Paper 2 - A Bayesian Network Model of Two-Car Accidents by Marjan Simoncic
Table 1 - Data on Two-Car Accidents in Slovenia: 1998
Table 2 - Inference Results: Evidence for Accident Type
Table 3 - Inference Results: Evidence for Intoxication Variables
Table 4 - Inference Results: Evidence for Some Exogenous Variables
Figure 1 - Example of a Bayesian Network
Figure 2 - The Network Structure
Figure 3 - Estimated Unconditional Probabilities of the Bayesian Network
Paper 3 - Development of Prediction Models for Motorcycle Crashes at Signalized Intersections on Urban Roads in Malaysia by S. Harnen, R. S. Radin Umar, S. V. Wong, and W. I. Wan Hashim
Table 1 - Description, Factor Levels, Coding System, and Basic Statistics of the Explanatory Variables
Table 2 - Univariate Analysis of Model 1
Table 3 - Multivariate Analysis of Model 1
Table 4 - Multivariate Analysis of Model 2
Figure 1 - Motorcycle Crashes in Malaysia: 2000
Figure 2 - Motorcycle Rider Casualties Compared with Casualties for Occupants in Other Types of Vehicles: 2000
Figure 3 - Typical Layout of Intersection Geometry
Figure 4 - Actual and Modeled Motorcycle Crashes: 1997-2000 (Model 1)
Figure 5 - Effects of Traffic Flow on Motorcycle Crashes: Model 1
Figure 6 - Relationship of Major- and Minor-Road Flows with Differing Shoulder Widths (based on Model 2)
Paper 4 - Effects of Extreme Values on Price Indexes: The Case of the Air Travel Price Index by Janice Lent
Table 1 - Limits and Orders of Magnitude for the Unweighted Mean Factors
Figure 1 - All Classes of Service: Quarterly Chained Preliminary Series
Figure 2 - Restricted Coach Class: Quarterly Chained Preliminary Series
Figure 3 - Unrestricted First Class: Quarterly Chained Preliminary Series
Figure 4 - Restricted First Class: Quarterly Chained Preliminary Series
Figure 5 - Unrestriced Business Class: Quarterly Chained Preliminary Series
Figure 6 - Restricted Business Class: Quarterly Chained Preliminary Series
Table A1 - Values of Fisher and Törnqvist Indexes with a Single Outlier τ = 1 μ = 1
Table A2 - Values of Fisher and Törnqvist Indexes with a Single Outlier τ = 0 μ = 1
Table A3 - Unweighted Percentiles of the Unit Value Sub-index Distributions for the Airfare Index Application
Paper 5 - Estimating Link Travel Time Correlation: An Application of Bayesian Smoothing Splines by Byron J. Gajewski and Laurence R. Rilett
Table 1 - Logarithm of Travel Time for Link 1 v. Time of Day
Figure 1 - Logarithm of Travel Time for Link 1 v. Time of Day
Figure 2 - Log Travel Time v. Time of Day for Links 1 and 2
Figure 3 - Example Problem with Static Travel Time
Figure 4 - Illustration of Covariance Function and Correlation for a Moderately Congested Two-Link Example: Day 10
Figure 5 - Illustration of Covariance Function and Correlation for a Very Congested Two-Link Example: Day 7
Figure 6 - Illustration of Covariance Function and Correlation for a Less-Congested Two-Link Example: Day 20
Figure 7 - 90% Bayes Credible Regions for the Correlation for 20 Days
Figure 8 - Correlation Coefficient for Links 1 and 2 as a Function of the Tuning Parameter
Paper 6 - Speeds of Rural Interstate Highways Relative to Posting the 40 mph Minimum Speed Limit by Victor Muchuruza and Renatus N. Musa
Table 1 - Description of the Study Sites
Table 2 - Results of the Volume Analysis
Table 3 - Mean Speed Characteristics
Table 4 - Percentile and Pace Speed Characteristics
Table 5 - Comparison of Before-and-After Speed Data
Figure 1 - Hourly Variations of Average Lane Means Speeds
Figure 2 - Analysis of Vehicles Traveling at Speeds Below 60 mph
Book Reviews
Data Review
Table 1 - Top 50 U.S. Freight Gateways, Ranked by Value of Shipments: 2003
Call for Papers
Call for Papers - Special Issue on Transportation Investment
Guidelines for Manuscript Submission
Reviewers for 2004
Index for Volume 7
Back Cover