Rural/Urban Projection (RUP) Program

The RUP program has features that allow a considerable amount of flexibility for specifying fertility, mortality, and migration. As a result, RUP can be used to produce estimates for years where data on the components are available followed by projections into the future. RUP also includes a wealth of output options that allow a detailed examination of the results. These features are described below.

1. The projection is performed by single years of age.
2. The projection is performed year by year.
3. Input data for the population and components can be provided in either single ages or 5-year age groups.
4. The open-ended age group in your input data can vary between 50 years and over and 100 years and over.
5. The program accepts mortality and fertility rates as input (as do most programs), but it also allows the input of numbers of births, deaths, and/or migrants.
6. You can provide input data for any year, including years prior to or following the projection period. Data inputs for years outside the projection period are used to interpolate estimates for years during the projection and/or as patterns of the age structure of the particular component.
7. The program provides output of a wide variety of demographic measures for any specified year of the projection. These outputs include:
   • Population by sex and age (single years, 5-year age groups, special groups) and summary measures of age (e.g., percentages, sex ratios, median ages, dependency ratios).
   • Summary vital rates (e.g., crude rates, life expectancy, infant mortality rates, and total fertility rates).
   • Life tables.
   • Net numbers of migrants or migration rates by age and sex.
   • Number of deaths, by age and sex.
   • Number of births, by age of mother, and age-specific fertility rates.
8. You can make the projection for one or two areas. If two areas are projected, the program can calculate a third area as the sum of the two areas (e.g., total = rural + urban) or the difference (e.g., urban = total - rural).

The RUPMENU program allows the user to create RUP input files, run the projection, and print, view, or save the output in various formats. We are working on an Excel-based interface, and hope to make a preliminary version available in the near future.

RUPAGG is a companion program to RUP that allows the aggregation of up to 300 RUP projection results (e.g. summing up the provinces in a country to the national total).

• RUP Documentation
• RUP Input Summary
• RUPMENU Documentation
• RUPAGG Documentation

• Download the RUP, RUPAGG, and RUPMENU programs and documentation

[PDF] or denotes a file in Adobe’s Portable Document Format. To view the file, you will need the Adobe® Acrobat® Reader available free from Adobe.

For more information about RUP contact:

Peter Johnson
International Programs Center
U.S. Bureau of the Census
Washington, D.C. 20233-8860

Email: peterj@census.gov 

Phone    (301) 763-1410
Fax      (301) 457-3034

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Page Last Modified: September 16, 2003