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HURRICANE HOWARD DISCUSSION NUMBER  26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT THU AUG 27 1998
 
HOWARD HAS A LARGE EYE SURROUNDED BY A RAPIDLY DECREASING RING OF
DEEP CONVECTION.  IT IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING AS INDICATED BY DVORAK
T-NUMBERS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS 80 KNOTS AND FURTHER WEAKENING
IS INDICATED.
 
THE INITIAL MOTION IS 285/06 KNOTS.  THE RIDGE NORTH OF HOWARD
SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD SO NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE
IN THE TRACK IS EXPECTED.  

AVILA
  
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     27/0900Z 17.9N 124.8W    80 KTS
12HR VT     27/1800Z 18.1N 125.7W    75 KTS
24HR VT     28/0600Z 18.7N 127.0W    65 KTS
36HR VT     28/1800Z 19.0N 128.5W    55 KTS
48HR VT     29/0600Z 19.5N 130.0W    45 KTS
72HR VT     30/0600Z 20.0N 135.0W    35 KTS
 
 
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