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BULLETIN
HURRICANE MITCH ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM EST TUE OCT 27 1998

...CORRECTION FOR 1ST WARNING PARAGRAPH...EDT TO EST...
 
...MITCH REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE...MOVING WEST... 

AT 4 AM EST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS UPGRADED THE
HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD.  THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS ISSUED
A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE COAST OF GUATEMALA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
HONDURAS...AND FOR SWAN ISLAND.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR BELIZE. ALL INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
HURRICANE.
  
AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.8 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES...150
KM... NORTH OF THE COAST OF HONDURAS.

MITCH IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR  8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST...AND DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 180 MPH...285 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY MAY OCCUR DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT MITCH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AN EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS HURRICANE CAPABLE OF CAUSING CATASTROPHIC DAMAGE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS  917 MB...27.08 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS
OF HONDURAS AND OTHER PARTS OF CENTRAL AMERICA.  THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS AFFECTING
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND COASTAL AREAS OF THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN.
 
COASTAL FLOODING FROM STRONG ONSHORE WINDS AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES IS OCCURRING OVER THE COAST OF HONDURAS...SWAN ISLAND AND THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
REPEATING THE 4 AM EST POSITION...17.4 N... 84.8 W.  MOVEMENT TOWARD
...WEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...180 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 917 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM
EST.
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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