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BULLETIN
HURRICANE GEORGES ADVISORY NUMBER  47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 1998
 
...GEORGES THREATENS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITH DANGEROUS FLOODING
   FROM STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
PANAMA CITY FLORIDA.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
EAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA TO ST. MARKS FLORIDA.  A HURRICANE WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GEORGES WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.8 WEST.  THIS POSITION IS
ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND
ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS.
 
GEORGES IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SOME DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED.  ON THIS TRACK...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN
TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THIS
MAKES GEORGES A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...MAINLY TO THE EAST.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED FROM RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS  968 MB...28.59 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET...UP TO 17 FEET AT THE HEADS
OF BAYS...ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA
AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.
 
FLOODING RAINS ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH GEORGES AND WILL
BECOME PARTICULARLY SEVERE IF GEORGES FORWARD MOTION DECREASES NEAR
LANDFALL AS IS NOW FORECAST.
 
SMALL CRAFT FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT.  SMALL CRAFT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
  
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...27.3 N... 86.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 968 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM
CDT...SUNDAY.
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.
  
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