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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED AUG 19 1998

...CORRECTION TO ADD INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY ISSUANCE TIME...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
   LEEWARD ISLANDS...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR ANTIGUA..BARBUDA...AND ANGUILLA.  THE GOVERNMENT OF THE
NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST.
MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  52.4 WEST OR ABOUT
590 MILES...950 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...
30 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THURSDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND THE DEPRESSION
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
OUTER RAINBANDS OF THE DEPRESSION ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER
PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS BY EARLY THURSDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...16.5 N... 52.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM AST...THURSDAY...WITH THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY
ISSUANCE AT 5 AM AST.
 
GUINEY/MAYFIELD
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.
 
 
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