000
FXUS62 KMFL 201129
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
729 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2008

.AVIATION...A FEW SHRA CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC AND
THEN MOVE ONSHORE IN THE LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW. THUS, HAVE PLACE
VCSH IN ALL E CST TAFS ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY IS VERY ISOLD IN
NATURE. SCT TSRA ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFT 14Z WITH VCTS IN THE
E TERMINALS AS A RESULT. E FLOW HAS WEAKENED DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS BUT NONE OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A W CST SEA BREEZE FROM
DEVELOPING SO HAVE NOT INCLUDED IN THE KAPF TAF BUT WILL EXAMINE
THIS AGAIN PRIOR TO THE 18Z TAF ISSUANCE.

30/KOB


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 407 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2008/

EXTENDED PERIOD...TUE THROUGH FRI...S FLA REMAINS IN THE COL
BETWEEN THE CONTINENTAL RIDGE AND THE ATLC RIDGE. THUS SOME UPPER
INSTABILITY WITH AMPLE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE COMBINE TO KEEP S FLA IN
A SITUATION OF MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTERIOR
AND W WITH MAINLY E COAST NOCTURNAL ACTIVITY.

MARINE...NE/E WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS WITH SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET TODAY
THROUGH SUN NGT. SEAS 4 FEET OR LESS EXCEPT SEAS TO 5 FEET OFF OF
PALM BEACH COUNTY AS 2 TO 3 FOOT SWELLS GENERATED BY THE LOW PRES E
OF JAX IMPACT THE LOCAL AREA WATERS. WAVES AND SWELLS DECREASE MON.

FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS WITH RH REMAINING ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  88  78  89  76 / 30 30 50 30
FORT LAUDERDALE  89  80  88  77 / 30 30 40 30
MIAMI            89  78  89  77 / 30 30 40 30
NAPLES           90  74  91  74 / 30 20 50 30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$