Climate of 2008
January in Historical Perspective

National Climatic Data Center
14 February 2008


Global Highlights:

Contents of this Section:

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The data presented in this report are preliminary. Ranks and anomalies may change as more complete data are received and processed. The most current data may be accessed via the Global Surface Temperature Anomalies page.

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Introduction

Temperature anomalies for January 2008 are shown on the dot maps below. The dot map, below left, provides a spatial representation of anomalies calculated from the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) data set of land surface stations using a 1961-1990 base period. The dot map, below right, is a product of a merged land surface and sea surface temperature anomaly analysis developed by Smith and Reynolds (2005). Temperature anomalies with respect to the 1961-1990 mean for land and ocean are analyzed separately and then merged to form the global analysis. Additional information on this product is available.

During January 2008, there were above average temperatures across Europe, northern Asia, the eastern parts of the contiguous U.S, and most of Australia. According to the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM), Australia had its warmest January on record. Temperatures were 3-4°C (5-7°F) above average across large areas in Western and Central Australia. The January 2008 average temperature for the nation was 1.23°C (2.21°F) above the 1961-1990 mean, which exceeded the previous anomaly record of +1.16°C (+2.09°F) set in January 1999. Elsewhere, cooler-than-average conditions occurred in the Middle East, central Asia, southeast China, the western U.S., and western Alaska. The anomalously cool conditions over central Asia and southeast China were associated with the largest January snow cover extent on record for the Eurasian continent and for the Northern Hemisphere.

Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) were warmer than average in the Atlantic, Indian, and the northwestern Pacific oceans. Cooler-than-average conditions were present in the southern oceans and in the Niño regions. Temperatures in parts of these Niño regions were more than 1°C (1.8°F) below average, and the average temperature in the Niño 3.4 region decreased markedly in January to approximately -1.77°C (-3.19°F). Please see the latest ENSO discussion for additional information.

January's Land Surface Temperature Anomalies in degree Celsius
January's Land Surface Temperature
Anomalies in degrees Celsius
January's Blended Land and Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in degrees Celsius
January's Blended Land and Sea Surface
Temperature Anomalies in degrees Celsius

The mean position of the upper level ridges of high pressure and troughs of low pressure (depicted by positive and negative 500-millibar height anomalies on the January map) are generally reflected by areas of positive and negative temperature anomalies at the surface, respectively. For other Global products see the Climate Monitoring Global Products page.

Images of sea surface temperature conditions are available for all weeks during 2008 at the weekly SST page.

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Temperature Rankings and Graphics

Current Month

Effective with the February 2006 report, NCDC transitioned from the use of the Operational Global Surface Temperature Index (Quayle et al. 1999) to the blended land and ocean dataset developed by Smith and Reynolds (2005). The differences between the two methods are discussed in Smith et al. (2005).

January 2008 ranked as the thirty-first warmest January since records began in 1880 for combined global land and ocean surface temperatures. Temperatures were colder than average across large parts of central Asia and southeastern China. The January global land surface average was below the 20th century mean for the first time since 1982. La Niña, the cold phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, persisted in the equatorial Pacific, damping ocean surface temperatures. The global average ocean surface temperature (SST) in January was the seventeenth warmest on record.

January Anomaly Rank Warmest (or Next
Warmest) Year on Record

Global

Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean

-0.01°C (-0.02°F)
+0.25°C (+0.45°F)
+0.18°C (+0.32°F)

63rd warmest
17th warmest
31st warmest

2007 (+1.84°C/3.31°F)
1998 (+0.52°C/0.94°F)
2007 (+0.83°C/1.49°F)

Northern Hemisphere

Land

Ocean
Land and Ocean


-0.17°C (-0.31°F)

+0.26°C (+0.47°F)
+0.10°C (+0.18°F)


70th warmest
(60th coolest)
13th warmest
48th warmest


2007 (+2.23°C/4.01°F)

1998 (+0.51°C/0.92°F)
2007 (+1.14°C/2.05°F)

Southern Hemisphere

Land
Ocean
Land and Ocean


+0.48°C (+0.86°F)
+0.24°C (+0.43°F)
+0.28°C (+0.50°F)


12th warmest
29th warmest
21st warmest


2006 (+0.77°C/1.39°F)
1998 (+0.55°C/0.99°F)
1998 (+0.58°C/1.04°F)
January's Global Land and Ocean plot
January's Global Land and Ocean plot
January's Global Hemisphere plot
January's Global Hemisphere plot

The most current data may be accessed via the Global Surface Temperature Anomalies page.

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Precipitation

The maps below represent anomaly values based on the GHCN data set of land surface stations using a base period of 1961-1990. During January 2008, above average precipitation fell over areas that include England, northern Europe, eastern Australia, southeastern China, and parts of South America. Drier-than-average conditions were observed in Japan, southern Europe, the western coast of Canada, the eastern and central U.S., and most of western Australia. Additional details on flooding and drought can also be found on the January Global Hazards page.

January's Precipitation Anomalies in Millimeters
January's Precipitation Anomalies in Millimeters
January's Precipitation Percent Departures
January's Precipitation Percent Departures

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ENSO SST Analysis

First week of January's ENSO condtions Map
Click here for animated loop

Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies continued to decrease across the central and western equatorial Pacific during January with cooler anomalies extending further west of the International Date Line. These conditions are indicative of a strong ENSO cold event (shown in the adjacent animation of weekly SST anomalies). A comprehensive summary of January 2008 ENSO conditions can be found on the ENSO monitoring page. For the latest advisory on ENSO conditions go to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) and the CPC ENSO Diagnostic Discussion.

Images of sea surface temperature conditions are available for all weeks since 2003 at the weekly SST page.

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Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover Extent

Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover Extent for January 2008
Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover
Extent for January 2008

As shown in the time series to the right, mean Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent during January 2008 was much above average. This can be attributed to a series of snow storms that struck much the Northern Hemisphere during the month of January. The January 2008 snow cover extent was the largest extent over the 42-year historical record, surpassing the previous record set in 1985. The mean Northern Hemisphere January snow cover extent for the 1967-2008 period of record is 47.0 million square kilometers.

North America Snow Cover Extent for January 2008
North America Snow Cover
Extent for January 2008

Snow cover for January 2008 across North America was above average, being the 13th largest extent since records began in 1967. During the month of January, much of the contiguous U.S. experienced a series of snow storms. The mean North American January snow cover extent is 17.5 million square kilometers for the 1967-2008 period of record.

Eurasia Snow Cover Extent for January 2008
Eurasia Snow Cover
Extent for January 2008

As depicted in the time series to the right, Eurasia's snow cover extent in January was much above average and was the largest extent over the 42-year historical period. During January, severe winter weather brought freezing temperatures and heavy snow across much of China and central Asia. In some areas, snow fell for the first time in living memory. On average, Eurasian January snow cover extent is 29.4 million square kilometers for the 1967-2008 period of record.

Data were provided by the Global Snow Laboratory, Rutgers University.

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Sea Ice Extent

January's Northern Hemisphere Sea Ice extent
January's Northern Hemisphere
Sea Ice Extent plot

According to the National Snow and Ice Data Center, the January 2008 Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent, which is measured from passive microwave instruments onboard NOAA satellites, was below the 1979-2000 mean, but greater than the previous four years. Sea ice extent for January has decreased at a rate of 3.2%/decade (since satellite records began in 1979) as temperatures in the high latitude Northern Hemisphere have risen at a rate of approximately 0.37°C/decade over the same period.

January's Southern Hemisphere Sea Ice extent
January's Southern Hemisphere
Sea Ice Extent plot

Meanwhile, the January 2008 Southern Hemisphere sea ice extent was much above the 1979-2000 mean. This was the largest sea ice extent in January over the 30-year historical period. Sea ice extent for January has increased at a rate of 1.9%/decade.

For further information on the Northern and Southern Hemisphere snow and ice conditions, please visit the NSIDC News page, provided by the NOAA's National Snow and Ice Data center (NSIDC).

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Troposphere

Temperatures above the Earth's surface are measured within the lower troposphere, middle troposphere, and stratosphere using in-situ balloon-borne instruments (radiosondes) and polar-orbiting satellites (NOAA's TIROS-N). The radiosonde and satellite records have been adjusted to remove time-dependent biases (artificialities caused by changes in radiosonde instruments and measurement practices as well as changes in satellite instruments and orbital features through time).

Note: January's report contains troposphere data from satellites only. The in-situ measurements will return in the February 2008 report.

Lower Troposphere

Current Month

These temperatures are for the lowest 8 km (5 miles) of the atmosphere. Information on the UAH and RSS sources of troposphere data is available.

January Anomaly Rank Warmest (or Next Warmest) Year on RecordTrend
UAH low-trop -0.05°C/-0.09°F 21st warmest
(10th coolest)
2007 (+0.59°C/1.06°F) +0.16°C/decade
*RSS low-trop -0.08°C/-0.14°F 23rd warmest
(8th coolest)
1998 (+0.62°C/1.12°F) +0.17°C/decade

*Version 03_0

Mid-troposphere

Current Month

These temperatures are for the atmospheric layer centered in the mid-troposphere (approximately 3-10 km (2-6 miles) above the Earth's surface), which also includes a portion of the lower stratosphere. (The MSU channel used to measure mid-tropospheric temperatures receives about 25 percent of its signal above 10 km (6 miles)). Because the stratosphere has cooled due to increasing greenhouse gases in the troposphere and losses of ozone in the stratosphere, the stratospheric contribution to the tropospheric average, as measured from satellites, may create an artificial component of cooling to the mid-troposphere temperatures. The University of Washington (UW) versions of the UAH and RSS analyses attempt to remove the stratospheric influence from the mid-troposphere measurements, and as a result, the UW versions tend to have a larger warming trend than either the UAH or RSS versions. For additional information, please see NCDC's Microwave Sounding Unit page.

The global mid-troposphere temperatures were cooler than average in January 2008, as shown in the table below. Satellite measurement for January 2008 ranked from twentieth (eleventh) to twenty-fifth (sixth) warmest (coolest) on record, depending on the analysis.

January Anomaly Rank Warmest (or Next Warmest) Year on RecordTrend
UAH mid-trop -0.18°C/-0.32°F 25th warmest
(6th coolest)
1998 (+0.50°C/0.90°F) +0.05°C/decade
*RSS mid-trop -0.12°C/-0.21°F 23rd warmest
(8th coolest)
1998 (+0.54°C/0.97°F) +0.11°C/decade
**UW-UAH mid-trop -0.11°C/-0.20°F 22nd warmest
(9th coolest)
1998 (+0.64°C/1.15°F) +0.12°C/decade
**UW-*RSS mid-trop -0.05°C/-0.97°F 20th warmest
(11th coolest)
1998 (+0.66°C1.19°F) +0.17°C/decade

*Version 03_0

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Stratosphere

Current Month

The table below summarizes stratospheric conditions for January 2008. On average, the stratosphere is located approximately between 16-23 km (10-14 miles) above the Earth's surface. Over the last decade, stratospheric temperatures have been below average, in part due to the depletion of ozone. The large positive anomaly in 1982 was caused by the volcanic eruption of El Chichon in Mexico, and the sharp jump in temperature in 1991 was a result of the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo in the Philippines. In both cases the temperatures returned to pre-eruption levels within two years.

January Anomaly Rank Coolest Year on Record
UAH stratosphere -0.58°C (-1.04°F) 8th coolest 2006 (-0.80°C/-1.44°F)
*RSS stratosphere -0.50°C (-0.90°F) 8th coolest 2006 (-0.77°C/-1.39°F)

*Version 03_0

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For additional details on precipitation and temperatures in January, see the Global Hazards page.

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References

Christy, John R., R.W. Spencer, and W.D. Braswell, 2000: MSU tropospheric Temperatures: Dataset Construction and Radiosonde Comparisons. J. of Atmos. and Oceanic Technology, 17, 1153-1170.

Free, M., D.J. Seidel, J.K. Angell, J. Lanzante, I. Durre and T.C. Peterson (2005) Radiosonde Atmospheric Temperature Products for Assessing Climate (RATPAC): A new dataset of large-area anomaly time series, J. Geophys. Res., 10.1029/2005JD006169.

Free, M., J.K. Angell, I. Durre, J. Lanzante, T.C. Peterson and D.J. Seidel(2004), Using first differences to reduce inhomogeneity in radiosonde temperature datasets, J. Climate, 21, 4171-4179.

Fu, Q., C.M. Johanson, S.G. Warren, and D.J. Seidel, 2004: Contribution of stratospheric cooling to satellite-inferred tropospheric temperature trends. Nature, 429, 55-58.

Lanzante, J.R., S.A. Klein, and D.J. Seidel (2003a), Temporal homogenization of monthly radiosonde temperature data. Part I: Methodology, J. Climate, 16, 224-240.

Lanzante, J.R., S.A. Klein, and D.J. Seidel (2003b), Temporal homogenization of monthly radiosonde temperature data. Part II: trends, sensitivities, and MSU comparison, J. Climate, 16, 241 262.

Mears, Carl A., M.C. Schabel, F.J. Wentz, 2003: A Reanalysis of the MSU Channel 2 tropospheric Temperature Record. J. Clim, 16, 3650-3664.

Peterson, T.C. and R.S. Vose, 1997: An Overview of the Global Historical Climatology Network Database. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 78, 2837-2849.

Quayle, R.G., T.C. Peterson, A.N. Basist, and C. S. Godfrey, 1999: An operational near-real-time global temperature index. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 333-335.

Smith, T.M., and R.W. Reynolds (2005), A global merged land air and sea surface temperature reconstruction based on historical observations (1880-1997), J. Clim., 18, 2021-2036.

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For all climate questions, other than questions concerning this report, please contact the National Climatic Data center's Climate Services Division:

Climate Services Division
NOAA/National Climatic Data center
151 Patton Avenue, Room 010
Asheville, NC 28801-5001
fax: 828-271-4876
phone: 828-271-4800
email: ncdc.orders@noaa.gov

For questions about this report, please contact:

Jay Lawrimore
NOAA/National Climatic Data center
151 Patton Avenue
Asheville, NC 28801-5001
fax: 828-271-4328
email: Jay.Lawrimore@noaa.gov

-or-

David Easterling
NOAA/National Climatic Data center
151 Patton Avenue
Asheville, NC 28801-5001
fax: 828-271-4328
email: David.Easterling@noaa.gov

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