Tropical Storm GUSTAV

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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
1500 UTC FRI AUG 29 2008
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR WESTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF ISLA DE
JUVENTUD...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND CIUDAD DE LA
HABANA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CUBA...FOR THE
PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND CAMAGUEY.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GRANMA.  A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE
WARNING FOR JAMAICA TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  78.8W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  78.8W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  78.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.3N  80.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.8N  81.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 22.6N  83.8W...OVER WESTERN CUBA
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 24.3N  85.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 27.5N  89.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 29.5N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 31.0N  93.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N  78.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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