Tropical Storm GUSTAV

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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2008
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI NORTH
OF PORT AU PRINCE IS DISCONTINUED.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI WEST OF
THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PORT AU PRINCE.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS
TUNAS AND HOLGUIN AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  75.4W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  75.4W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  75.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.8N  76.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.9N  78.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.4N  79.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.1N  81.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 22.5N  84.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 26.0N  87.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 29.0N  89.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  75.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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