Tropical Storm GUSTAV

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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
1130 UTC THU AUG 28 2008
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
GRANMA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  75.6W AT 28/1130Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  75.6W AT 28/1130Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  75.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N  76.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.8N  78.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.5N  80.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.5N  82.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 22.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 26.0N  89.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 28.5N  91.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  75.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
 
 
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