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Tropical Storm EDOUARD
ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052008
0900 UTC TUE AUG 05 2008
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 9 21 39 X X X
TROP DEPRESSION 2 47 53 51 X X X
TROPICAL STORM 88 44 26 11 X X X
HURRICANE 10 1 X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 9 1 X X X X X
HUR CAT 2 1 X X X X X X
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55KT 35KT 30KT 25KT 0KT 0KT 0KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SHREVEPORT LA 34 3 X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 37 X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GALVESTON TX 34 69 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
GALVESTON TX 50 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
GALVESTON TX 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
HOUSTON TX 34 68 6(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
HOUSTON TX 50 13 4(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
HOUSTON TX 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
AUSTIN TX 34 2 10(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FREEPORT TX 34 20 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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