Hurricane DENNIS

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HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042005
1500Z SAT JUL 09 2005
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A HURRICANE
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS EAST
OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. HOWEVER...A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS EAST OF SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST
OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING
METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR CUBA HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  83.8W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  75SE  30SW  55NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  75SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  80SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  83.8W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  83.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.4N  85.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  30SW  55NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.7N  86.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 31.2N  87.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 33.6N  89.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 36.5N  89.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 38.0N  88.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 39.0N  83.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N  83.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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