Hurricane DENNIS

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HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042005
1500Z FRI JUL 08 2005

CORRECTED THE 72-HOUR 34-KT WIND RADII IN NORTHWEST QUADRANT
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO.  A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE
CAYMAN ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO LONGBOAT KEY.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.  A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  79.9W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  79.9W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  79.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.7N  81.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.5N  83.6W...OVER SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.5N  85.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.4N  86.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 32.6N  88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 37.0N  88.6W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 39.5N  84.8W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N  79.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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