Tropical Depression FOUR

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042005
0300Z TUE JUL 05 2005
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF HISPANIOLA BY EARLY TUESDAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  63.1W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  63.1W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  62.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.3N  65.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.7N  68.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.3N  71.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 55NE  45SE   0SW  55NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.8N  74.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.9N  78.5W...NEAR SOUTH COAST CUBA
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  65SE  40SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 23.5N  81.0W...NEAR NORTH COAST CUBA
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 26.0N  83.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  63.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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