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Tropical Depression GILMA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082006
2100 UTC WED AUG 02 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) X(12) 1(13)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) X(13)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 154N 1081W 34 17 5(22) 1(23) X(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
12 154N 1081W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 154N 1081W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 160N 1095W 34 X 14(14) 5(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
24 160N 1095W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 160N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 169N 1107W 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 5(18) 1(19) 1(20) X(20)
36 169N 1107W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 169N 1107W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 176N 1120W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 5(17) 1(18) X(18)
48 176N 1120W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 176N 1120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 190N 1145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) X(13)
72 190N 1145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
72 190N 1145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 200N 1175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8)
96 200N 1175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 200N 1175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 211N 1205W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
120 211N 1205W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 211N 1205W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 30 25 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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