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Tropical Depression EIGHT-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082006
0900 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 2(17) X(17)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 9(20) 2(22)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 143N 1056W 34 33 12(45) 2(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
12 143N 1056W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
12 143N 1056W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 150N 1068W 34 4 30(34) 9(43) 2(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46)
24 150N 1068W 50 X 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
24 150N 1068W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 155N 1083W 34 1 8( 9) 24(33) 10(43) 3(46) X(46) X(46)
36 155N 1083W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
36 155N 1083W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 159N 1098W 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 17(31) 10(41) X(41) 1(42)
48 159N 1098W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12)
48 159N 1098W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 168N 1132W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 19(23) 6(29) 2(31)
72 168N 1132W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
72 168N 1132W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 180N 1170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 3(17)
96 180N 1170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
96 180N 1170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 210N 1195W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
120 210N 1195W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 210N 1195W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 50 45 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/STEWART
NNNN
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