Hurricane LANE

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HURRICANE LANE ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132006
800 AM PDT SAT SEP 16 2006

...DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE LANE APPROACHING THE NORTHWEST
COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO TO TOPOLOBAMPO.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO CABO SAN LUCAS.  THE HURRICANE
WARNING AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE MEXICAN COAST SOUTH OF EL
ROBLITO...AND FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO
HUATABAMPITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.1 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...
80 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO AND ABOUT 200 MILES...320
KM...SOUTHEAST OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO.
 
LANE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF LANE ACROSS THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LANE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL...
FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE LANE.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE LANE.
 
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS AREAS OF WEST-CENTRAL
MEXICO.  TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.  THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...23.5 N...107.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
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