Tropical Storm LANE

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TROPICAL STORM LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132006
0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006
 
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BUENA VISTA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE EAST
COAST...AND FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS NORTHWARD
TO EL ROBLITO...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS. A
HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWARD
TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST
OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LANE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 105.3W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 120SE 120SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 120SE 120SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 105.3W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 104.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.2N 106.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.6N 107.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.8N 108.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.8N 109.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 24.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 25.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 26.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 105.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART
 
 
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