Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132006
2100 UTC WED SEP 13 2006
 
AT 2 PM PDT... 2100 UTC... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TECPAN DE
GALEANA TO MANZANILLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 2 PM PDT... 2100 UTC... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF
MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 101.5W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 101.5W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 101.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.8N 102.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.6N 104.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.3N 106.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.9N 107.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 21.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 23.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 101.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
 
 
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