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Tropical Storm JOHN
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM JOHN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006
0300 UTC TUE AUG 29 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOHN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 18(26) 3(29)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 15(23) 2(25)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 2(15)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
CULICAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 1(13)
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17) 1(18)
SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 4(28) X(28)
P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 33(42) 2(44) 1(45)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) 1(15)
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 29(40) 1(41) 1(42)
MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11)
MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
L CARDENAS 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 21(36) 10(46) 1(47) X(47)
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15)
L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 2( 3) 19(22) 16(38) 5(43) X(43) X(43)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ACAPULCO 34 1 12(13) 20(33) 5(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39)
ACAPULCO 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
P MALDONADO 34 3 18(21) 7(28) 2(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31)
P MALDONADO 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
P ANGEL 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HUATULCO 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 17(30) 1(31)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 8(30) 1(31)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 143N 983W 34 87 7(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 143N 983W 50 47 19(66) 2(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
12 143N 983W 64 15 14(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
24 148N 997W 34 12 65(77) 10(87) 2(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
24 148N 997W 50 1 40(41) 14(55) 2(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58)
24 148N 997W 64 X 22(22) 10(32) 1(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34)
36 155N 1015W 34 1 19(20) 48(68) 12(80) 3(83) X(83) X(83)
36 155N 1015W 50 X 3( 3) 33(36) 12(48) 3(51) X(51) X(51)
36 155N 1015W 64 X 1( 1) 18(19) 8(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29)
48 163N 1034W 34 X 2( 2) 25(27) 33(60) 17(77) X(77) X(77)
48 163N 1034W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 24(31) 14(45) X(45) X(45)
48 163N 1034W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 8(22) X(22) X(22)
72 194N 1080W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 42(44) 13(57) 1(58)
72 194N 1080W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 7(25) 1(26)
72 194N 1080W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13)
96 215N 1120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 25(31) 3(34)
96 215N 1120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12)
96 215N 1120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
120 220N 1150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 5(17)
120 220N 1150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
120 220N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 80 90 95 95 85 60
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN
NNNN
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