Tropical Depression JOHN

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOHN ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
800 PM PDT SUN SEP 03 2006

...WEAKER JOHN MAINLY A HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT...

MOISTURE FROM JOHN WILL BE SPREADING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED
STATES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC
TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOHN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST OR ABOUT 80
MILES...125 KM...NORTHWEST OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/HR.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR OR
OVER THE EASTERN BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY...AND JOHN COULD DISSIPATE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTALS UP TO 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA
PENINSULA. NORTHWESTERN MEXICO COULD RECEIVE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN. MOISTURE FROM JOHN COULD HELP PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAIN OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES AND WESTERN TEXAS THROUGH
MONDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...28.2 N...113.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
 
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