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Tropical Storm FABIO
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FABIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072006
1500 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 153N 1276W 34 74 9(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
12 153N 1276W 50 17 7(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
12 153N 1276W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 158N 1303W 34 1 51(52) 9(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
24 158N 1303W 50 X 13(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
24 158N 1303W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 162N 1331W 34 X 4( 4) 34(38) 10(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
36 162N 1331W 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
36 162N 1331W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 164N 1358W 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 22(29) 8(37) X(37) X(37)
48 164N 1358W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
48 164N 1358W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 165N 1405W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 3(17) 1(18)
72 165N 1405W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 165N 1405W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 165N 1450W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
96 165N 1450W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 165N 1450W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 165N 1500W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
120 165N 1500W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 165N 1500W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 50 50 50 40 30 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
NNNN
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