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Hurricane HECTOR
ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006
1500 UTC SAT AUG 19 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 183N 1315W 34 93 3(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 183N 1315W 50 73 9(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
12 183N 1315W 64 38 10(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
24 192N 1330W 34 41 37(78) 4(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
24 192N 1330W 50 4 35(39) 5(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
24 192N 1330W 64 X 13(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
36 199N 1343W 34 7 31(38) 14(52) 3(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56)
36 199N 1343W 50 X 7( 7) 11(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
36 199N 1343W 64 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 205N 1355W 34 4 11(15) 11(26) 5(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34)
48 205N 1355W 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 205N 1355W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 210N 1385W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) X(10)
72 210N 1385W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 210N 1385W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 215N 1425W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
96 215N 1425W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 215N 1425W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 75 65 50 35 25 20 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB
NNNN
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