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Hurricane DANIEL
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006
0900 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
115 KTS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 136N 1267W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 136N 1267W 50 91 4(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 136N 1267W 64 68 12(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
24 141N 1285W 34 36 53(89) 5(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
24 141N 1285W 50 4 61(65) 9(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
24 141N 1285W 64 1 40(41) 10(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
36 145N 1303W 34 2 36(38) 35(73) 8(81) 2(83) X(83) X(83)
36 145N 1303W 50 X 10(10) 33(43) 9(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53)
36 145N 1303W 64 X 3( 3) 21(24) 6(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
48 150N 1320W 34 X 6( 6) 30(36) 22(58) 10(68) X(68) X(68)
48 150N 1320W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 16(28) 6(34) X(34) X(34)
48 150N 1320W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15)
72 160N 1355W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 21(29) 4(33) 1(34)
72 160N 1355W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10)
72 160N 1355W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 170N 1375W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 5(17) X(17)
96 170N 1375W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 170N 1375W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 185N 1390W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8)
120 185N 1390W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 185N 1390W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 115 105 90 80 60 45 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN
NNNN
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