FXUS64 KHGX 200849 AFDHGX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 349 AM CDT SAT SEP 20 2008 .DISCUSSION... FOG DEVELOPING OVER SW ZONES EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A COUPLE OF SPOTS ALREADY DOWN BELOW A MILE IN VISIBILITY. THE FOG SHOULD BURN OFF QUICKLY BY 9 AM. SCATTERED SHRA HAVE BEEN AFFECTING THE EASTERN MARINE WATERS TONIGHT...SLOWLY WORKING ITS WAY TOWARDS THE COAST. DO NOT EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO MAKE IT VERY FAR INLAND AS THE AIRMASS IS MUCH DRIER (PWS 1.0-1.2 INCHES). WILL WATCH CONVECTIVE TRENDS AND MAY BUMP COASTAL POPS UP FIRST PERIOD IF NECESSARY. TEMPS THIS MORNING ARE STARTING OUT ABOUT 5 DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY MORNING...AND WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE MAX TEMPS SHOULD END UP ABOUT 5 DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY. QUIET WEATHER STILL ANTICIPATED FOR THE UPCOMING 7 DAYS. WEAK UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER SE TX BY MONDAY WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. PERSISTENT EAST/NORTHEAST SFC FLOW WILL KEEP DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE CUTOFF FROM THE AREA. PATCHY FOG WILL DEVELOP IN THE LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNINGS IN RURAL AREAS. A WEAK SEABREEZE WILL DEVELOP EACH DAY SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS TOWARDS THE COAST. HAVE ONLY MENTIONED PRECIP MONDAY/TUESDAY WHEN THE BEST MOISTURE IS PRESENT (PWS 1.4-1.6 INCHES). DRIER AIRMASS AGAIN SPREADS INTO SE TX FROM THE EAST BEGINNING WEDNESDAY WITH PWS DROPPING BACK DOWN TO AROUND AN INCH...ONCE AGAIN LIMITING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. TEMPS EACH DAY WILL WARM TO THE UPPER 80S/LOWER 90S INLAND...MID 80S ALONG THE COAST. AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES WILL TOP OUT IN THE 91 TO 94 DEGREE RANGE WHICH WILL BE SOMEWHAT OF AN IMPACT WHERE POWER OUTAGES REMAIN. OVERNIGHT LOWS COULD COOL DOWN A FEW DEGREES LATE WEEK WHEN THE DRIER AIRMASS MOVES IN...BUT THIS IS NOT REFLECTED IN THE CURRENT FORECAST. 35 && .AVIATION... PATCHY FOG NOTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING. DEWPOINT SPREAD CLOSER CENTRAL PORTIONS SOUTHWARD. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS HAS BEEN SPREADING NORTHWEST ON AND OFF FROM NEAR THE COAST. FOG EXPECTED TO BURN OFF SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK AND LOW CLOUD BASES WILL GO UP AS MIXING BECOMES MORE PRONOUNCED BY MID TO LATE MORNING. PRESSURE GRADIENT RELATIVELY WEAK INLAND WITH A LIGHT EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW IN MANY SECTIONS. 37 && .MARINE... HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PERSISTING OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES AND LOWER PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF WILL KEEP EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS AND BAYS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WIND FLOW WILL BE FOR THE MOST PART LIGHT TO MODERATE. WAVE HEIGHTS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO AROUND 5 FEET SOUTHERN FRINGES OF COASTAL WATERS (PAST 30 NM OFFSHORE) SUNDAY TO EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE TO SOMEWHAT TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT. THE EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED TIDES. 37 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 89 65 91 66 91 / 0 0 0 0 10 HOUSTON (IAH) 89 68 90 69 90 / 10 5 5 5 10 GALVESTON (GLS) 85 74 86 74 86 / 20 10 10 10 20 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION...35 AVIATION/MARINE...37